114 & 112 Denise Dr · Half Moon, NC
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a great investment? Check out these 2 lots in Hillcrest 114 Denise Drive and 112 Denise Drive, includes a manufactured single wide home that will stay with the property (as is)
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Built 1972
- Listed 89 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R-8M; Lot dimensions approximately 65 x 189 (0.28 acres)
- Financial info: Not specified
- HOA & community: Subdivision: Hillcrest
Exterior
- Parking: On-site parking (gravel/unpaved)
- Security: Not specified
- Utilities: Water available; Paved road access
- Home design: Manufactured home; One level; Residential property
- Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Chain link and wood fencing; Metal roof; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Not specified
- Flooring: Not specified
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Other heating types; Wall/Window cooling units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $632 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 3.4% in Half Moon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#552 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Meadow View Elementary (math 30% / reading 33%, grade F, #945 of 1,410 statewide, top 68%, 530 students, 59% FRL); Southwest Middle (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #317 of 475 statewide, top 68%, 527 students, 64% FRL); Southwest High (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #311 of 535 statewide, top 60%, 702 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 37% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $85k implies a 325% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.85%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $28,800
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 36.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.65×
- Total profit
- $86,774
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28540
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 386
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,543 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $632
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $690 | -5% $661 | +0% $632 | +5% $602 | +10% $573 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $510 | -5% $571 | +0% $632 | +5% $693 | +10% $754 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $675 | -0.5pp $653 | base $632 | +0.5pp $610 | +1.0pp $587 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3751 Richlands Hwy Jacksonville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $85,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-03-23$85,000 Active
-
2008-03-18soldstatus $20,000
-
2005-10-20soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,481
- − Management
- −$1,481
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $6,622
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,589
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Onslow County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703450
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,076
- Composite
- 38.66/100
- National rank
- #4148
- State rank
- #84 of 178 in NC
Livability — Half Moon
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #552
- US rank
- #20341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Onslow County · 164,453 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,141
- Household income
- $65,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1304.0
Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,789 people
- By 2030
- 194,463 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 193,629 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 193,248 · +1.8%
- By 2075
- 196,995 · +3.8%
- By 2100
- 201,513 · +6.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onslow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.11%
- Current HPI
- 219.5571
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.47%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+165.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Listed $85,000 Hive MLS
- 2008-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $100 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…