6338 Colquitt Rd · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large den with wood burning fireplace. Living room area. Good size kitchen. Nice size bedrooms. Attached 2 car carport. About 2.5 acre yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitting an offer.
Key facts
- About 2.5 acre yard
- Large den
- Good size kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.23%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,673
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -41.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10721 Southern Ridge East | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,920 (+5%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $112 | 86 |
| 6363 Bain Blvd | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,692 (-8%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $92 | 65 |
| 6154 Colquitt Rd | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,959 (+7%) | 11mo | $290,000 | $148 | 52 |
| 10074 Freedoms Way | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-15%) | 1mo | $254,900 | $163 | 50 |
| 6103 Colquitt | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,606 (-12%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $112 | 46 |
| 9972 Freedoms Way | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,667 (-9%) | 22mo | $245,000 | $147 | 36 |
| 10275 Freeman Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 2,075 (+13%) | 20mo | $299,500 | $144 | 31 |
| 9915 Freedoms Way | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-13%) | 23mo | $296,000 | $185 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $15,430
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $59,306
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71047
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,705 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $958/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $560
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $124,900 Active 191 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $124,900 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 187 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $124,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $124,900 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $144,900 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $144,900 Active 179 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 178 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $144,900 Active 177 DOM
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2026-05-07price $144,900 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Nice home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large den with wood burning fireplace. Living room area. Good size kitchen. Nice size bedrooms. Attached 2 car carport. About 2.5 acre yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitting an offer.
-
2026-04-02price $154,900 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Nice home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large den with wood burning fireplace. Living room area. Good size kitchen. Nice size bedrooms. Attached 2 car carport. About 2.5 acre yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitting an offer.
-
2026-02-06price $159,900 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Nice home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large den with wood burning fireplace. Living room area. Good size kitchen. Nice size bedrooms. Attached 2 car carport. About 2.5 acre yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitting an offer.
-
2026-01-08price $169,900 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Nice home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large den with wood burning fireplace. Living room area. Good size kitchen. Nice size bedrooms. Attached 2 car carport. About 2.5 acre yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitting an offer.
-
2025-12-03$179,900 Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Nice home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large den with wood burning fireplace. Living room area. Good size kitchen. Nice size bedrooms. Attached 2 car carport. About 2.5 acre yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitting an offer.
-
2017-12-01soldstatus $150,000
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2004-02-06soldstatus
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1999-10-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $958 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $958 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$958
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,637
- − Management
- −$1,637
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $4,978
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,195
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,530/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 164,123
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,874
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 17% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.82%
- Current HPI
- 158.0139
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-3.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $144,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $154,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $159,900 NTREIS
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $169,900 NTREIS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $179,900 NTREIS
- 2017-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2004-02-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-10-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $958 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…