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5535 Mesa Cir Duplex
C Composite 57.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$599,000

5535 Mesa Cir · Dallas, TX 75235
6 bd · 7.0 ba · 4,200 sqft · MultiFamily · 81 Days on market
Built 2026 10,106 sqft lot $143/sqft · 36% below area Est $936k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

2 Unit full duplex in a rapidly developing Dallas corridor, offering a rare opportunity for investors or owner-occupants to secure immediate equity and strong upside potential. Located at 5535 Mesa Circle, this high-value asset is offered at $650,000, significantly below its prior appraisal, making it an attractive addition to any portfolio. Featuring two spacious units, each of the two units are offering 3 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and approximately 2,000 square feet. This property is thoughtfully designed with modern living in mind. Construction has been completed through sheetrock and paint, giving the next owner the unique ability to select final finishes and truly customize the space while maximizing future rental income. A rare chance to complete and capitalize on a nearly finished duplex in a high-growth area with built-in equity and significant income potential don’t miss this opportunity.

Key facts

  • Modern living
  • High-end finishes
  • Full duplex

Tags

FULL DUPLEXTHOUGHTFULLY DESIGNEDMODERN LIVINGOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTEXPANSIVE LIVING AREASHIGH-END FINISHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3.0-bed/3.5-bath units multifamily listed at $599k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $719 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $360/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $572k (4.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $563k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,725/mo this rent would consume 108% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1427% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($563k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $563,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.15%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$935,955
List price
$599,000
Delta
-36.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.5%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-68,147
Equity at exit
$89,313
10-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-65,675
Equity at exit
$51,791

Cash invested: $167,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75235

Home prices YoY
-25.5%
Rents YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
17.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,725 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,141
Tax from tax record
$413 /mo · $4,951/yr
Insurance
$250
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,202
Net cashflow
$719

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,814
Max offer price $599,000
Occupancy floor 82%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,725

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$149,750
Closing costs
$17,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $599,000 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $599,000 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $599,000 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $599,000 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $625,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $625,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $625,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $625,000 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $625,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $625,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $625,000 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $625,000 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $625,000 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-04-23
    price $625,000 920-char remark
    Show marketing remark (920 chars)

    2 Unit full duplex in a rapidly developing Dallas corridor, offering a rare opportunity for investors or owner-occupants to secure immediate equity and strong upside potential. Located at 5535 Mesa Circle, this high-value asset is offered at $650,000, significantly below its prior appraisal, making it an attractive addition to any portfolio. Featuring two spacious units, each of the two units are offering 3 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and approximately 2,000 square feet. This property is thoughtfully designed with modern living in mind. Construction has been completed through sheetrock and paint, giving the next owner the unique ability to select final finishes and truly customize the space while maximizing future rental income. A rare chance to complete and capitalize on a nearly finished duplex in a high-growth area with built-in equity and significant income potential don’t miss this opportunity.

  15. 2026-03-29
    listed $650,000 Active 920-char remark
    Show marketing remark (920 chars)

    2 Unit full duplex in a rapidly developing Dallas corridor, offering a rare opportunity for investors or owner-occupants to secure immediate equity and strong upside potential. Located at 5535 Mesa Circle, this high-value asset is offered at $650,000, significantly below its prior appraisal, making it an attractive addition to any portfolio. Featuring two spacious units, each of the two units are offering 3 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and approximately 2,000 square feet. This property is thoughtfully designed with modern living in mind. Construction has been completed through sheetrock and paint, giving the next owner the unique ability to select final finishes and truly customize the space while maximizing future rental income. A rare chance to complete and capitalize on a nearly finished duplex in a high-growth area with built-in equity and significant income potential don’t miss this opportunity.

  16. 2022-03-01
    soldstatus
  17. 2022-01-01
    historical
  18. 2021-09-10
    listed $160,000 Active
  19. 2017-10-26
    soldstatus
  20. 1995-02-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,951 · $413/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,962 · $913/mo
Expected delta
+$6,010/yr (+$501/mo · 121.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$68,700
− Mortgage interest
−$33,553
− Property taxes
−$4,951
− Insurance
−$2,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,496
− Management
−$5,496
− Depreciation
−$17,425
Taxable loss
−$1,217
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$292
After-tax cash flow
$8,924/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,637
Household income
$63,393
Rent vs Own
75.5% rent · 24.5% own
Severe rent burden
1427.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 48% White 24% Black 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 10% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 41% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 39% Chinese 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.47%
Current HPI
310.5719
Rent YoY
▼ -0.73%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+290.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $625,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $650,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-03-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-01-01 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2021-09-10 Listed $160,000 NTREIS
  • 2017-10-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-02-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+14.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,951 · +82.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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