28 Hammond St · Caribou, ME
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Potential for walk up attic to be finished for additional space. Metal roof.
Key facts
- New electrical panel
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 3.6% in Caribou — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#46 in ME, #4,849 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
- RSU 39 (town): math 82% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #79 of 112 in ME (top 70%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Aroostook County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Aroostook County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $45k implies a 246% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.47%
- DSCR
- 2.80
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $142,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 Glenn St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+2%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $130 | 70 |
| 7 Liberty St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (+6%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $153 | 66 |
| 33 Midland St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,071 (+5%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $140 | 58 |
| 27 Hillcrest Ave | 0.47mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,036 (+2%) | 15mo | $118,500 | $114 | 58 |
| 25 Washington St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+3%) | 17mo | $205,000 | $195 | 57 |
| 80 Garden Cir | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+7%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $188 | 55 |
| 15 Glendale Rd | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-12%) | 1mo | $162,000 | $180 | 55 |
| 33 Coolidge Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,100 (+8%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $173 | 54 |
| 23 Hillcrest Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 940 (-8%) | 15mo | $61,500 | $65 | 53 |
| 101 Glenn St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 928 (-9%) | 16mo | $89,000 | $96 | 52 |
| 37 Pioneer Ave | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+6%) | 17mo | $150,000 | $139 | 42 |
| 179 Limestone St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (-14%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $45 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $19,839
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.16×
- Total profit
- $52,400
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04736
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,040 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,699/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $450 | -5% $438 | +0% $425 | +5% $412 | +10% $399 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $343 | -5% $384 | +0% $425 | +5% $466 | +10% $507 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $448 | -0.5pp $436 | base $425 | +0.5pp $413 | +1.0pp $401 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-02-13status Pending
-
2026-02-04$45,000 Active
-
2017-08-18soldstatus $13,000 Sold 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
Potential for walk up attic to be finished for additional space. Metal roof.
-
2017-07-25status Pending 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
Potential for walk up attic to be finished for additional space. Metal roof.
-
2017-07-14price $18,000 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
Potential for walk up attic to be finished for additional space. Metal roof.
-
2017-06-08price $19,900 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
Potential for walk up attic to be finished for additional space. Metal roof.
-
2017-05-11price $24,900 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
Potential for walk up attic to be finished for additional space. Metal roof.
-
2017-05-11status Active 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
Potential for walk up attic to be finished for additional space. Metal roof.
-
2017-05-01historical 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
Potential for walk up attic to be finished for additional space. Metal roof.
-
2017-01-26$39,900 Active 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
Potential for walk up attic to be finished for additional space. Metal roof.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,699 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,699 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,474
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$1,699
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$998
- − Management
- −$998
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $4,725
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,134
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,965/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 39
- NCES district ID
- 2314794
- Math proficiency
- 82% ▲ 55.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 83% ▲ 39.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,159
- Composite
- 68.6/100
- National rank
- #341
- State rank
- #79 of 112 in ME
Livability — Caribou
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #4849
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Caribou, ME
- City population
- 9,107
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,107
Population outlook (Aroostook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,905 people
- By 2030
- 57,815 · -6.6%
- By 2040
- 49,240 · -20.5%
- By 2050
- 41,386 · -33.1%
- By 2075
- 27,664 · -55.3%
- By 2100
- 18,974 · -69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 28% Slovak 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Aroostook
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.2) · D 36.2% · R 62.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: -26.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.2 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+17.3 2012: D+7.7 2008: D+9.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.06%
- Current HPI
- 219.5142
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+12.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-13 Pending — MREIS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $45,000 MREIS
- 2017-08-18 Sold (MLS) $13,000 MREIS
- 2017-07-25 Pending — MREIS
- 2017-07-14 Price Changed $18,000 MREIS
- 2017-06-08 Price Changed $19,900 MREIS
- 2017-05-11 Price Changed $24,900 MREIS
- 2017-05-11 Relisted — MREIS
- 2017-05-01 Delisted — MREIS
- 2017-01-26 Listed $39,900 MREIS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,699 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…