143 Pawnee Ave · Weigelstown, PA 17315

$79,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 738 sqft · Manufactured public records · 177 Days on market

Built 1974 $107/sqft · at area comps Est $77k · at est.

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +6.3/15.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

New Stove, Refrigerator, Washer & Dryer(all in 2024). New Roof, Hot Water Heater, HVAC Unit, Outside Paint, Siding on Shed(All in 2025) Nestled within the charming Thunderbird Mobile Home Park, this meticulously maintained 1974 Holly Park mobile home offers a unique blend of comfort and modern living. Spanning 738 square feet, this single-wide residence is designed to maximize space while providing an inviting atmosphere that feels like home. Step inside to discover a warm and welcoming interior, featuring plush carpeting that adds a touch of coziness throughout. The heart of the home is the family room, seamlessly connected to the kitchen, creating an ideal space for entertaining or enjoying quiet evenings. The kitchen is equipped with high-quality appliances, including a gas oven/range, electric cooktop, dishwasher, and refrigerator, ensuring that culinary adventures are both enjoyable and efficient. The thoughtfully designed bathroom features a walk-in shower, providing a spa-like experience right at home. With two well-appointed bedrooms, this residence offers ample space for relaxation and personalization, making it perfect for those seeking a tranquil retreat. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry with both a washer and dryer, allowing for effortless upkeep of your living space. The property also boasts off-street parking for up to two vehicles, ensuring that you and your guests have easy access. Outside, the Thunderbird Mobile Home Park offers a serene environment, perfect for leisurely strolls or enjoying the fresh air. While this home does not include a pool, the community's charm and the surrounding area provide plenty of opportunities for outdoor activities and socializing. This mobile home is not just a residence; it's a lifestyle choice that embraces comfort, convenience, and community. With its excellent condition and high-end features, this property is a rare find in today's market. Experience the perfect blend of modern amenities and cozy living in this delightful mobile home, where every detail has been thoughtfully considered to create a space you'll love to call your own.

Key facts

• In-unit laundry
• Walk-in shower
• Off-street parking

Tags

• HIGH QUALITY APPLIANCES
• WALK-IN SHOWER
• IN-UNIT LAUNDRY
• OFF-STREET PARKING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
• Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 3.4% in Weigelstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#527 in PA, #4,886 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Dover Area SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #232 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $35k; list at $79k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $69,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.55% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.68%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.79%
• DSCR: 2.01
• GRM: 5.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $76,950
• List price: $79,000
• Delta: 2.66%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 2 within 2.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
143 Pawnee Ave	0.00mi	2/1.0	738 (0%)	1mo	$79,000	$107	99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.63×
• Total profit: $13,978
• Equity at exit: $11,779

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.11×
• Total profit: $46,707
• Equity at exit: $6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 17315

• Home prices YoY: -28.5%
• Active inventory: 170
• Price-to-rent: 5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,223 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$414
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$257
• Net cashflow: $420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $691

Max offer price $79,000

Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $475	-5% $447	+0% $420	+5% $393	+10% $366
Rent	-10% $324	-5% $372	+0% $420	+5% $468	+10% $517
Rate	-1.0pp $460	-0.5pp $440	base $420	+0.5pp $400	+1.0pp $379

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,750
• Closing costs: $2,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3230 Oakland Rd Unit 1 Dover, PA	1.0	1.5	552	$1,075	$1.95	44d	1	1.05mi
30g Stony Ln Dover, PA	1.0–2.0	1.0	697	$1,389	$1.99	14d	13	1.50mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-05-06
   status Pending 2136-char remark

   Show marketing remark (2136 chars)

   New Stove, Refrigerator, Washer & Dryer(all in 2024). New Roof, Hot Water Heater, HVAC Unit, Outside Paint, Siding on Shed(All in 2025) Nestled within the charming Thunderbird Mobile Home Park, this meticulously maintained 1974 Holly Park mobile home offers a unique blend of comfort and modern living. Spanning 738 square feet, this single-wide residence is designed to maximize space while providing an inviting atmosphere that feels like home. Step inside to discover a warm and welcoming interior, featuring plush carpeting that adds a touch of coziness throughout. The heart of the home is the family room, seamlessly connected to the kitchen, creating an ideal space for entertaining or enjoying quiet evenings. The kitchen is equipped with high-quality appliances, including a gas oven/range, electric cooktop, dishwasher, and refrigerator, ensuring that culinary adventures are both enjoyable and efficient. The thoughtfully designed bathroom features a walk-in shower, providing a spa-like experience right at home. With two well-appointed bedrooms, this residence offers ample space for relaxation and personalization, making it perfect for those seeking a tranquil retreat. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry with both a washer and dryer, allowing for effortless upkeep of your living space. The property also boasts off-street parking for up to two vehicles, ensuring that you and your guests have easy access. Outside, the Thunderbird Mobile Home Park offers a serene environment, perfect for leisurely strolls or enjoying the fresh air. While this home does not include a pool, the community's charm and the surrounding area provide plenty of opportunities for outdoor activities and socializing. This mobile home is not just a residence; it's a lifestyle choice that embraces comfort, convenience, and community. With its excellent condition and high-end features, this property is a rare find in today's market. Experience the perfect blend of modern amenities and cozy living in this delightful mobile home, where every detail has been thoughtfully considered to create a space you'll love to call your own.

2. 2026-03-25
   price $79,000 2136-char remark

   Show marketing remark (2136 chars)

   New Stove, Refrigerator, Washer & Dryer(all in 2024). New Roof, Hot Water Heater, HVAC Unit, Outside Paint, Siding on Shed(All in 2025) Nestled within the charming Thunderbird Mobile Home Park, this meticulously maintained 1974 Holly Park mobile home offers a unique blend of comfort and modern living. Spanning 738 square feet, this single-wide residence is designed to maximize space while providing an inviting atmosphere that feels like home. Step inside to discover a warm and welcoming interior, featuring plush carpeting that adds a touch of coziness throughout. The heart of the home is the family room, seamlessly connected to the kitchen, creating an ideal space for entertaining or enjoying quiet evenings. The kitchen is equipped with high-quality appliances, including a gas oven/range, electric cooktop, dishwasher, and refrigerator, ensuring that culinary adventures are both enjoyable and efficient. The thoughtfully designed bathroom features a walk-in shower, providing a spa-like experience right at home. With two well-appointed bedrooms, this residence offers ample space for relaxation and personalization, making it perfect for those seeking a tranquil retreat. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry with both a washer and dryer, allowing for effortless upkeep of your living space. The property also boasts off-street parking for up to two vehicles, ensuring that you and your guests have easy access. Outside, the Thunderbird Mobile Home Park offers a serene environment, perfect for leisurely strolls or enjoying the fresh air. While this home does not include a pool, the community's charm and the surrounding area provide plenty of opportunities for outdoor activities and socializing. This mobile home is not just a residence; it's a lifestyle choice that embraces comfort, convenience, and community. With its excellent condition and high-end features, this property is a rare find in today's market. Experience the perfect blend of modern amenities and cozy living in this delightful mobile home, where every detail has been thoughtfully considered to create a space you'll love to call your own.

3. 2025-11-10
   listed $79,900 Active 2136-char remark

   Show marketing remark (2136 chars)

   New Stove, Refrigerator, Washer & Dryer(all in 2024). New Roof, Hot Water Heater, HVAC Unit, Outside Paint, Siding on Shed(All in 2025) Nestled within the charming Thunderbird Mobile Home Park, this meticulously maintained 1974 Holly Park mobile home offers a unique blend of comfort and modern living. Spanning 738 square feet, this single-wide residence is designed to maximize space while providing an inviting atmosphere that feels like home. Step inside to discover a warm and welcoming interior, featuring plush carpeting that adds a touch of coziness throughout. The heart of the home is the family room, seamlessly connected to the kitchen, creating an ideal space for entertaining or enjoying quiet evenings. The kitchen is equipped with high-quality appliances, including a gas oven/range, electric cooktop, dishwasher, and refrigerator, ensuring that culinary adventures are both enjoyable and efficient. The thoughtfully designed bathroom features a walk-in shower, providing a spa-like experience right at home. With two well-appointed bedrooms, this residence offers ample space for relaxation and personalization, making it perfect for those seeking a tranquil retreat. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry with both a washer and dryer, allowing for effortless upkeep of your living space. The property also boasts off-street parking for up to two vehicles, ensuring that you and your guests have easy access. Outside, the Thunderbird Mobile Home Park offers a serene environment, perfect for leisurely strolls or enjoying the fresh air. While this home does not include a pool, the community's charm and the surrounding area provide plenty of opportunities for outdoor activities and socializing. This mobile home is not just a residence; it's a lifestyle choice that embraces comfort, convenience, and community. With its excellent condition and high-end features, this property is a rare find in today's market. Experience the perfect blend of modern amenities and cozy living in this delightful mobile home, where every detail has been thoughtfully considered to create a space you'll love to call your own.

4. 2024-05-17
   soldstatus $35,000 Closed 381-char remark

   Show marketing remark (381 chars)

   Welcome to Dover! Tranquility awaits you in this quiet mobile home park know as Thunderbird Terrace. This 1974 Holly Park mobile has been updated. All appliances are included. This 2 bedroom 1 full bath home has been remodeled. Property features Gas heat and central air, a large shed and off street parking. Shopping and community park is close by. (Buyers must be park approved).

5. 2024-04-26
   status Pending 381-char remark

   Show marketing remark (381 chars)

   Welcome to Dover! Tranquility awaits you in this quiet mobile home park know as Thunderbird Terrace. This 1974 Holly Park mobile has been updated. All appliances are included. This 2 bedroom 1 full bath home has been remodeled. Property features Gas heat and central air, a large shed and off street parking. Shopping and community park is close by. (Buyers must be park approved).

6. 2024-04-18
   listed $39,900 Active 381-char remark

   Show marketing remark (381 chars)

   Welcome to Dover! Tranquility awaits you in this quiet mobile home park know as Thunderbird Terrace. This 1974 Holly Park mobile has been updated. All appliances are included. This 2 bedroom 1 full bath home has been remodeled. Property features Gas heat and central air, a large shed and off street parking. Shopping and community park is close by. (Buyers must be park approved).

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,675
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,425
• − Property taxes: −$1,185
• − Insurance: −$395
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,174
• − Management: −$1,174
• − Depreciation: −$2,298
• Taxable income: $4,024
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$966
• After-tax cash flow: $4,076/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dover Area SD
• NCES district ID: 4207680
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $56,418
• Composite: 40.44/100
• National rank: #3725
• State rank: #232 of 539 in PA

Livability — Weigelstown

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #527
• US rank: #4886

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Weigelstown, PA
• Population (ZIP): 26,434

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 454,205 people
• By 2030: 457,407 · +0.7%
• By 2040: 457,529 · +0.7%
• By 2050: 448,261 · -1.3%
• By 2075: 427,388 · -5.9%
• By 2100: 384,218 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -98.65%
• Current HPI: 247.2403
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

+98.0% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-03-25 Price Changed $79,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2025-11-10 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
• 2024-05-17 Sold (MLS) $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2024-04-26 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
• 2024-04-18 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $39 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.