1003 E National Hwy · Washington, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this cute and clean move in ready 2-3 bedroom, 2 bath home! Fresh paint and updated flooring give a bright and modern feel while maintaining a warm and inviting atmosphere. There's plenty of parking with the freshly poured concrete driveway and a detached garage off the alley with additional parking. Enjoy your morning coffee in the screened in porch overlooking the fully fenced in yard.
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Fully fenced in yard
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (8.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.9% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#110 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Washington Community Schools (town): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #174 of 301 in IN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Washington Upper Elementary (math 44% / reading 43%, grade D, #90 of 330 statewide, top 27%, 361 students, 62% FRL); Washington High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #197 of 369 statewide, top 57%, 780 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.49%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $87,680
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1003 E National Hwy | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 685 (0%) | 1mo | $144,000 | $210 | 94 |
| 1005 E National Hwy | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+6%) | 8mo | $57,500 | $79 | 78 |
| 804 Axtell Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 729 (+6%) | 16mo | $84,000 | $115 | 60 |
| 12 NE 10th St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 754 (+10%) | 13mo | $45,000 | $60 | 51 |
| 705 1/2 Graham St | 0.28mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 588 (-14%) | 20mo | $75,000 | $128 | 38 |
| 307 NE 4th St | 0.66mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 779 (+14%) | 18mo | $101,000 | $130 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-13,281
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $224
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47501
- Home prices YoY
- -23.2%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,277 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $914/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $146
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $224 | -5% $185 | +0% $146 | +5% $106 | +10% $67 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $45 | -5% $95 | +0% $146 | +5% $196 | +10% $247 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $216 | -0.5pp $181 | base $146 | +0.5pp $110 | +1.0pp $73 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-04-12$139,000 Active
-
2026-01-19status Active
-
2026-01-15status Pending
-
2025-11-10price $139,900
-
2025-10-20price $145,000
-
2025-09-18price $149,000
-
2025-07-20$155,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $914 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,048 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$134/yr (+$11/mo · 14.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,323
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$914
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,226
- − Management
- −$1,226
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable loss
- −$567
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$136
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,885/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1812450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,422
- Composite
- 31.57/100
- National rank
- #5952
- State rank
- #174 of 301 in IN
Livability — Washington
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #5706
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washington, IN
- City population
- 18,335
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,335
Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,940 people
- By 2030
- 34,457 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 35,412 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 35,803 · +5.5%
- By 2075
- 35,173 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 29,799 · -12.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Daviess
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.3) · D 17.1% · R 81.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.1pp toward R · 2008: -35.2pp · 2024: -64.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.3 2020: R+62.0 2016: R+62.8 2012: R+50.8 2008: R+35.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.30%
- Current HPI
- 213.3049
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-10.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-04-12 Listed $139,000 IRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-01-15 Pending — IRMLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $139,900 IRMLS
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $145,000 IRMLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $149,000 IRMLS
- 2025-07-20 Listed $155,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2024): $914 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…