114 Cedar Ridge Loop · Statesville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Manufactured home on . 77 acres of land. Vacant no vin number cash only Appt times Sat 11a-12 Only
Key facts
- 0.77 acre lot
- Built 1987
- Listed 18 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $949 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 3.5% in Statesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#557 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
- Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 287 active listings in the ZIP; 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.24%
- DSCR
- 3.41
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $47,789
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 57.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.59×
- Total profit
- $117,375
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28625
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 287
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,783 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $419/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $949
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2022-01-19soldstatus $60,000
-
2021-12-28status Pending
-
2021-12-26status Active
-
2021-12-20status Pending
-
2021-12-05$75,000 Active
-
1999-08-01soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $419 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $615 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$196/yr (+$16/mo · 46.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,397
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$419
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,712
- − Management
- −$1,712
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $10,797
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,591
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iredell-Statesville Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702310
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▲ 8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,201
- Composite
- 44.98/100
- National rank
- #2703
- State rank
- #51 of 178 in NC
Livability — Statesville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #557
- US rank
- #20505
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Iredell County · 182,638 people
- City population
- 78,393
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,574
- Household income
- $64,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 905.0
Population outlook (Iredell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,510 people
- By 2030
- 206,171 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 227,781 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 245,102 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 280,896 · +44.4%
- By 2100
- 294,375 · +51.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Iredell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.2% · R 65.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.88%
- Current HPI
- 237.0011
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.72%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+22.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2022-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-28 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-26 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-20 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-05 Listed $75,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $419 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…