14379 Gossett St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$307,020
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2025 build home is move in ready! It has 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with 1,759 sq feet of living space and updates throughout. Call for your showing today!
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2025
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; No private pool
- Home design: Single-family residence; Used for residential purposes
- Exterior features: Quarter-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other appliances (unspecified)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $307k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($45/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (26.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Oceanway Elementary School (math 58% / reading 47%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 637 students, 51% FRL); Oceanway School (math 34% / reading 33%, grade F, #428 of 571 statewide, top 76%, 927 students, 51% FRL); First Coast High School (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #499 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 2,117 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 735 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.05%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $304,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14350 Lyle Rd | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,759 (-0%) | 6mo | $305,017 | $173 | 94 |
| 14207 Gossett St | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 | 1,759 (-0%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $179 | 87 |
| 36 Castleberry Rd | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 | 1,759 (-0%) | 6mo | $305,020 | $173 | 87 |
| 14262 Crestwick Dr W | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,833 (+4%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $147 | 78 |
| 14131 Crestwick Dr W | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,833 (+4%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $150 | 72 |
| 14081 Crestwick Dr E | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 | 1,936 (+10%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $147 | 64 |
| 14042 Crestwick Dr W | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,852 (+5%) | 9mo | $285,000 | $154 | 59 |
| 498 Bridgeport Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,665 (-5%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $165 | 53 |
| 487 Apple Creek Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,978 (+12%) | 6mo | $320,000 | $162 | 48 |
| 14772 MacAdamia Ln | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,533 (-13%) | 1mo | $354,990 | $232 | 45 |
| 14857 Praline Ct | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,533 (-13%) | 7mo | $334,990 | $219 | 39 |
| 14861 Praline Ct | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,533 (-13%) | 7mo | $314,990 | $205 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-56,336
- Equity at exit
- $45,778
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-75,154
- Equity at exit
- $26,545
Cash invested: $85,966 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32218
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 735
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,271 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,610
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $626/yr
- Insurance
- −$128
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $178 | -5% $91 | +0% $4 | +5% $-434 | +10% $-540 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-176 | -5% $-86 | +0% $4 | +5% $93 | +10% $183 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $158 | -0.5pp $82 | base $4 | +0.5pp $-76 | +1.0pp $-157 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,755
- Closing costs
- $9,211
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14228 Gossett St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $1,948 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 14355 N Main St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1068 | $2,675 | $2.50 | 3d | 43 | 0.15mi |
| 14617 Zachary Dr E Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2266 | $2,800 | $1.24 | 9d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 14119 River Station Ln Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1641 | $1,999 | $1.22 | 5d | 15 | 0.44mi |
| 14635 Macadamia Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1857 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 13949 Gossett St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 14522 Macadamia Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1556 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 13919 Ridgewick Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1679 | $2,065 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14695 Macadamia Ln Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2009 | $2,400 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14742 Cashew Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2103 | $3,200 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 14757 Cashew Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,100 | $1.38 | 16d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 14750 Cashew Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2495 | $2,500 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 13791 Sanwick Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $1,961 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 111 Brazil Nut Cir Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $2,200 | $1.41 | 9d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 14884 Praline Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2180 | $2,300 | $1.06 | 12d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 13983 Summer Breeze Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2484 | $2,575 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 153 Sanwick Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1940 | $2,350 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 685 Tree Swallow Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $2,100 | $1.22 | 9d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 223 Collen Rd N Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 741 Indigo Run Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1997 | $2,205 | $1.10 | 5d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 667 Bonaparte Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1691 | $2,220 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 14105 Epply Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1242 | $2,341 | $1.88 | 4d | 42 | 1.42mi |
| 14220 Epply Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2022 | $2,400 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-08remarks 160-char remark
-
2026-06-08$307,020 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $626 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,548 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,922/yr (+$160/mo · 307.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,249
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,198
- − Property taxes
- −$626
- − Insurance
- −$1,535
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,180
- − Management
- −$2,180
- − Depreciation
- −$8,931
- Taxable loss
- −$5,401
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,296
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,341/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,905
- Household income
- $69,638
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2289.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.73%
- Current HPI
- 262.2329
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.40%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+2261.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-06-07 Listed $307,020 realMLS
- 2025-12-19 Rental Removed $1,949 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-12-06 Listed for Rent $1,949 TENANTTURNER2
- 2022-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $680,000 Public Records
- 2019-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 2010-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.7%/yrLatest (2025): $626 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…