519 Camellia Ave · Orange, TX 77630

$145,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,340 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market

Built 1958 8,276 sqft lot Est $134k · 8% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.2/30.0
• Appreciation +5.5/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• ARV discount +3.8/15.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.6/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Just totally renovated inside and out. All new stainless appliances, fresh paint inside and out. Crown molding, large built-in entertainment center in living room. New bathroom fixtures, new walk tile in shower in master bathroom. Make your appointment today to view this exceptional home. Also large workshop/storage building in back. Pretty shade trees. Did not flood in Harvey. Ready to move in!

Key facts

• Brand new duct work
• New toilets
• Updated lvp flooring

Tags

• UPDATED LVP FLOORING
• NEW SHEETROCK WALLS
• NEW TOILETS
• FRESHLY RESURFACED TUB
• BRAND NEW DUCT WORK
• GAS STOVE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in the Roselawn subdivision

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Patio; Storage structure

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Range
• Flooring: Tile; Wood
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Breakfast bar

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($928/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (5.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $137k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.9% in Orange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#286 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools D-.
• West Orange-Cove CISD (suburban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #784 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
• Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $136,587 (5.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.93%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.29%
• DSCR: 1.10
• GRM: 8.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $134,000
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
413 Gardenia Ave	0.25mi	3/1.0	1,246 (-7%)	1mo	$124,990	$100	72
313 Camellia Ave	0.26mi	3/2.0	1,490 (+11%)	4mo	$149,900	$101	66
504 Azalea Ave	0.13mi	3/1.0	1,225 (-9%)	17mo	$105,000	$86	62
101 Azalea Ave	0.45mi	3/2.0	1,519 (+13%)	9mo	$115,000	$76	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.01% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 5.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.28×
• Total profit: $11,551
• Equity at exit: $49,575

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.49×
• Total profit: $60,392
• Equity at exit: $65,939

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77630

• Home prices YoY: 0.4%
• Rents YoY: 5.7%
• Active inventory: 337
• Price-to-rent: 8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,366 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$760
• Tax from tax record: −$181 /mo · $2,171/yr
• Insurance: −$60
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$287
• Net cashflow: $77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268

Max offer price $145,000

Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $36,250
• Closing costs: $4,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 30 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
107 Dahlia St Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1149	$1,300	$1.13	13d	1	0.16mi
310 Camellia Ave Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	988	$1,295	$1.31	21d	1	0.26mi
3726 Bowling Ln Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1045	$1,150	$1.10	43d	1	0.27mi
403 Bluebonnet Dr Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1196	$1,300	$1.09	43d	1	0.30mi
306 Bridal Wreath Ave Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1529	$1,195	$0.78	21d	1	0.31mi
302 Bridal Wreath Ave Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1182	$1,195	$1.01	43d	1	0.34mi
3615 Ridgemont Dr Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1266	$1,275	$1.01	43d	1	0.38mi
3714 Ridgemont Dr Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1020	$1,450	$1.42	13d	1	0.40mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 203 Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,084	$1.08	13d	1	0.43mi
101 Azalea Ave Unit A Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1200	$2,000	$1.67	43d	1	0.44mi
316 Old Timers Rd Unit 316 Orange, TX	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,595	$1.33	43d	1	0.47mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Apt 105 Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	952	$1,255	$1.32	21d	1	0.48mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 107 Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	952	$1,255	$1.32	43d	1	0.48mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 404 Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,254	$1.25	43d	1	0.48mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 401 Orange, TX	3.0	2.0	1700	$1,725	$1.01	21d	1	0.48mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 408 Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,059	$1.06	43d	1	0.48mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 315TWNHME Orange, TX	2.0	1.5	1216	$1,040	$0.86	21d	1	0.48mi
3000 MacArthur Dr Orange, TX	3.0	1.0–2.0	791	$1,330	$1.68	13d	12	0.68mi
7b Concord St Orange, TX	2.0	1.5	1206	$1,450	$1.20	13d	1	0.71mi
1120 28th St Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1308	$1,500	$1.15	43d	1	0.84mi
309 Quincy St West Orange, TX	3.0	1.5	1113	$1,200	$1.08	13d	1	0.96mi
205 Gloria St West Orange, TX	3.0	2.0	1225	$1,300	$1.06	43d	1	0.99mi
2602 Tanglewood St West Orange, TX	4.0	2.0	1306	$1,250	$0.96	13d	1	0.99mi
3345 W Park Ave Orange, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	999	$1,182	$1.18	13d	7	1.03mi
210 Florence St Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1064	$1,425	$1.34	43d	1	1.09mi
206 Florence St Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	1216	$1,425	$1.17	43d	1	1.10mi
1543 Alamo St West Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1170	$1,200	$1.03	13d	1	1.11mi
1010 Highway 87 S Orange, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	880	$1,425	$1.62	13d	13	1.26mi
2801 W Sunset Dr Orange, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1113	$1,400	$1.26	13d	27	1.41mi
1102 Cypress Wood Dr Orange, TX	3.0	2.0	1529	$2,050	$1.34	13d	1	1.48mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-05-16
   listed $145,000 Active
2. 2018-07-13
   soldstatus 398-char remark

   Show marketing remark (398 chars)

   Just totally renovated inside and out. All new stainless appliances, fresh paint inside and out. Crown molding, large built-in entertainment center in living room. New bathroom fixtures, new walk tile in shower in master bathroom. Make your appointment today to view this exceptional home. Also large workshop/storage building in back. Pretty shade trees. Did not flood in Harvey. Ready to move in!

3. 2018-07-10
   soldstatus
4. 2018-05-29
   listed $92,500 398-char remark

   Show marketing remark (398 chars)

   Just totally renovated inside and out. All new stainless appliances, fresh paint inside and out. Crown molding, large built-in entertainment center in living room. New bathroom fixtures, new walk tile in shower in master bathroom. Make your appointment today to view this exceptional home. Also large workshop/storage building in back. Pretty shade trees. Did not flood in Harvey. Ready to move in!

5. 2018-03-06
   soldstatus
6. 2018-03-06
   soldstatus
7. 2018-03-02
   soldstatus 88-char remark

   Show marketing remark (88 chars)

   Sold AS IS only. Did not flood with Harvey. Would make a great investor buy. Needs work.

8. 2018-02-12
   listed $30,000 88-char remark

   Show marketing remark (88 chars)

   Sold AS IS only. Did not flood with Harvey. Would make a great investor buy. Needs work.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,171 · $181/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,654 · $221/mo
• Expected delta: +$483/yr (+$40/mo · 22.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,390
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,122
• − Property taxes: −$2,171
• − Insurance: −$725
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,311
• − Management: −$1,311
• − Depreciation: −$4,218
• Taxable loss: −$1,468
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$352
• After-tax cash flow: $1,280/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: West Orange-Cove CISD
• NCES district ID: 4845090
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $37,329
• Composite: 15.86/100
• National rank: #9260
• State rank: #784 of 826 in TX

Livability — Orange

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #286
• US rank: #6456

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Orange, TX
• County: Orange County · 87,112 people
• City population: 22,976
• Metro: Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
• Population (ZIP): 28,983
• Household income: $64,373
• Rent vs Own: 32.2% rent · 67.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 1018.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 88,065 people
• By 2030: 89,591 · +1.7%
• By 2040: 91,982 · +4.4%
• By 2050: 93,023 · +5.6%
• By 2075: 94,871 · +7.7%
• By 2100: 88,155 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 64% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 13% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.01%
• Current HPI: 264.14
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.71%
• Metro: Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+383.3% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-16 Listed $145,000 BBOR
• 2018-07-13 Sold (MLS) — BBOR
• 2018-07-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2018-05-29 Listed $92,500 BBOR
• 2018-03-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2018-03-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2018-03-02 Sold (MLS) — BBOR
• 2018-02-12 Listed $30,000 BBOR

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,171 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.