CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
889 Powell Rd
D Composite 42.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

889 Powell Rd · Kirbyville, MO 65679
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 744 sqft · Other · 59 Days on market
Built 2006 6.38 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Through no fault of the Seller this is back on the market. Buyer could not perform. Looking for your next project! Have I got a deal for you! :0 Add the nice 2 car garage AND it is situated on 4.68 acres, so plenty of space for whatever your needs might be. This property is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. No repairs will be made. Be aware of open vents with no covers in living room floor. Back deck is in disrepair. Please use caution when entering. That's why we call them fixer uppers! :) Cash only.

Key facts

  • Private getaway
  • New septic installed
  • Sheetrock completed

Tags

5 ACRE PROPERTYNEW SEPTIC INSTALLEDSHEETROCK COMPLETEDROOM TO ADD MULTIPLE CABINSPRIME TOURIST AREAPRIVATE GETAWAY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Propane
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-wide; Metal roof; Faces front
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built as a mobile home
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Chain link fencing; Few trees on lot; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wood heating (fireplace); Additional heating; Ceiling fans; Wall cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Laminate countertops; Window coverings and blinds; Free-standing wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($428/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (21.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $90k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.3% in Kirbyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#494 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Kirbyville R-VI (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #128 of 535 in MO (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Kirbyville Elem. (math 50% / reading 50%, grade D, #284 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 113 students, 67% FRL); Kirbyville Middle (math 32% / reading 52%, grade D-, #149 of 391 statewide, top 41%, 107 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 331 units permitted in Taney County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Taney County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $89,758 (21.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.33%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-16,423
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-11,622
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65679

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$898 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $269/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$188
Net cashflow
$36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $852
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $101 -5% $68 +0% $36 +5% $3 +10% $-29
Rent -10% $-35 -5% $0 +0% $36 +5% $71 +10% $107
Rate -1.0pp $94 -0.5pp $65 base $36 +0.5pp $6 +1.0pp $-24

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $115,000 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $115,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
  17. 2026-05-11
    price $115,000
  18. 2026-05-01
    price $130,000
  19. 2026-04-24
    listed $140,000 Active
  20. 2024-06-20
    soldstatus Closed 511-char remark
    Show marketing remark (511 chars)

    Through no fault of the Seller this is back on the market. Buyer could not perform. Looking for your next project! Have I got a deal for you! :0 Add the nice 2 car garage AND it is situated on 4.68 acres, so plenty of space for whatever your needs might be. This property is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. No repairs will be made. Be aware of open vents with no covers in living room floor. Back deck is in disrepair. Please use caution when entering. That's why we call them fixer uppers! :) Cash only.

  21. 2024-06-20
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (511 chars)

    Through no fault of the Seller this is back on the market. Buyer could not perform. Looking for your next project! Have I got a deal for you! :0 Add the nice 2 car garage AND it is situated on 4.68 acres, so plenty of space for whatever your needs might be. This property is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. No repairs will be made. Be aware of open vents with no covers in living room floor. Back deck is in disrepair. Please use caution when entering. That's why we call them fixer uppers! :) Cash only.

  22. 2024-06-12
    status Pending 511-char remark
    Show marketing remark (511 chars)

    Through no fault of the Seller this is back on the market. Buyer could not perform. Looking for your next project! Have I got a deal for you! :0 Add the nice 2 car garage AND it is situated on 4.68 acres, so plenty of space for whatever your needs might be. This property is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. No repairs will be made. Be aware of open vents with no covers in living room floor. Back deck is in disrepair. Please use caution when entering. That's why we call them fixer uppers! :) Cash only.

  23. 2024-05-06
    status Active 511-char remark
    Show marketing remark (511 chars)

    Through no fault of the Seller this is back on the market. Buyer could not perform. Looking for your next project! Have I got a deal for you! :0 Add the nice 2 car garage AND it is situated on 4.68 acres, so plenty of space for whatever your needs might be. This property is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. No repairs will be made. Be aware of open vents with no covers in living room floor. Back deck is in disrepair. Please use caution when entering. That's why we call them fixer uppers! :) Cash only.

  24. 2024-04-30
    status Pending 511-char remark
    Show marketing remark (511 chars)

    Through no fault of the Seller this is back on the market. Buyer could not perform. Looking for your next project! Have I got a deal for you! :0 Add the nice 2 car garage AND it is situated on 4.68 acres, so plenty of space for whatever your needs might be. This property is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. No repairs will be made. Be aware of open vents with no covers in living room floor. Back deck is in disrepair. Please use caution when entering. That's why we call them fixer uppers! :) Cash only.

  25. 2024-04-25
    listed $65,000 Active 511-char remark
    Show marketing remark (511 chars)

    Through no fault of the Seller this is back on the market. Buyer could not perform. Looking for your next project! Have I got a deal for you! :0 Add the nice 2 car garage AND it is situated on 4.68 acres, so plenty of space for whatever your needs might be. This property is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. No repairs will be made. Be aware of open vents with no covers in living room floor. Back deck is in disrepair. Please use caution when entering. That's why we call them fixer uppers! :) Cash only.

  26. 1999-12-10
    soldstatus
  27. 1999-12-08
    soldstatus
  28. 1996-06-28
    soldstatus
  29. 1993-10-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$269 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,116 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$847/yr (+$71/mo · 314.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,771
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$269
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$862
− Management
−$862
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$1,584
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$380
After-tax cash flow
$808/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kirbyville R-VI
NCES district ID
2916710
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,364
Composite
43.98/100
National rank
#6266
State rank
#128 of 535 in MO

Livability — Kirbyville

Score
60/100
State rank
#494
US rank
#19167

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,738

Population outlook (Taney County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,017 people
By 2030
61,235 · +3.8%
By 2040
65,225 · +10.5%
By 2050
68,842 · +16.6%
By 2075
77,705 · +31.7%
By 2100
82,002 · +38.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Taney

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.3) · D 19.9% · R 79.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.2pp toward R · 2008: -37.2pp · 2024: -59.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.3 2020: R+57.7 2016: R+59.3 2012: R+47.4 2008: R+37.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.10%
Current HPI
203.7471
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+76.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $115,000 SOMO
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $130,000 SOMO
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $140,000 SOMO
  • 2024-06-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-06-20 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2024-06-12 Pending SOMO
  • 2024-05-06 Relisted SOMO
  • 2024-04-30 Pending SOMO
  • 2024-04-25 Listed $65,000 SOMO
  • 1999-12-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-12-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-06-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1993-10-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $269 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…