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5921 John St
D Composite 43.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,000

5921 John St · Austell, GA 30106
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,656 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1970 10,454 sqft lot $168/sqft · 8% below area Est $303k · 8% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This solid, one-level home offers the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to make a space their own. Situated on a spacious lot with a fenced yard all around the home, this property has great bones and tons of upside. Step inside to find a traditional layout featuring a large family den with a brick fireplace, original character throughout, and plenty of natural light. The home offers a functional kitchen and a layout ready for your personal updates. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the covered front porch, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Out back, you'll find a fenced yard, storage building, and room to have a garden, or create your ideal outdoor space.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Fenced yard
  • Brick fireplace

Tags

FENCED YARDBRICK FIREPLACECOVERED FRONT PORCHSTORAGE BUILDINGSPACIOUS LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-level home; Resale property; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction (brick 4 sides); Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Chain link fencing; Outbuilding / shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Four main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating; Radiant heating
  • Interior features: One fireplace in the family room; No shared/common walls; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Mud room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-75/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $278k (0.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (18.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $227k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.7% in Austell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#175 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cobb County (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #25 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hendricks Elementary School (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #797 of 1,228 statewide, top 65%, 502 students, 74% FRL); Garrett Middle School (math 15% / reading 21%, grade F, #375 of 470 statewide, top 80%, 906 students, 85% FRL); South Cobb High School (math 21% / reading 20%, grade F, #231 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 2,127 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 39% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cobb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,625 units permitted in Cobb County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cobb County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,113 (18.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.10%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$302,945
List price
$279,000
Delta
-1.30%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6202 Humphries Hill Rd 0.38mi 4/2.0 1,662 (+0%) 9mo $236,900 $143 70
5901 Miller Rd 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,833 (+11%) 11mo $370,000 $202 61
5975 Tate Dr 0.59mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,743 (+5%) 8mo $305,000 $175 47
5890 Betty St 0.07mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,408 (-15%) 22mo $310,000 $220 47
5895 Water Oaks Dr 0.62mi 4/2.5 1,723 (+4%) 15mo $315,000 $183 46
2171 Westside Dr 0.58mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,851 (+12%) 1mo $348,000 $188 41
2021 Westside Dr 0.44mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,890 (+14%) 5mo $350,000 $185 40
5997 Tate Dr 0.66mi 4/3.0 1,797 (+8%) 13mo $330,000 $184 36
5703 Newnan Cir 0.67mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,819 (+10%) 8mo $320,000 $176 35
3080 W Jackson Way 0.60mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,827 (+10%) 12mo $350,000 $192 34
3101 W Jackson Way 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,791 (+8%) 18mo $328,000 $183 31
6000 Water Oaks Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,510 (-9%) 17mo $235,000 $156 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.3%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-49,471
Equity at exit
$41,600
10-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-58,918
Equity at exit
$24,123

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30106

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,271 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,463
Tax from tax record
$221 /mo · $2,653/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$477
Net cashflow
$-6

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,279
Max offer price $277,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $152 -5% $73 +0% $-6 +5% $-85 +10% $-164
Rent -10% $-186 -5% $-96 +0% $-6 +5% $83 +10% $173
Rate -1.0pp $134 -0.5pp $65 base $-6 +0.5pp $-79 +1.0pp $-152

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,750
Closing costs
$8,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6403 Kensington Ct Austell, GA 4.0 2.0 1352 $1,674 $1.24 26d 1 0.41mi
3034 Millstone Ct Austell, GA 4.0 2.0 1430 $1,825 $1.28 26d 1 0.51mi
3034 Millstone Ct Austell, GA 4.0 2.0 1430 $1,825 $1.28 24d 1 0.51mi
5989 Bowden St Austell, GA 4.0 3.0 1388 $3,965 $2.86 45d 1 0.64mi
5734 Newnan Cir Austell, GA 4.0 3.0 2001 $2,251 $1.12 45d 1 0.64mi
5955 Water Oaks Dr Austell, GA 4.0 2.0 1490 $2,176 $1.46 14d 1 0.70mi
7201 Pine St Unit A Austell, GA 4.0 3.0 1900 $2,250 $1.18 26d 1 0.90mi
5995 Spring St Austell, GA 3.0 2.0 1905 $4,500 $2.36 4d 1 1.00mi
6230 Love St Austell, GA 4.0 2.0 1452 $4,950 $3.41 45d 1 1.13mi
4020 Brookfield Way Austell, GA 4.0 3.0 1934 $2,136 $1.10 26d 1 1.15mi
4040 Brookfield Way Austell, GA 4.0 2.5 2083 $2,430 $1.17 19d 1 1.18mi
5550 Pemrock Ct Powder Springs, GA 3.0 3.0 1613 $2,135 $1.32 26d 1 1.34mi
3946 Creel Dr Lithia Springs, GA 3.0 1.5 1800 $1,595 $0.89 7d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $279,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $299,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $312,000 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    This solid, one-level home offers the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to make a space their own. Situated on a spacious lot with a fenced yard all around the home, this property has great bones and tons of upside. Step inside to find a traditional layout featuring a large family den with a brick fireplace, original character throughout, and plenty of natural light. The home offers a functional kitchen and a layout ready for your personal updates. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the covered front porch, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Out back, you'll find a fenced yard, storage building, and room to have a garden, or create your ideal outdoor space.

  17. 2026-05-14
    price $312,000 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    This solid, one-level home offers the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to make a space their own. Situated on a spacious lot with a fenced yard all around the home, this property has great bones and tons of upside. Step inside to find a traditional layout featuring a large family den with a brick fireplace, original character throughout, and plenty of natural light. The home offers a functional kitchen and a layout ready for your personal updates. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the covered front porch, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Out back, you'll find a fenced yard, storage building, and room to have a garden, or create your ideal outdoor space.

  18. 2026-05-01
    listed $329,000 New 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    This solid, one-level home offers the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to make a space their own. Situated on a spacious lot with a fenced yard all around the home, this property has great bones and tons of upside. Step inside to find a traditional layout featuring a large family den with a brick fireplace, original character throughout, and plenty of natural light. The home offers a functional kitchen and a layout ready for your personal updates. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the covered front porch, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Out back, you'll find a fenced yard, storage building, and room to have a garden, or create your ideal outdoor space.

  19. 2026-05-01
    listed $329,000 Active 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    This solid, one-level home offers the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to make a space their own. Situated on a spacious lot with a fenced yard all around the home, this property has great bones and tons of upside. Step inside to find a traditional layout featuring a large family den with a brick fireplace, original character throughout, and plenty of natural light. The home offers a functional kitchen and a layout ready for your personal updates. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the covered front porch, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Out back, you'll find a fenced yard, storage building, and room to have a garden, or create your ideal outdoor space.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,653 · $221/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,653 · $221/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,254
− Mortgage interest
−$15,628
− Property taxes
−$2,653
− Insurance
−$1,395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,180
− Management
−$2,180
− Depreciation
−$8,116
Taxable loss
−$4,899
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,176
After-tax cash flow
$1,101/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cobb County
NCES district ID
1301290
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$68,845
Composite
37.93/100
National rank
#4308
State rank
#25 of 174 in GA

Livability — Austell

Score
67/100
State rank
#175
US rank
#11059

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Austell, GA
County
Cobb County · 777,758 people
City population
49,719
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
23,107
Household income
$68,881
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
907.0

Population outlook (Cobb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
868,385 people
By 2030
929,614 · +7.1%
By 2040
1,047,533 · +20.6%
By 2050
1,155,537 · +33.1%
By 2075
1,405,030 · +61.8%
By 2100
1,555,058 · +79.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cobb

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 56.9% · R 42.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+24.3pp toward D · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+14.3 2016: D+2.1 2012: R+12.6 2008: R+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.55%
Current HPI
256.6988
Rent YoY
▲ 1.30%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $299,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $299,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $312,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $312,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $329,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $329,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+21.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,653 · -18.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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