5328 Golf Forest Ct · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2Br/1BA home is a perfect starter home for 1st time home buyers or small family. This is a HabiJax home Owner occupied only. Sorry no investors. Owner is tearing out old carpet to install new tile. Includes one year home warranty.
Key facts
- Ample outdoor space
- Inviting front porch
- New lvp flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry level: 1
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Laminate flooring
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($227/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (11.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $111k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Northwestern Legends Elementary (math 21% / reading 14%, grade F, #2,117 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 528 students, 88% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Jean Ribault High School (math 22% / reading 25%, grade F, #533 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,385 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 49% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.65%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $104,060
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5298 Golfbrook Dr | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 875 (+2%) | 8mo | $116,500 | $133 | 83 |
| 7069 Alan Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 872 (+1%) | 8mo | $129,900 | $149 | 62 |
| 1595 W 32nd St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-2%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $125 | 54 |
| 7400 Fernandina Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 933 (+8%) | 1mo | $28,000 | $30 | 54 |
| 5752 Oprey St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 912 (+6%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $121 | 52 |
| 844 Crestwood St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-8%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $95 | 48 |
| 831 Ashford St | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 912 (+6%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $44 | 48 |
| 753 Fernway St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 929 (+8%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $118 | 46 |
| 7447 Oriole St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 912 (+6%) | 8mo | $71,250 | $78 | 43 |
| 1594 W 33rd St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 870 (+1%) | 17mo | $90,000 | $103 | 42 |
| 1559 W 31st St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 759 (-12%) | 4mo | $113,000 | $149 | 42 |
| 7381 Fernandina Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 732 (-15%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $171 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-22,281
- Equity at exit
- $18,636
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-30,342
- Equity at exit
- $10,807
Cash invested: $34,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,781/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $19
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $90 | -5% $54 | +0% $19 | +5% $-16 | +10% $-52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-69 | -5% $-25 | +0% $19 | +5% $63 | +10% $106 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $82 | -0.5pp $51 | base $19 | +0.5pp $-13 | +1.0pp $-46 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,248
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1536 W 45th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1136 Maynard St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,045 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4813 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $870 | $1.15 | 4d | 8 | 0.41mi |
| 1059 Glencarin St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $897 | $1.39 | 6d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 961 Dorchester St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,025 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 5736 Teeler Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,000 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1567 Rutledge Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,113 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5352 Dodge Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,261 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5350 Dodge Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1653 W 35th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1803 W 44th St Unit 1803 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 9d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1551 W 33rd St #2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $795 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1823 W 44th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 851 Broxton St Unit 851 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $875 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1417 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,100 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4114 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $975 | $1.19 | 9d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4114 Moncrief Rd Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $1,050 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1316 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $998 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1584 W 31st St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $900 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1599 W 30th St Unit B Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,150 | $1.47 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1196 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $880 | $1.01 | 19d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1244 Ida St Apt 4 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 686 | $900 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1959 W 45th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,245 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1204 W 29th St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 3.0 | 960 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 16d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1220 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,299 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3902 Stuart St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1104 W 29th St Unit 1104 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $850 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1556 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $875 | $1.28 | 12d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5514 Long St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,250 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1201 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,145 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1173 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,145 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4721 E Castlewood Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,250 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1437 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $650 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1636 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,375 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5616 Calvin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,195 | $1.19 | 9d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1839 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,050 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 917 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,200 | $1.79 | 19d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1737 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $700 | $0.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 849 W 30th St Apt 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $965 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7350 Linda Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $795 | $0.83 | 9d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $124,990 Pending 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $124,990 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,990 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,990 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,990 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,990 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$124,990 Active
-
2024-04-02historical $1,159
-
2024-03-19price $1,159
-
2024-02-28$1,199
-
2022-04-20soldstatus $6,500,000
-
2022-02-16soldstatus $4,991,200
-
2015-10-22soldstatus $579,600
-
2012-09-15historical 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
This 2Br/1BA home is a perfect starter home for 1st time home buyers or small family. This is a HabiJax home Owner occupied only. Sorry no investors. Owner is tearing out old carpet to install new tile. Includes one year home warranty.
-
2011-09-16$27,900 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
This 2Br/1BA home is a perfect starter home for 1st time home buyers or small family. This is a HabiJax home Owner occupied only. Sorry no investors. Owner is tearing out old carpet to install new tile. Includes one year home warranty.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,781 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,781 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,290
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,001
- − Property taxes
- −$1,781
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,063
- − Management
- −$1,063
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$1,880
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$451
- After-tax cash flow
- $679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+348.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $124,990 realMLS
- 2024-04-02 Rental Removed $1,159 RENT.
- 2024-03-19 Price Changed $1,159 RENT.
- 2024-02-28 Listed for Rent $1,199 RENT.
- 2022-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $6,500,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $4,991,200 Public Records
- 2015-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $579,600 Public Records
- 2012-09-15 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2011-09-16 Listed $27,900 realMLS
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,781 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…