12305 State Highway 206 · Walton, NY 13856

$229,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured public records · 224 Days on market

Built 2020 1.00 ac lot ↓ 8% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.7/30.0
• DSCR +9.2/10.0
• Appreciation +7.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.9/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2020 manufactured home offering comfort, convenience, and room to grow. With 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this property combines modern living with a peaceful country setting. Inside, you’ll find the open concept layout featuring a bright living room that flows into the kitchen and dining area. Perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen boasts ample cabinet space, modern appliances and plenty of counter space. The spacious primary suite includes a private bath, while the additional bedrooms are well sized, have their own closets and share a second full bathroom. Step outside to enjoy the back porch. The ideal spot for relaxing e

Key facts

• Ample cabinet space
• Back porch
• Open concept layout

Tags

• OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT
• AMPLE CABINET SPACE
• BACK PORCH
• 1 ACRE OF LAND
• DETACHED GARAGE
• EASY ACCESS TO TOWN AMENITIES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $229k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
• Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 7.8% in Walton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#443 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Walton Central School District (town): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #510 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $15k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
• Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $201,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.19% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.54%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.60%
• DSCR: 1.52
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 24.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.60×
• Total profit: $102,819
• Equity at exit: $140,989

10-year hold

• IRR: 23.3%
• Equity multiple: 5.25×
• Total profit: $272,312
• Equity at exit: $253,152

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13856

• Home prices YoY: 1.8%
• Active inventory: 57
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,725 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,201
• Tax from tax record: −$237 /mo · $2,841/yr
• Insurance: −$95
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$572
• Net cashflow: $620

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,941

Max offer price $229,000

Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $57,250
• Closing costs: $6,870
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-04-11
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-24
   price $229,000
3. 2025-12-13
   price $249,000
4. 2025-08-30
   listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,841 · $237/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,356 · $280/mo
• Expected delta: +$515/yr (+$43/mo · 18.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $32,704
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,828
• − Property taxes: −$2,841
• − Insurance: −$1,145
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,616
• − Management: −$2,616
• − Depreciation: −$6,662
• Taxable income: $3,996
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$959
• After-tax cash flow: $6,480/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Walton Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3629820
• Math proficiency: 36% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $41,231
• Composite: 34.86/100
• National rank: #5088
• State rank: #510 of 590 in NY

Livability — Walton

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #443
• US rank: #7789

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 5,915

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 42,668 people
• By 2030: 40,337 · -5.5%
• By 2040: 35,514 · -16.8%
• By 2050: 31,265 · -26.7%
• By 2075: 24,455 · -42.7%
• By 2100: 19,529 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 7% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

• 2024 margin: R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.79%
• Current HPI: 331.9799
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-8.4% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-11 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2026-03-24 Price Changed $229,000 UNYREIS
• 2025-12-13 Price Changed $249,000 UNYREIS
• 2025-08-30 Listed $250,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,841 · +23.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.