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404 E Gilman St
C+ Composite 60.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$114,000

404 E Gilman St · New York Mills, MN 56567
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1934 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy the benefits of home ownership without breaking the bank. Adorable 3 bedroom 1 bath home on a nicely wooded and shaded lot and a 2 stall garage. Home has a main floor bedroom, bath, laundry and a bonus room for an office. The upper level has 2 bedrooms. With a little vision and updating this home will shine!

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1934

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,160 square feet; Main level finished area 860

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; One-and-a-half story; No external stairs (accessible)
  • Construction: Block foundation; Built area: above grade finished area 1,160; below grade 160; total building area 1,320
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Approximately 0.297-acre lot; 16-foot driveway access from E Gilman St

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Fireplace heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (5.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (5.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#112 in MN, #2,554 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • New York Mills Public School District (rural): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #189 of 301 in MN (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 140 units permitted in Otter Tail County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($788 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $108,280 (5.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.83%
Cash-on-cash
5.50%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$57,737
Equity at exit
$88,197
10-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
6.03×
Total profit
$160,606
Equity at exit
$176,606

Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56567

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,083 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$598
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $766/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $898
Max offer price $114,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,500
Closing costs
$3,420
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $114,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 315-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $114,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$766 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,021 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$255/yr (+$21/mo · 33.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,994
− Mortgage interest
−$6,386
− Property taxes
−$766
− Insurance
−$570
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,039
− Management
−$1,039
− Depreciation
−$3,316
Taxable loss
−$124
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$30
After-tax cash flow
$1,785/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New York Mills Public School District
NCES district ID
2723520
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$47,845
Composite
37.59/100
National rank
#4382
State rank
#189 of 301 in MN

Livability — New York Mills

Score
78/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#2554

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York Mills, MN
Population (ZIP)
3,247

Population outlook (Otter Tail County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,183 people
By 2030
58,267 · +0.1%
By 2040
57,999 · -0.3%
By 2050
57,183 · -1.7%
By 2075
57,638 · -0.9%
By 2100
54,697 · -6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 6% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Otter Tail

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.2) · D 32.1% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -34.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.20%
Current HPI
244.2142
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $114,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $766 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…