109 Fonda Rd · Cohoes, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WAIT TIL YOU SEE THIS WELL MAINTATINED RANCH. SUPER LOCATION, CLOSE TO EVERYTHING. PRETTY BACKYARD, GREAT FOR THE KIDS. LOTS OF UPDATES IN THE MECHANICALS. CALL DENISE 395-0013 FOR SHOWINGS. Excellent Condition
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1964
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.7% in Cohoes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#61 in NY, #895 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-.
- North Colonie CSD (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #102 of 590 in NY (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Boght Hills School (math 77% / reading 77%, grade A, #244 of 2,108 statewide, top 13%, 548 students, 18% FRL); Shaker High School (math 98% / reading 93%, grade A+, #76 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 2,018 students, 25% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 86% at this address vs 73% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the North Colonie CSD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $96k; list at $180k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.29%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $292,824
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Fonda Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (0%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $180 | 99 |
| 138 Springhollow Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,165 (-1%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $249 | 74 |
| 4 Deerfield Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,278 (+9%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $254 | 64 |
| 24 Rose Ct | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,304 (+11%) | 6mo | $275,500 | $211 | 37 |
| 46 Mcdonald Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-14%) | 19mo | $285,000 | $283 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $730
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $72,586
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12047
- Home prices YoY
- -10.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,123 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$353 /mo · $4,236/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$446
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $408 | -5% $357 | +0% $306 | +5% $255 | +10% $204 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $138 | -5% $222 | +0% $306 | +5% $390 | +10% $474 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $397 | -0.5pp $352 | base $306 | +0.5pp $259 | +1.0pp $212 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Cindy Way Cohoes, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1420 | $2,300 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 100 N Mohawk St Cohoes, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1769 | $3,840 | $2.17 | 15d | 18 | 1.08mi |
| 1133 Loudon Rd Cohoes, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1 Hamilton St #2 Cohoes, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1 Hamilton St Unit 1 Cohoes, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 28 Leversee Ave Cohoes, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 12-16 Mangam St Unit 12B Cohoes, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,225 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1 Sound Pl Cohoes, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1787 | $2,894 | $1.62 | 15d | 17 | 1.33mi |
| 45 Johnston Ave Cohoes, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $2,300 | $1.82 | 15d | 3 | 1.39mi |
| 607 Boght Rd Cohoes, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1203 | $2,195 | $1.82 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-04$179,900 Active
-
2000-04-11soldstatus $95,500
-
2000-04-10soldstatus $95,500 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
WAIT TIL YOU SEE THIS WELL MAINTATINED RANCH. SUPER LOCATION, CLOSE TO EVERYTHING. PRETTY BACKYARD, GREAT FOR THE KIDS. LOTS OF UPDATES IN THE MECHANICALS. CALL DENISE 395-0013 FOR SHOWINGS. Excellent Condition
-
2000-03-08historical 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
WAIT TIL YOU SEE THIS WELL MAINTATINED RANCH. SUPER LOCATION, CLOSE TO EVERYTHING. PRETTY BACKYARD, GREAT FOR THE KIDS. LOTS OF UPDATES IN THE MECHANICALS. CALL DENISE 395-0013 FOR SHOWINGS. Excellent Condition
-
1999-09-26$99,500 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
WAIT TIL YOU SEE THIS WELL MAINTATINED RANCH. SUPER LOCATION, CLOSE TO EVERYTHING. PRETTY BACKYARD, GREAT FOR THE KIDS. LOTS OF UPDATES IN THE MECHANICALS. CALL DENISE 395-0013 FOR SHOWINGS. Excellent Condition
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,236 · $353/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,236 · $353/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,479
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$4,236
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,038
- − Management
- −$2,038
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $956
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$229
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Colonie CSD
- NCES district ID
- 3621000
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,762
- Composite
- 64.2/100
- National rank
- #565
- State rank
- #102 of 590 in NY
Livability — Cohoes
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #61
- US rank
- #895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Albany County · 196,626 people
- City population
- 23,532
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,532
- Household income
- $66,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1395.0
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 11% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 6% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.15%
- Current HPI
- 317.4057
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.60%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+80.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-04-04 Listed $179,900 Global MLS
- 2000-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $95,500 Public Records
- 2000-04-10 Sold (MLS) $95,500 Global MLS
- 2000-03-08 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 1999-09-26 Listed $99,500 Global MLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,236 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…