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1552 State Hwy 206
D Composite 43.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0

$179,900

1552 State Hwy 206 · Greene, NY 13778
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,834 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1972 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss this excellent opportunity to own a charming split-level home in the Greene School District. This property features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, a spacious lower-level family room, and a beautiful sunroom, all situated on a full acre just outside of town with convenient access to local amenities. The property also offers several outbuildings for ample storage and is surrounded by beautiful perennial gardens that provide color and character throughout the seasons. With great bones and plenty of potential, this home is ready for you to add your personal touches and make it your own.

Key facts

  • Perennial gardens
  • Full acre
  • Split-level home

Tags

SPLIT-LEVEL HOMELOWER-LEVEL FAMILY ROOMFULL ACRESEVERAL OUTBUILDINGSPERENNIAL GARDENS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property sits on approximately 1.0 acre; Lot is sloped up

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Basement access to parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Multi/split levels; Residential property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade finished area and additional finished space below grade
  • Exterior features: Garden; Deck; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Free-Standing Range; Portable Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Range, Free-Standing Range, Portable Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Electric Water Heater, Washer, Dryer; Carpet, Hardwood, Vinyl flooring; 11 total rooms; Finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-210 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (20.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#407 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Greene Central School District (rural): math 56% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #282 of 590 in NY (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Greene Primary School (234 students, 45% FRL); Greene Middle School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade D, #348 of 729 statewide, top 50%, 208 students, 42% FRL); Greene High School (math 95%, 267 students, 43% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 57% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Greene Central School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 151 units permitted in Chenango County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chenango County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Recommended offer $142,813 (20.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
4.89%
Cash-on-cash
-5.00%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$84,726
Equity at exit
$162,068
10-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
6.17×
Total profit
$260,255
Equity at exit
$349,506

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13778

Home prices YoY
13.7%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,506 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$381 /mo · $4,575/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$-210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,772
Max offer price $142,813
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-108 -5% $-159 +0% $-210 +5% $-261 +10% $-312
Rent -10% $-329 -5% $-269 +0% $-210 +5% $-150 +10% $-91
Rate -1.0pp $-119 -0.5pp $-164 base $-210 +0.5pp $-257 +1.0pp $-304

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $179,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $179,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    remarks 592-char remark
  9. 2026-06-12
    listed $179,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,575 · $381/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,575 · $381/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,071
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$4,575
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,446
− Management
−$1,446
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$5,605
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,345
After-tax cash flow
$-1,174/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greene Central School District
NCES district ID
3612750
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$52,876
Composite
48.86/100
National rank
#2084
State rank
#282 of 590 in NY

Livability — Greene

Score
71/100
State rank
#407
US rank
#6991

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,139

Population outlook (Chenango County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,669 people
By 2030
43,484 · -4.8%
By 2040
38,774 · -15.1%
By 2050
34,000 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,637 · -46.1%
By 2100
16,452 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Chenango

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.2) · D 36.4% · R 63.6%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -27.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.2 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+28.1 2012: R+3.4 2008: R+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 37.30%
Current HPI
309.9264
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $179,900 GBAOR

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,575 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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