260 Camino Del Rio · River Park, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
55 Plus Community 2 bed room 2 bath in good condition CALL Spanish Lakes 772-878-2575 For Park Approval Call Spanish Lakes 772-878-5513 For questions about Land Lease. Land Lease approx $620 per month
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Pool
- New bathrooms
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located west of US-1; Not on waterfront; Part of a senior community
- Financial info: Pets allowed (pet restrictions possible)
- HOA & community: Has association; Association amenities include: clubhouse, pool, fitness center, game room, library, community room, cafe/restaurant, billiard room, boating access, golf, shuffleboard, bocce ball, pickleball courts
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with 2 covered carport spaces; 3 open parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors; Security patrol
- Utilities: Three-phase electric; Water available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Multi/split levels; 1 story; Lives facing east
- Construction: Modular construction; Metal roof; Aluminum skirting; Built by Wynne Building Corporation (model HOMI); Mobile dimensions approximately 58' x 22'
- Exterior features: Screened patio; Patio; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside with washer and dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.3% vs local median 6.3% in River Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#451 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $80k implies a 357% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.05%
- DSCR
- 3.54
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $42,496
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Yolanda Ln | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (-4%) | 5mo | $39,000 | $30 | 84 |
| 38 Alta Loma | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,433 (+8%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $126 | 69 |
| 2 Quintana Roo Ln | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,350 (+2%) | 21mo | $32,000 | $24 | 63 |
| 45 Mediterranean Blvd W | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-10%) | 24mo | $38,000 | $32 | 55 |
| 501 La Buona Vita Dr | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,289 (-3%) | 9mo | $132,000 | $102 | 55 |
| 8 S Alhambra Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+5%) | 14mo | $100,000 | $71 | 54 |
| 23 San Pablo Ln | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-10%) | 13mo | $37,000 | $31 | 52 |
| 560 Natalie Dr | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 18mo | $162,800 | $130 | 48 |
| 7 Reforma Ln | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-13%) | 20mo | $37,000 | $32 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $52,620
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 59.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.56×
- Total profit
- $124,338
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 639
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,045 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $1,064
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124 E Arbor Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $2,550 | $2.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7700 Pine Lakes Blvd Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $1,878 | $1.84 | 14d | 16 | 0.80mi |
| 730 SE White Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $10,000 | $7.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 805 SE Cavern Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 326 Shady Ln Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $2,250 | $2.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 14 Lake Vista Trl #101 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,200 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,764 | $1.77 | 14d | 15 | 1.08mi |
| 11 Lake Vista Trl #206 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4 Lake Vista Trl #202 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 400 NW Prima Vista Blvd Port St Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,300 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 26 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2 Lake Vista Trl #107 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,850 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,800 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 336 SE Tranquilla Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1412 | $2,700 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 650 SE Evergreen Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $2,095 | $2.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 121 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 120 DOM
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2026-05-20price $79,900
-
2026-03-19price $84,990
-
2026-01-30$89,990 Active
-
2021-05-21soldstatus $17,500 Closed 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
55 Plus Community 2 bed room 2 bath in good condition CALL Spanish Lakes 772-878-2575 For Park Approval Call Spanish Lakes 772-878-5513 For questions about Land Lease. Land Lease approx $620 per month
-
2021-04-23status Pending 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
55 Plus Community 2 bed room 2 bath in good condition CALL Spanish Lakes 772-878-2575 For Park Approval Call Spanish Lakes 772-878-5513 For questions about Land Lease. Land Lease approx $620 per month
-
2021-04-21$20,000 Active 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
55 Plus Community 2 bed room 2 bath in good condition CALL Spanish Lakes 772-878-2575 For Park Approval Call Spanish Lakes 772-878-5513 For questions about Land Lease. Land Lease approx $620 per month
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,542
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,963
- − Management
- −$1,963
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $12,217
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,932
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — River Park
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #451
- US rank
- #8159
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- River Park, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,655
- Household income
- $61,628
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1759.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.80%
- Current HPI
- 371.0573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+299.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $79,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $84,990 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $89,990 Beaches MLS
- 2021-05-21 Sold (MLS) $17,500 MCRTC
- 2021-04-23 Pending — MCRTC
- 2021-04-21 Listed $20,000 MCRTC
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…