1090 S Lake Claiborne Rd · Port Gibson, MS
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in a secure gated community, this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers comfort, privacy, and excellent outdoor living space. Enjoy year-round outdoor living with a screened porch and a covered patio, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The large, shaded backyard offers a peaceful retreat with ample space for gardening, play, or pets. Two covered carports offer convenient and protected parking.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Covered carports
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($997 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#121 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Claiborne County School District (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #119 of 130 in MS (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 98% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Claiborne County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 390 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 390 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.63%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $19,251
- Equity at exit
- $26,985
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $53,838
- Equity at exit
- $36,955
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39150
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $997 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $442/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $260
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $302 | -5% $281 | +0% $260 | +5% $238 | +10% $217 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $181 | -5% $220 | +0% $260 | +5% $299 | +10% $338 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $297 | -0.5pp $279 | base $260 | +0.5pp $240 | +1.0pp $220 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,000 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $75,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $75,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
Located in a secure gated community, this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers comfort, privacy, and excellent outdoor living space. Enjoy year-round outdoor living with a screened porch and a covered patio, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The large, shaded backyard offers a peaceful retreat with ample space for gardening, play, or pets. Two covered carports offer convenient and protected parking.
-
2025-11-12price $85,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
Located in a secure gated community, this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers comfort, privacy, and excellent outdoor living space. Enjoy year-round outdoor living with a screened porch and a covered patio, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The large, shaded backyard offers a peaceful retreat with ample space for gardening, play, or pets. Two covered carports offer convenient and protected parking.
-
2025-08-12price $90,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
Located in a secure gated community, this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers comfort, privacy, and excellent outdoor living space. Enjoy year-round outdoor living with a screened porch and a covered patio, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The large, shaded backyard offers a peaceful retreat with ample space for gardening, play, or pets. Two covered carports offer convenient and protected parking.
-
2025-05-28$99,000 Active 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
Located in a secure gated community, this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers comfort, privacy, and excellent outdoor living space. Enjoy year-round outdoor living with a screened porch and a covered patio, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The large, shaded backyard offers a peaceful retreat with ample space for gardening, play, or pets. Two covered carports offer convenient and protected parking.
-
2011-08-16soldstatus $60,000
-
1999-05-19soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $442 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $593 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- +$150/yr (+$13/mo · 33.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,961
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$442
- − Insurance
- −$1,172
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$957
- − Management
- −$957
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,049
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$492
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,622/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Claiborne County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801020
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,274
- Composite
- 7.24/100
- National rank
- #9959
- State rank
- #119 of 130 in MS
Livability — Port Gibson
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #13508
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,094
Population outlook (Claiborne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,631 people
- By 2030
- 8,271 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 7,570 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 7,065 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 6,329 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 5,655 · -34.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 84% White 13% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Claiborne
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.5) · D 83.3% · R 15.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.6pp toward R · 2008: 72.1pp · 2024: 67.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.5 2020: D+71.2 2016: D+71.4 2012: D+76.5 2008: D+72.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.35%
- Current HPI
- 71.3734
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+25.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $75,000 VWCBR
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $85,000 VWCBR
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $90,000 VWCBR
- 2025-05-28 Listed $99,000 VWCBR
- 2011-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $442 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…