3260 State Route 364 Lot 48 · Canandaigua, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
New to the market! Discover the potential in this 3 bedroom, 2 full bathroom mobile home nestled in a welcoming community. With a functional layout offering plenty of living space, this home is perfect for someone ready to give it their personal touch. Conveniently located near shops, restaurants, CMAC, and beautiful Canandaigua Lake!
Key facts
- Near restaurants
- Functional layout
- Near shops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease: $611/month
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-wide mobile home; One story; Existing condition
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Giles make
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular lot; Private road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Gas oven and gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Window cooling units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Bedroom on main level; Main level primary; Primary suite
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer and dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $32k).
- Cap rate 46.5% vs local median 3.4% in Canandaigua — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in NY, #3,822 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Canandaigua City School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #305 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 46.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 143.74%
- DSCR
- 7.40
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,846
- List price
- $32,000
- Delta
- -49.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Lakeshore Dr | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 896 (+4%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $73 | 77 |
| 3260 State Route 364 - Lot #6 | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 840 (-2%) | 18mo | $34,900 | $42 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.02×
- Total profit
- $71,852
- Equity at exit
- $4,771
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 22.22×
- Total profit
- $190,095
- Equity at exit
- $2,767
Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14424
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,638 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$168
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$40 /mo · $480/yr
- Insurance
- −$13
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$344
- Net cashflow
- $1,073
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,000
- Closing costs
- $960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69 Parrish St Unit 5 Canandaigua, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,350 | $1.57 | 19d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 79 Saltonstall St Canandaigua, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,290 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-18historical Active Under Contract 336-char remark
-
2026-05-12$32,000 Active 336-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,661
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,792
- − Property taxes
- −$480
- − Insurance
- −$160
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,573
- − Management
- −$1,573
- − Depreciation
- −$931
- Taxable income
- $13,152
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,156
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,722/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canandaigua City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606330
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,375
- Composite
- 47.09/100
- National rank
- #2335
- State rank
- #305 of 590 in NY
Livability — Canandaigua
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #3822
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ontario County · 58,989 people
- City population
- 28,786
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,786
- Household income
- $79,778
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 737.0
Population outlook (Ontario County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,230 people
- By 2030
- 111,401 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 109,535 · -1.5%
- By 2050
- 104,895 · -5.7%
- By 2075
- 92,999 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 73,723 · -33.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ontario
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 50.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.2 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: R+1.6 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.94%
- Current HPI
- 263.755
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.46%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $32,000 UNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…