5711 Columbia Way Spc 23 · Quartz Hill, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 28 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home has been recently remodeled - new roof, swamp cooler, heater, garbage disposal, most windows, front door & kitchen floors. This is an older mobile home and traditional financing is not available. Cash buyer is required. This home has a covered patio off living room with sliding glass door, laundry room is located in shed under carport. Property is fully fenced. Tenant is currently in possession - but tenant is moving effective 7/1/16. Call your agent today to schedule an appointment to view the property.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 1969
- Listed 5 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Cap rate 30.1% vs local median 4.1% in Quartz Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#703 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Westside Union Elementary (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #565 of 1,400 in CA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1129 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $55k implies a 293% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 85.17%
- DSCR
- 4.79
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 82.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.60×
- Total profit
- $55,425
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 84.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.63×
- Total profit
- $117,513
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93536
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1129
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,798 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$16 /mo · $197/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $1,093
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,124 | -5% $1,109 | +0% $1,093 | +5% $1,077 | +10% $1,062 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $951 | -5% $1,022 | +0% $1,093 | +5% $1,164 | +10% $1,235 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,121 | -0.5pp $1,107 | base $1,093 | +0.5pp $1,079 | +1.0pp $1,064 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6570 West Avenue L Lancaster, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 531 | $1,645 | $3.10 | 1d | 1 | 0.68mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-07status Pending
-
2026-03-03price $55,000
-
2026-03-02$75,000 Active
-
2016-07-08historical 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
Home has been recently remodeled - new roof, swamp cooler, heater, garbage disposal, most windows, front door & kitchen floors. This is an older mobile home and traditional financing is not available. Cash buyer is required. This home has a covered patio off living room with sliding glass door, laundry room is located in shed under carport. Property is fully fenced. Tenant is currently in possession - but tenant is moving effective 7/1/16. Call your agent today to schedule an appointment to view the property.
-
2016-07-07soldstatus $14,000 Closed 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
Home has been recently remodeled - new roof, swamp cooler, heater, garbage disposal, most windows, front door & kitchen floors. This is an older mobile home and traditional financing is not available. Cash buyer is required. This home has a covered patio off living room with sliding glass door, laundry room is located in shed under carport. Property is fully fenced. Tenant is currently in possession - but tenant is moving effective 7/1/16. Call your agent today to schedule an appointment to view the property.
-
2016-05-27status Pending 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
Home has been recently remodeled - new roof, swamp cooler, heater, garbage disposal, most windows, front door & kitchen floors. This is an older mobile home and traditional financing is not available. Cash buyer is required. This home has a covered patio off living room with sliding glass door, laundry room is located in shed under carport. Property is fully fenced. Tenant is currently in possession - but tenant is moving effective 7/1/16. Call your agent today to schedule an appointment to view the property.
-
2016-04-23$15,000 Active 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
Home has been recently remodeled - new roof, swamp cooler, heater, garbage disposal, most windows, front door & kitchen floors. This is an older mobile home and traditional financing is not available. Cash buyer is required. This home has a covered patio off living room with sliding glass door, laundry room is located in shed under carport. Property is fully fenced. Tenant is currently in possession - but tenant is moving effective 7/1/16. Call your agent today to schedule an appointment to view the property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $197 · $16/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $418 · $35/mo
- Expected delta
- +$221/yr (+$18/mo · 111.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 4 d/yr ≥97°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,581
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$197
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,727
- − Management
- −$1,727
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $12,975
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,114
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,002/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westside Union Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0642120
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,763
- Composite
- 41.01/100
- National rank
- #7473
- State rank
- #565 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Quartz Hill
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #703
- US rank
- #21208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Quartz Hill, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 73,412
- Household income
- $106,903
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1998.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 19% Black 13% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -268.64%
- Current HPI
- 357.0605
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.20%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+266.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Pending — AVMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $55,000 AVMLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $75,000 AVMLS
- 2016-07-08 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2016-07-07 Sold (MLS) $14,000 AVMLS
- 2016-05-27 Pending — AVMLS
- 2016-04-23 Listed $15,000 AVMLS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $197 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…