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5422 Portland Rd
B Composite 70.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

5422 Portland Rd · Salem, OR 97305
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 8,690 sqft · Land public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1987

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come check out this very cute and clean 2 bed / 2 bath home in a park. New asphalt roof in 2017, new HVAC in 2021, new carpet in 2021. Covered enclosed patio with lots of extra room. Adult park 55+ (one resident can be as young as 45)

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1987
  • Listed 3 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 33.3% vs local median 2.9% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#59 in OR, #2,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Clear Lake Elementary School (336 students, 57% FRL); Whiteaker Middle School (682 students, 90% FRL); Mcnary High School (2,081 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 53% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 177 active listings in the ZIP; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.72%
Cap rate
33.27%
Cash-on-cash
96.33%
DSCR
5.29
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
97.3%
Equity multiple
5.54×
Total profit
$76,208
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
99.9%
Equity multiple
11.54×
Total profit
$177,103
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97305

Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,232 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$469
Net cashflow
$1,349

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,390 -5% $1,369 +0% $1,349 +5% $1,328 +10% $1,307
Rent -10% $1,172 -5% $1,260 +0% $1,349 +5% $1,437 +10% $1,525
Rate -1.0pp $1,379 -0.5pp $1,364 base $1,349 +0.5pp $1,333 +1.0pp $1,317

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-20
    listed $60,000 Active
  4. 2023-07-24
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Come check out this very cute and clean 2 bed / 2 bath home in a park. New asphalt roof in 2017, new HVAC in 2021, new carpet in 2021. Covered enclosed patio with lots of extra room. Adult park 55+ (one resident can be as young as 45)

  5. 2023-06-08
    status Pending 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Come check out this very cute and clean 2 bed / 2 bath home in a park. New asphalt roof in 2017, new HVAC in 2021, new carpet in 2021. Covered enclosed patio with lots of extra room. Adult park 55+ (one resident can be as young as 45)

  6. 2023-03-14
    listed $75,000 Active 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Come check out this very cute and clean 2 bed / 2 bath home in a park. New asphalt roof in 2017, new HVAC in 2021, new carpet in 2021. Covered enclosed patio with lots of extra room. Adult park 55+ (one resident can be as young as 45)

  7. 2011-04-20
    soldstatus $11,000 Sold
  8. 2011-04-06
    status Pending
  9. 2010-11-06
    status Active
  10. 2010-11-04
    historical
  11. 2010-05-03
    listed $15,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,784
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,143
− Management
−$2,143
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$16,192
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,886
After-tax cash flow
$12,298/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem-Keizer SD 24J
NCES district ID
4110820
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,632
Composite
37.16/100
National rank
#9017
State rank
#103 of 183 in OR

Livability — Salem

Score
79/100
State rank
#59
US rank
#2084

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, OR
City population
193,601
Population (ZIP)
45,044

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
360,940 people
By 2030
375,178 · +3.9%
By 2040
400,914 · +11.1%
By 2050
422,187 · +17.0%
By 2075
460,305 · +27.5%
By 2100
464,025 · +28.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% White 44% Two or more races 16% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 3% Native American 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 41%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, China
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -328.50%
Current HPI
296.3428
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+300.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Pending RMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $60,000 RMLS
  • 2023-07-24 Sold (MLS) $60,000 RMLS
  • 2023-06-08 Pending RMLS
  • 2023-03-14 Listed $75,000 RMLS
  • 2011-04-20 Sold (MLS) $11,000 RMLS
  • 2011-04-06 Pending RMLS
  • 2010-11-06 Relisted RMLS
  • 2010-11-04 Delisted RMLS
  • 2010-05-03 Listed $15,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+63.4%/yr

Latest (2020): $110,338 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…