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5525 Safari Trl
C Composite 55.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.7/10.0

$240,000

5525 Safari Trl · Arlington, TX 76018
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,603 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1985 5,053 sqft lot Est $306k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

An investor’s dream property or the perfect multi-generational home! This versatile 1,803 sq. ft. property boasts major high-ticket updates, including a hot water heater, a dishwasher, along with a complete roof replacement in 2016. The highly functional layout features two primary bedrooms, each equipped with its own spacious walk-in closet and dedicated dressing areas in the full bathrooms for maximum privacy and convenience. Natural light floods the home through two skylights, creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere. The main living space flows effortlessly into a charming breakfast nook for casual dining. Situated in a prime Southeast Arlington location, you will enjoy unbeata

Key facts

  • 5,053 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1985

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing accepts cash and conventional financing
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Covered parking space (1); On-street parking
  • Utilities: City sewer; City water; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1985; Frame construction; Composition/shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Interior lot; Less than 0.5 acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Primary bedroom located on level 2; One bedroom on level 1; additional bedrooms on level 2
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Seven total rooms; One living area; One dining area; Decorative fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $240k).
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.7% in Arlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#75 in TX, #2,697 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
  • Arlington ISD (urban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #629 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Fitzgerald El (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,883 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 531 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 60% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $240,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.12%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$306,173
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2018 Cliffside Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,629 (+2%) 6mo $285,000 $175 63
5615 Wellston Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,499 (-6%) 11mo $299,999 $200 62
5537 Four Winds Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,393 (-13%) 5mo $257,000 $184 57
1808 Wolf Creek Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,722 (+7%) 3mo $348,888 $203 52
1621 Loveland Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,621 (+1%) 12mo $320,000 $197 52
5536 Creekridge Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,364 (-15%) 7mo $279,900 $205 51
1507 Endicott Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,725 (+8%) 11mo $310,000 $180 48
1416 Garrison St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,729 (+8%) 10mo $329,900 $191 47
2200 Belton Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,761 (+10%) 5mo $320,000 $182 46
1514 Sayles Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,832 (+14%) 0mo $340,000 $186 43
4950 Highbank Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,405 (-12%) 2mo $295,000 $210 43
5703 Prescott Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,800 (+12%) 4mo $300,000 $167 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-31,532
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-28,117
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76018

Home prices YoY
-2.8%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,423 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$381 /mo · $4,569/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$509
Net cashflow
$175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,202
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5416 Spring Willow Dr Arlington, TX 4.0 2.0 1441 $1,899 $1.32 11d 1 0.18mi
1404 Ardmore Dr Arlington, TX 4.0 2.5 1915 $2,473 $1.29 43d 1 0.21mi
1505 Gentle Wind Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 1.0 1191 $2,000 $1.68 18d 1 0.21mi
5532 Four Winds Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1285 $1,930 $1.50 1d 1 0.24mi
1502 Barbara Ln Arlington, TX 4.0 2.0 1847 $2,071 $1.12 43d 1 0.40mi
1733 Duster Cir Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,125 $1.29 43d 1 0.62mi
6014 Parkmeadow Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1940 $2,450 $1.26 13d 1 0.64mi
1408 Seely St Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 2125 $2,350 $1.11 4d 1 0.70mi
2131 Post Wood Ln Arlington, TX 4.0 2.0 1955 $2,700 $1.38 10d 1 0.73mi
2222 Edinburgh St Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1812 $2,290 $1.26 3d 1 0.81mi
2222 Edinburgh St Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1812 $2,290 $1.26 19d 1 0.81mi
1521 Brookleaf Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1625 $2,449 $1.51 43d 1 0.84mi
6015 Harwood Crossing Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1643 $2,200 $1.34 14d 1 0.86mi
1805 Crimson Ct Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1314 $1,925 $1.46 43d 1 0.89mi
6323 Brookbriar Ct Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,727 $1.73 44d 1 0.92mi
6323 Brookbriar Ct Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1575 $3,312 $2.10 22d 1 0.92mi
5305 Manhassett Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1576 $2,100 $1.33 24d 1 0.93mi
2334 Belton Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1707 $2,950 $1.73 43d 1 0.95mi
2318 Bennington Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1615 $2,295 $1.42 24d 1 0.96mi
706 Langford Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1651 $2,200 $1.33 1d 1 0.97mi
4806 Shadyway Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1357 $2,300 $1.69 24d 1 0.99mi
2402 Bennington Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1909 $2,145 $1.12 43d 1 0.99mi
6406 Brookglen Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1320 $2,185 $1.66 43d 1 1.01mi
1100 Mapleview Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1580 $2,098 $1.33 43d 1 1.01mi
2411 Bennington Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1738 $2,490 $1.43 43d 1 1.04mi
6002 Rising Meadow Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1864 $2,750 $1.48 43d 1 1.07mi
2425 Bennington Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1738 $2,325 $1.34 4d 1 1.09mi
6101 Summerfield Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,440 $1.55 7d 1 1.12mi
5809 Coldsworth Ct Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1990 $2,450 $1.23 43d 1 1.15mi
6320 Merritt Way Ct Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 2142 $2,650 $1.24 24d 1 1.18mi
734 Port Richmond Way Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1424 $2,050 $1.44 43d 1 1.22mi
4836 Gloucester Dr Grand Prairie, TX 4.0 2.0 2074 $2,450 $1.18 16d 1 1.26mi
6002 Cohoke Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,050 $1.30 43d 1 1.26mi
529 Nightshade Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1208 $1,950 $1.61 43d 1 1.31mi
708 Port Richmond Way Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1180 $1,900 $1.61 10d 1 1.32mi
4450 S State Highway 360 Grand Prairie, TX 2.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1477 $3,076 $2.08 2d 11 1.35mi
6202 Tidewater Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1424 $2,100 $1.47 19d 1 1.36mi
6403 Jennie Ln Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1491 $2,400 $1.61 43d 1 1.39mi
6410 Juliette Run Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1563 $2,009 $1.29 11d 1 1.40mi
6703 Dusty Ridge Trl Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1441 $2,000 $1.39 3d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 693-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $240,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,569 · $381/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,569 · $381/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,076
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$4,569
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,326
− Management
−$2,326
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$1,771
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$425
After-tax cash flow
$2,523/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Arlington ISD
NCES district ID
4808700
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$50,873
Composite
25.42/100
National rank
#7458
State rank
#629 of 826 in TX

Livability — Arlington

Score
78/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#2697

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Arlington, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
366,588
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
26,834
Household income
$88,288
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
598.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.76)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 34% Black 24% White 23% Asian 14% Two or more races 14% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.64%
Current HPI
296.8765
Rent YoY
▲ 1.39%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $240,000 NTREIS
  • 1999-04-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-09-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-09-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-03-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,569 · -7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…