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4241 Trickling Creek Ln
D- Composite 39.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$317,500

4241 Trickling Creek Ln · Fort Worth, TX 76036
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,875 sqft · Other · 80 Days on market
Built 2025 5,750 sqft lot $169/sqft · at area comps Est $328k · at est. $42/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

*Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. *The Justin is a single story, approx. 1,875 sq. ft, home offering 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. This home features a long entryway leading into the open-concept kitchen, dining, and living space. The kitchen overlooks the living room and features granite countertops, stainless steel appliances with gas cooking range, a large kitchen island, and a corner walk-in pantry. With the three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, the main bedroom is located at the back of the home, just off the living room. The private main bedroom features an ensuite bathroom complete with a huge walk in closet and large walk-in shower with ceramic tile surround. The Justin comes with a covered rear patio giving view to the professionally irrigated and landscaped yard. Additional features include tankless water heater; Ceramic tile flooring at Entry, Kitchen, Living Room, Utility and Bathrooms; and full yard sod, landscaping and irrigation. The Justin includes our HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device.

Key facts

  • 5,750 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $318k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-842/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (3.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (25.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $237k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
  • Crowley ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #643 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 1018 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($298k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $237,130 (25.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.95%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$327,636
List price
$317,500
Delta
-3.09%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-57,739
Equity at exit
$47,340
10-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-63,408
Equity at exit
$27,452

Cash invested: $88,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76036

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
1018
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,371 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,665
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,250/yr
Insurance
$132
HOA
$42
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$498
Net cashflow
$-70

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,460
Max offer price $305,112
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,375
Closing costs
$9,525
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4148 Crooked Bend Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,100 $1.45 12d 1 0.20mi
4148 Crooked Bend Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1469 $2,100 $1.43 24d 1 0.20mi
4213 Dublin Ridge Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1553 $2,050 $1.32 3d 1 0.29mi
10432 Fort Bird Trl Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 2100 $3,000 $1.43 43d 1 0.33mi
10373 Fort Belknap Trl Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1780 $2,160 $1.21 43d 1 0.47mi
10406 Fort Cibolo Trl Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1808 $1,900 $1.05 43d 1 0.47mi
405 Bryan Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1343 $1,795 $1.34 24d 1 0.48mi
4052 Dublin Ridge Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1464 $1,895 $1.29 22d 1 0.48mi
4224 Old Timber Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 2092 $2,250 $1.08 43d 1 0.48mi
10381 Fort Ewell Trl Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1494 $2,149 $1.44 43d 1 0.49mi
10368 Fort Crockett Trl Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1905 $2,150 $1.13 24d 1 0.50mi
10356 Fort Teran Trl Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1508 $2,169 $1.44 43d 1 0.51mi
4201 Summersweet Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1398 $1,960 $1.40 12d 1 0.54mi
10344 Fort Teran Trl Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1494 $2,149 $1.44 43d 1 0.54mi
1032 Verde Valley Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.5 2145 $2,400 $1.12 18d 1 0.54mi
4156 Summersweet Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,900 $1.45 43d 1 0.57mi
4013 Drifters Bend Dr Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1667 $2,200 $1.32 43d 1 0.59mi
1013 Verde Valley Ln Crowley, TX 4.0 2.5 2225 $2,400 $1.08 24d 1 0.60mi
10316 Fort Teran Trl Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1501 $2,199 $1.47 12d 1 0.61mi
4004 Arklow St Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1668 $2,200 $1.32 24d 1 0.67mi
4004 Arklow St Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1668 $2,200 $1.32 5d 1 0.67mi
4505 Greyberry Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1429 $2,100 $1.47 18d 1 0.70mi
109 N Heights Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1284 $1,945 $1.51 24d 1 0.71mi
316 Quail Creek Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1317 $1,683 $1.28 12d 1 0.73mi
4533 Greenham Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1531 $1,995 $1.30 43d 1 0.81mi
4932 Water Lily Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1848 $2,595 $1.40 12d 1 0.83mi
4444 Sagecroft Rd Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1534 $2,050 $1.34 43d 1 0.83mi
10121 Wyseby Rd Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1622 $1,995 $1.23 43d 1 0.84mi
1136 Park Gln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1487 $2,000 $1.34 12d 1 0.86mi
4633 Benham Dr Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1740 $2,000 $1.15 4d 1 0.87mi
4633 Benham Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1740 $2,000 $1.15 43d 1 0.87mi
4644 Benham Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1422 $1,995 $1.40 43d 1 0.91mi
5020 Cervinae Rd Crowley, TX 4.0 2.5 1947 $2,550 $1.31 20d 1 0.95mi
221 Arnold St Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,695 $1.34 5d 1 1.06mi
9925 Ryegrass Ter Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1487 $2,350 $1.58 43d 1 1.19mi
4725 Sassafras Dr Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 2067 $2,899 $1.40 43d 1 1.20mi
9717 Snowbell Ln Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1928 $2,195 $1.14 22d 1 1.23mi
404 Canoe Way Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1827 $2,195 $1.20 19d 1 1.23mi
4365 Mill Stream Ln Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1602 $2,300 $1.44 24d 1 1.25mi
636 Horn St Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1804 $1,980 $1.10 5d 1 1.27mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$42 · $504/yr
Likely covers
watergaslandscapingsecurity

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $317,500 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $317,500 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $317,500 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $317,500 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $317,500 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $317,500 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $317,500 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $317,500 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $317,500 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $317,500 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $317,500 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $317,500 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $317,500 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $317,500 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    price $322,500 1252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1252 chars)

    *Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. *The Justin is a single story, approx. 1,875 sq. ft, home offering 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. This home features a long entryway leading into the open-concept kitchen, dining, and living space. The kitchen overlooks the living room and features granite countertops, stainless steel appliances with gas cooking range, a large kitchen island, and a corner walk-in pantry. With the three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, the main bedroom is located at the back of the home, just off the living room. The private main bedroom features an ensuite bathroom complete with a huge walk in closet and large walk-in shower with ceramic tile surround. The Justin comes with a covered rear patio giving view to the professionally irrigated and landscaped yard. Additional features include tankless water heater; Ceramic tile flooring at Entry, Kitchen, Living Room, Utility and Bathrooms; and full yard sod, landscaping and irrigation. The Justin includes our HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device.

  16. 2026-04-10
    price $325,000 1252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1252 chars)

    *Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. *The Justin is a single story, approx. 1,875 sq. ft, home offering 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. This home features a long entryway leading into the open-concept kitchen, dining, and living space. The kitchen overlooks the living room and features granite countertops, stainless steel appliances with gas cooking range, a large kitchen island, and a corner walk-in pantry. With the three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, the main bedroom is located at the back of the home, just off the living room. The private main bedroom features an ensuite bathroom complete with a huge walk in closet and large walk-in shower with ceramic tile surround. The Justin comes with a covered rear patio giving view to the professionally irrigated and landscaped yard. Additional features include tankless water heater; Ceramic tile flooring at Entry, Kitchen, Living Room, Utility and Bathrooms; and full yard sod, landscaping and irrigation. The Justin includes our HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device.

  17. 2026-03-30
    listed $335,000 Active 1252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1252 chars)

    *Seller is willing to assist with closing costs or a rate buy-down through preferred lender with an acceptable offer. *The Justin is a single story, approx. 1,875 sq. ft, home offering 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. This home features a long entryway leading into the open-concept kitchen, dining, and living space. The kitchen overlooks the living room and features granite countertops, stainless steel appliances with gas cooking range, a large kitchen island, and a corner walk-in pantry. With the three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, the main bedroom is located at the back of the home, just off the living room. The private main bedroom features an ensuite bathroom complete with a huge walk in closet and large walk-in shower with ceramic tile surround. The Justin comes with a covered rear patio giving view to the professionally irrigated and landscaped yard. Additional features include tankless water heater; Ceramic tile flooring at Entry, Kitchen, Living Room, Utility and Bathrooms; and full yard sod, landscaping and irrigation. The Justin includes our HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device.

  18. 2026-01-27
    price $334,490
  19. 2026-01-08
    listed $332,490 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,250 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,810 · $484/mo
Expected delta
+$4,560/yr (+$380/mo · 364.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,456
− Mortgage interest
−$17,785
− Property taxes
−$1,250
− Insurance
−$1,588
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,276
− Management
−$2,276
− HOA
−$504
− Depreciation
−$9,236
Taxable loss
−$6,460
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,550
After-tax cash flow
$709/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crowley ISD
NCES district ID
4815910
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,810
Composite
25.04/100
National rank
#7549
State rank
#643 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
36,044
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,044
Household income
$97,973
Rent vs Own
23.7% rent · 76.3% own
Severe rent burden
584.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.45%
Current HPI
238.6365
Rent YoY
▲ 2.28%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $322,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $325,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $335,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $334,490 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $332,490 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…