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830 Bedford Ave
D Composite 43.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$15,000

830 Bedford Ave · Dayton, OH 45402
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 342 Days on market
Built 1929 4,800 sqft lot $20/sqft · 70% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming bungalow located in the Westwood neighborhood. This property offers incredible potential for investors or buyers seeking a fixer-upper. Priced for a quick sale, this home is sold as-is and requires substantial repairs due to possible hail and wind damage. The Property Type is a Bungalow. The Condition: As-is, with no repairs to be made by the seller. Ideal for Investors: Great opportunity for those looking to renovate and add value. Cash Offers Only: Seller will not entertain seller financing. Seller Terms: Seller will cover taxes at closing. On the bus line, Minutes from Downtown Dayton and the VA Medical Center. Contact your local Real Estate Agent today for your Personal showing request!

Key facts

  • Substantial repairs
  • Bus line
  • Fixer-upper

Tags

WESTWOOD NEIGHBORHOODFIXER-UPPERSUBSTANTIAL REPAIRSMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN DAYTONBUS LINE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $714 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
  • Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 63.4% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 342 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $12k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $13,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 342 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.20%
Cap rate
63.38%
Cash-on-cash
203.87%
DSCR
10.07
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$49,982
List price
$15,000
Delta
-69.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
524 Crestmore Ave 0.34mi 2/1.0 786 (+2%) 8mo $75,000 $95 74
936 Walton Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 792 (+3%) 5mo $60,000 $76 68
848 N Upland Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 846 (+10%) 3mo $52,000 $61 67
752 Cleverly Rd 0.60mi 2/1.0 788 (+3%) 2mo $115,000 $146 66
759 Geneva Rd 0.56mi 2/1.0 735 (-4%) 4mo $100,000 $136 63
938 Leland Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 844 (+10%) 0mo $40,000 $47 63
640 Shoop Ave 0.75mi 2/1.0 776 (+1%) 7mo $30,000 $39 58
676 Brooklyn Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 814 (+6%) 6mo $35,000 $43 54
550 Brooklyn Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 864 (+12%) 4mo $80,000 $93 45
361 Roxbury Rd 0.71mi 2/1.0 864 (+12%) 6mo $120,000 $139 41
4660 Gardendale Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+12%) 5mo $80,000 $93 35
4600 Gardendale Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+12%) 7mo $82,000 $95 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.51×
Total profit
$44,130
Equity at exit
$2,237
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
25.19×
Total profit
$101,606
Equity at exit
$1,297

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45402

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,080 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$79
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $659/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$714

Break-even live

Break-even rent $177
Max offer price $15,000
Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,750
Closing costs
$450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 2d 1 0.05mi
863 N Upland Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,200 $1.15 43d 1 0.27mi
3627 Delphos Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 525 $625 $1.19 14d 1 0.40mi
828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 23d 1 0.46mi
920 Huron Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $995 $1.05 3d 1 0.58mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt A Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 2d 1 0.62mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Unit C Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 2d 1 0.62mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt B Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 43d 1 0.62mi
729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 626 $950 $1.52 43d 1 0.63mi
4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 971 $1,000 $1.03 3d 1 0.69mi
4625 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,150 $1.33 2d 1 0.76mi
137 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 784 $900 $1.15 3d 1 0.80mi
3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 43d 1 0.82mi
635 Anna St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 960 $1,300 $1.35 14d 1 0.84mi
4576 Live Oak Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 43d 1 0.88mi
3220 Princeton Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 43d 1 0.92mi
322 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 634 $850 $1.34 43d 1 0.94mi
70 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 966 $1,300 $1.35 2d 1 0.96mi
725 Maplehurst Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1104 $895 $0.81 43d 1 0.98mi
1498 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,025 $1.19 2d 1 1.08mi
3552 Stanford Pl Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 23d 1 1.10mi
3552 Stanford Pl Unit 3552 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 43d 1 1.10mi
41 N Marion St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 652 $925 $1.42 3d 1 1.14mi
1595 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 2d 1 1.15mi
1732 Harold Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 805 $925 $1.15 43d 1 1.22mi
3652 Otterbein Ave Unit 3652 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 2d 1 1.22mi
3650 Otterbein Ave Unit 3650 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 2d 1 1.23mi
3007 Cornell Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 827 $1,000 $1.21 3d 1 1.23mi
342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 2d 1 1.24mi
342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $775 $0.97 43d 1 1.24mi
1427 Stuben Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 957 $900 $0.94 2d 1 1.26mi
1903 W Grand Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 600 $850 $1.42 43d 1 1.32mi
3537 Otterbein Ave Unit d Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 43d 1 1.37mi
500 Bowie Dr Unit 122 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 850 $910 $1.07 43d 1 1.39mi
1720 Kings Mill Ct Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 975 $925 $0.95 23d 1 1.43mi
3311 Otterbein Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1004 $1,300 $1.29 11d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $15,000 Active 342 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $15,000 Active 341 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $15,000 Active 340 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $15,000 Active 339 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $15,000 Active 337 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $15,000 Active 336 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $15,000 Active 334 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $15,000 Active 333 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $15,000 Active 332 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $15,000 Active 331 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $15,000 Active 328 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $15,000 Active 327 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $15,000 Active 326 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $15,000 Active 325 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $15,000 Active 324 DOM
  16. 2026-03-30
    price $15,000 724-char remark
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    Welcome to this charming bungalow located in the Westwood neighborhood. This property offers incredible potential for investors or buyers seeking a fixer-upper. Priced for a quick sale, this home is sold as-is and requires substantial repairs due to possible hail and wind damage. The Property Type is a Bungalow. The Condition: As-is, with no repairs to be made by the seller. Ideal for Investors: Great opportunity for those looking to renovate and add value. Cash Offers Only: Seller will not entertain seller financing. Seller Terms: Seller will cover taxes at closing. On the bus line, Minutes from Downtown Dayton and the VA Medical Center. Contact your local Real Estate Agent today for your Personal showing request!

  17. 2025-07-09
    listed $18,000 Active 724-char remark
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    Welcome to this charming bungalow located in the Westwood neighborhood. This property offers incredible potential for investors or buyers seeking a fixer-upper. Priced for a quick sale, this home is sold as-is and requires substantial repairs due to possible hail and wind damage. The Property Type is a Bungalow. The Condition: As-is, with no repairs to be made by the seller. Ideal for Investors: Great opportunity for those looking to renovate and add value. Cash Offers Only: Seller will not entertain seller financing. Seller Terms: Seller will cover taxes at closing. On the bus line, Minutes from Downtown Dayton and the VA Medical Center. Contact your local Real Estate Agent today for your Personal showing request!

  18. 2016-08-09
    soldstatus $12,000 Sold 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    The property would by perfect for investors. Walking distance from should and bus line. Will not need a lot of work. Being sold by bankruptcy trustee.

  19. 2016-07-15
    soldstatus $12,000 Closed 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    The property would by perfect for investors. Walking distance from should and bus line. Will not need a lot of work. Being sold by bankruptcy trustee.

  20. 2016-06-17
    status Pending 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    The property would by perfect for investors. Walking distance from should and bus line. Will not need a lot of work. Being sold by bankruptcy trustee.

  21. 2016-06-09
    status Active 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    The property would by perfect for investors. Walking distance from should and bus line. Will not need a lot of work. Being sold by bankruptcy trustee.

  22. 2016-06-08
    historical 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    The property would by perfect for investors. Walking distance from should and bus line. Will not need a lot of work. Being sold by bankruptcy trustee.

  23. 2016-03-18
    price $12,000 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    The property would by perfect for investors. Walking distance from should and bus line. Will not need a lot of work. Being sold by bankruptcy trustee.

  24. 2016-03-08
    listed $14,900 Active 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    The property would by perfect for investors. Walking distance from should and bus line. Will not need a lot of work. Being sold by bankruptcy trustee.

  25. 2016-01-30
    historical
  26. 2015-07-30
    listed $14,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$659 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$659 · $55/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,963
− Mortgage interest
−$840
− Property taxes
−$659
− Insurance
−$75
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,037
− Management
−$1,037
− Depreciation
−$436
Taxable income
$8,878
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,131
After-tax cash flow
$6,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
9,407
Household income
$48,401
Rent vs Own
64.1% rent · 35.9% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 32% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.89%
Current HPI
149.7909
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $15,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-07-09 Listed $18,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-08-09 Sold (MLS) $12,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-07-15 Sold (MLS) $12,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-06-17 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2016-06-09 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2016-06-08 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2016-03-18 Price Changed $12,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-03-08 Listed $14,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-01-30 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2015-07-30 Listed $14,900 Dayton MLS

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $659 · -19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…