205 Nalley Dr · Pineville, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor or Cash Buyer Opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a solid slab foundation is ready for its next chapter. Situated on an extra-large subdivision lot, this property offers room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy the space--all fully fenced for privacy. With some TLC, this home could make an excellent starter home or investment property. Bring your vision and transform this well-located property into a gem!
Key facts
- 0.49 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1962
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.2% in Pineville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#38 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Rapides Parish (urban): math 29% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #31 of 98 in LA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 239 active listings in the ZIP; 239 units permitted in Rapides Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rapides County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.18%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,999
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -65.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $19,125
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.61×
- Total profit
- $57,796
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71360
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,309 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,032/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $501
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-11price $79,000 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
Investor or Cash Buyer Opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a solid slab foundation is ready for its next chapter. Situated on an extra-large subdivision lot, this property offers room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy the space--all fully fenced for privacy. With some TLC, this home could make an excellent starter home or investment property. Bring your vision and transform this well-located property into a gem!
-
2026-01-19price $89,000 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
Investor or Cash Buyer Opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a solid slab foundation is ready for its next chapter. Situated on an extra-large subdivision lot, this property offers room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy the space--all fully fenced for privacy. With some TLC, this home could make an excellent starter home or investment property. Bring your vision and transform this well-located property into a gem!
-
2025-10-27$98,000 Active 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
Investor or Cash Buyer Opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home on a solid slab foundation is ready for its next chapter. Situated on an extra-large subdivision lot, this property offers room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy the space--all fully fenced for privacy. With some TLC, this home could make an excellent starter home or investment property. Bring your vision and transform this well-located property into a gem!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,032 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,032 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,710
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,032
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,257
- − Management
- −$1,257
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $5,046
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,211
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,802/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rapides Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201290
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,057
- Composite
- 30.68/100
- National rank
- #6179
- State rank
- #31 of 98 in LA
Livability — Pineville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #5613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Rapides Parish · 59,791 people
- City population
- 34,653
- Metro
- Alexandria, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,653
- Household income
- $60,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Rapides County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,047 people
- By 2030
- 132,333 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 129,355 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 124,535 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 110,338 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 88,641 · -33.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Rapides
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.8) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -28.7pp · 2024: -36.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.8 2020: R+32.1 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+29.6 2008: R+28.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.92%
- Current HPI
- 203.0411
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Alexandria, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-19.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $79,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $89,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $98,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,032 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…