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1082 Warvel Rd 🔨 Auction
F Composite 28.06
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.6/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

1082 Warvel Rd · Hamilton, OH 45013
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,604 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1918 5.02 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

STARTING BID: $100,000. Land & Home Auction - February 28th, 2026, at 10:00 AM. Auction will be held live-offsite at Big Buls Roadhouse, 2461 Ross Millville Rd. , Hamilton, Ohio. Tract #4 consists of a well-maintained country home offering over 1,600 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, situated on 5.02 acres. The property includes a bank barn and several additional outbuildings, providing excellent utility for storage, hobby farming, or livestock. This home is selling as Tract #4 within a multi-tract land auction also offering additional acreage. An additional contiguous 160+ acres are selling at the same auction. Great location and perfect country setting! OPE

Key facts

  • 5.02 acre lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 1918

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $100,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $394,584 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 5.1% in Hamilton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#332 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D.
  • Ross Local (rural): math 71% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #95 of 656 in OH (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Elda Elementary School (math 81% / reading 69%, grade A, #266 of 1,584 statewide, top 17%, 375 students, 28% FRL); Ross Middle School (math 65% / reading 75%, grade A, #136 of 654 statewide, top 22%, 726 students, 24% FRL); Ross High School (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #52 of 781 statewide, top 7%, 933 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,163 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (356 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $97,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.47%
Cap rate
3.24%
Cash-on-cash
-10.92%
DSCR
0.51
GRM
17.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$394,584
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1082 Warvel Rd 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,604 (0%) 0mo $395,000 $246 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-35.6%
Equity multiple
-0.15×
Total profit
$-126,795
Equity at exit
$58,834
10-year hold
IRR
-44.6%
Equity multiple
-0.70×
Total profit
$-187,944
Equity at exit
$34,116

Cash invested: $110,484 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45013

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,865 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,069
Tax from tax record
$245 /mo · $2,944/yr
Insurance
$164
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$-1,005

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,138
Max offer price $216,975
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-782 -5% $-894 +0% $-1,005 +5% $-1,117 +10% $-1,229
Rent -10% $-1,153 -5% $-1,079 +0% $-1,005 +5% $-932 +10% $-858
Rate -1.0pp $-807 -0.5pp $-905 base $-1,005 +0.5pp $-1,108 +1.0pp $-1,212

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$98,646
Closing costs
$11,838
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1024 Golfview Dr Hamilton, OH 4.0 2.5 1722 $2,025 $1.18 3d 1 1.14mi
794 Carriage Hill Ln Hamilton, OH 4.0 2.5 1646 $1,895 $1.15 3d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-03
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-08
    listed $100,000 Active
  3. 2026-01-27
    historical $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,944 · $245/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,944 · $245/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,384
− Mortgage interest
−$22,103
− Property taxes
−$2,944
− Insurance
−$1,973
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,791
− Management
−$1,791
− Depreciation
−$11,479
Taxable loss
−$19,696
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,727
After-tax cash flow
$-7,338/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ross Local
NCES district ID
3904614
Math proficiency
71% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$70,035
Composite
64.17/100
National rank
#567
State rank
#95 of 656 in OH

Livability — Hamilton

Score
73/100
State rank
#332
US rank
#5467

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Butler County · 381,674 people
City population
140,900
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
53,998
Household income
$73,633
Rent vs Own
26.5% rent · 73.5% own
Severe rent burden
1047.0

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
387,706 people
By 2030
392,028 · +1.1%
By 2040
395,307 · +2.0%
By 2050
391,116 · +0.9%
By 2075
378,642 · -2.3%
By 2100
343,248 · -11.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.3) · D 36.4% · R 62.7%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.6pp · 2024: -26.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+22.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.85%
Current HPI
237.0239
Rent YoY
▲ 3.69%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Pending NORIS
  • 2026-02-08 Listed $100,000 NORIS
  • 2026-01-27 Coming Soon $100,000 NORIS

Property tax history

+18.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,944 · +18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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