1909 Cricklewood Cv · Breinigsville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute as a Button Townhome located in Applewood Community and Desirable Parkland School District! The home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Features include modern kitchen with granite countertops and newer appliances. Spacious sun filled living room and dining room make entertaining a breeze. The partially finished lower level is great space for a family room or a game room. Laundry room and additional storage finish off the basement. Lots of closet space. The backyard patio is the perfect place to enjoy a glass of wine after a long work day. The community offers a pool, tennis courts and basketball courts as well as 2 playgrounds.
Key facts
- $128 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property manager present
- HOA & community: HOA fee is $770 semi-annually; HOA covers common area maintenance, lawn maintenance, snow removal and other items; Community amenities include swimming pool, club house, tennis courts and basketball courts
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned paved off-street parking (2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Frame/brick/vinyl siding exterior; Replacement double-pane windows; Fee simple ownership; Property in good condition
- Construction: Stick built frame with brick and vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Patio(s); Walkout, partially finished daylight basement; Full basement
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven/range; Water heater
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate plank; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (upper level); One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heat; 200+ amp electric service
- Interior features: Traditional floor plan with formal dining area; Ceiling fans; Master bathroom; Stall shower and tub/shower; Upgraded countertops
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups (basement); Basement laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (5.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $245k (5.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.9% in Breinigsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,251 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Parkland SD (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 539 in PA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Kernsville Sch (math 72% / reading 77%, grade A, #89 of 1,518 statewide, top 7%, 447 students, 24% FRL); Orefield Ms (math 33% / reading 60%, grade D+, #172 of 512 statewide, top 35%, 917 students, 36% FRL); Parkland Hs (math 81% / reading 24%, grade C-, #107 of 437 statewide, top 25%, 3,220 students, 25% FRL).
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $166k; list at $260k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.80%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $296,390
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1930 Cricklewood Cv | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,345 (-3%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $223 | 90 |
| 1931 Cricklewood Cv | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,385 (0%) | 14mo | $314,900 | $227 | 87 |
| 1953 Cricklewood | 0.09mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,400 (+1%) | 23mo | $300,000 | $214 | 66 |
| 8318 Countryside Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,385 (0%) | 21mo | $290,000 | $209 | 65 |
| 8315 Countryside Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 1,520 (+10%) | 3mo | $319,900 | $210 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $139,888
- Equity at exit
- $224,936
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.56×
- Total profit
- $404,482
- Equity at exit
- $475,525
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18051
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,453 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$228 /mo · $2,741/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$128
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$515
- Net cashflow
- $109
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1930 Cricklewood Cv Unit 1930 Fogelsville, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1345 | $2,400 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2367 PA-100 Orefield, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1691 | $2,650 | $1.57 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 8115 Main St Fogelsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1814 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 100 Aviv St Fogelsville, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $2,255 | $2.28 | 2d | 7 | 1.07mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $128 · $1,536/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-01status $260,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $260,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $260,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-05-27$260,000 Active
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2017-04-28soldstatus $166,000 Sold 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
Cute as a Button Townhome located in Applewood Community and Desirable Parkland School District! The home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Features include modern kitchen with granite countertops and newer appliances. Spacious sun filled living room and dining room make entertaining a breeze. The partially finished lower level is great space for a family room or a game room. Laundry room and additional storage finish off the basement. Lots of closet space. The backyard patio is the perfect place to enjoy a glass of wine after a long work day. The community offers a pool, tennis courts and basketball courts as well as 2 playgrounds.
-
2017-04-28soldstatus $166,000
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
Cute as a Button Townhome located in Applewood Community and Desirable Parkland School District! The home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Features include modern kitchen with granite countertops and newer appliances. Spacious sun filled living room and dining room make entertaining a breeze. The partially finished lower level is great space for a family room or a game room. Laundry room and additional storage finish off the basement. Lots of closet space. The backyard patio is the perfect place to enjoy a glass of wine after a long work day. The community offers a pool, tennis courts and basketball courts as well as 2 playgrounds.
-
2017-03-14status Pending 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
Cute as a Button Townhome located in Applewood Community and Desirable Parkland School District! The home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Features include modern kitchen with granite countertops and newer appliances. Spacious sun filled living room and dining room make entertaining a breeze. The partially finished lower level is great space for a family room or a game room. Laundry room and additional storage finish off the basement. Lots of closet space. The backyard patio is the perfect place to enjoy a glass of wine after a long work day. The community offers a pool, tennis courts and basketball courts as well as 2 playgrounds.
-
2017-03-10$161,900 Active 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
Cute as a Button Townhome located in Applewood Community and Desirable Parkland School District! The home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Features include modern kitchen with granite countertops and newer appliances. Spacious sun filled living room and dining room make entertaining a breeze. The partially finished lower level is great space for a family room or a game room. Laundry room and additional storage finish off the basement. Lots of closet space. The backyard patio is the perfect place to enjoy a glass of wine after a long work day. The community offers a pool, tennis courts and basketball courts as well as 2 playgrounds.
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2011-07-10historical
-
2011-07-10historical
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2011-06-08$154,500
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2011-06-08$154,500
-
2011-06-07historical
-
2011-06-06historical
-
2011-01-11$164,900
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2011-01-10$154,900
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1997-11-03soldstatus $83,500
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1988-05-27soldstatus $87,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,741 · $228/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,424 · $285/mo
- Expected delta
- +$684/yr (+$57/mo · 24.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,431
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$2,741
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,354
- − Management
- −$2,354
- − HOA
- −$1,536
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$2,983
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$716
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,028/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Parkland SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218510
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,976
- Composite
- 57.44/100
- National rank
- #1074
- State rank
- #40 of 539 in PA
Livability — Breinigsville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #1251
- US rank
- #15041
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 11,570
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,624
- Household income
- $139,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 34.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 13% Slovak 4% German 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.51%
- Current HPI
- 278.281
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+197.1% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $260,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $166,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-28 Sold (MLS) $166,000 GLVRMLS
- 2017-03-14 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2017-03-10 Listed $161,900 GLVRMLS
- 2011-07-10 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2011-07-10 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2011-06-08 Listed $154,500 GLVRMLS
- 2011-06-08 Listed $154,500 GLVRMLS
- 2011-06-07 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2011-06-06 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2011-01-11 Listed $164,900 GLVRMLS
- 2011-01-10 Listed $154,900 GLVRMLS
- 1997-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
- 1988-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $2,741 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…