21850 NW 7th Ct · Pembroke Pines, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,090
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom mobile home in the Heritage City community in Pembroke Pines. Property is in need of repairs throughout but is a diamond in the rough for any dedicated buyer. Property features include: washer/dryer hook-up, open kitchen, great layout and backyard lot, shed by carport, walk-in closet, and many many more. Schedule your appointment today.
Key facts
- 4,106 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $279k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $820 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $279k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.0% in Pembroke Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#54 in FL, #933 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools A-; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living D+.
- Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.59%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $346,560
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21661 NW 8th Ct | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-14%) | 4mo | $299,000 | $240 | 64 |
| 130 NW 218th Way | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+8%) | 18mo | $300,000 | $192 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-3,382
- Equity at exit
- $41,613
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $24,222
- Equity at exit
- $24,131
Cash invested: $78,145 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33029
- Home prices YoY
- -18.3%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 240
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,574 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,464
- Tax from tax record
- −$320 /mo · $3,846/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$103
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$750
- Net cashflow
- $820
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,772
- Closing costs
- $8,373
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21821 S Heritage Cir #1 Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1475 | $2,550 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 21821 S Heritage Cir #1 Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1475 | $2,550 | $1.73 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 20975 NW 1st Ct Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1692 | $3,600 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 20957 NW 1st Ct Unit 20957 Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1749 | $2,900 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 20875 NW 4th St Pembroke Pines, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1361 | $2,500 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 117 NW 209th Trl Pembroke Pines, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1617 | $3,600 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 20919 NW 1st Dr Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1749 | $3,600 | $2.06 | 11d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 20919 NW 1st Dr Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1749 | $3,600 | $2.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 20901 NW 1st Dr Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1692 | $3,300 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 20901 NW 1st Dr Unit 1 Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1692 | $3,200 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 20930 NW 1st St Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1617 | $3,600 | $2.23 | 7d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 20908 NW 1st Dr Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1692 | $3,500 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 20861 NW 4th St Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1361 | $4,000 | $2.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 20841 NW 1st St Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $3,500 | $2.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 20807 NW 1st St #20807 Pembroke Pines, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1361 | $2,650 | $1.95 | 16d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 210 NW 207th Way Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $3,450 | $2.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 20541 SW 2nd St Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1694 | $5,500 | $3.25 | 1d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 387 SW 206th Ave Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $3,500 | $2.41 | 11d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 387 SW 206th Ave Pembroke Pines, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $3,500 | $2.41 | 16d | 1 | 1.24mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $103 · $1,236/yr
Listing history 10 events
-
2025-11-19soldstatus $289,000
-
2025-09-05historical
-
2025-08-01$279,090
-
2017-05-25soldstatus $67,400 Sold 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom mobile home in the Heritage City community in Pembroke Pines. Property is in need of repairs throughout but is a diamond in the rough for any dedicated buyer. Property features include: washer/dryer hook-up, open kitchen, great layout and backyard lot, shed by carport, walk-in closet, and many many more. Schedule your appointment today.
-
2017-03-28status Pending 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom mobile home in the Heritage City community in Pembroke Pines. Property is in need of repairs throughout but is a diamond in the rough for any dedicated buyer. Property features include: washer/dryer hook-up, open kitchen, great layout and backyard lot, shed by carport, walk-in closet, and many many more. Schedule your appointment today.
-
2017-03-17$64,900 Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom mobile home in the Heritage City community in Pembroke Pines. Property is in need of repairs throughout but is a diamond in the rough for any dedicated buyer. Property features include: washer/dryer hook-up, open kitchen, great layout and backyard lot, shed by carport, walk-in closet, and many many more. Schedule your appointment today.
-
2005-11-05soldstatus $104,000
-
1995-11-28soldstatus $48,000
-
1988-03-25soldstatus $45,400
-
1981-04-01soldstatus $8,487
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,846 · $320/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,846 · $320/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,884
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,633
- − Property taxes
- −$3,846
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,431
- − Management
- −$3,431
- − HOA
- −$1,236
- − Depreciation
- −$8,119
- Taxable income
- $5,793
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,390
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,448/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broward
- NCES district ID
- 1200180
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,139
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3621
- State rank
- #46 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pembroke Pines
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #933
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pembroke Pines, FL
- County
- Broward County · 1,963,430 people
- City population
- 180,224
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,070
- Household income
- $146,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,207,033 people
- By 2030
- 2,360,704 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 2,661,208 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 2,946,698 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 3,602,273 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 3,970,984 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 29% White 27% Black 20% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 14% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Russian 1% Estonian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 38% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Broward
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.68%
- Current HPI
- 373.7752
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.17%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+3305.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $289,000 Public Records
- 2025-09-05 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-08-01 Listed $279,090 Beaches MLS
- 2017-05-25 Sold (MLS) $67,400 MARMLS
- 2017-03-28 Pending — MARMLS
- 2017-03-17 Listed $64,900 MARMLS
- 2005-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
- 1995-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1988-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $45,400 Public Records
- 1981-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,487 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,846 · +17.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…