306 Stonewall St · Franklin, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Add a little tlc and make this house your home. Pre-approved buyer showings only. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- Built 1950
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA (fees listed as 0)
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Driveway spaces; Street parking
- Utilities: City/County sewer; City/County water; Electric water heater
- Home design: Detached ranch; Single story; Crawl foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Composite roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Composite roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Cooling: other
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; Bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $633 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.9% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#461 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Franklin City Public School District (town): math 23% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #127 of 131 in VA (top 97%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Franklin High (math 37% / reading 82%, grade C+, #247 of 319 statewide, top 80%, 378 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 37% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Franklin City Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $100k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.88%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,312
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412 Bracey St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,030 (+5%) | 4mo | $225,900 | $219 | 72 |
| 207 S College Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+2%) | 12mo | $192,900 | $193 | 69 |
| 419 Bruce St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+2%) | 11mo | $152,000 | $152 | 63 |
| 835 Cool Spring St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+12%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $168 | 51 |
| 201 Harrison St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,107 (+12%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $154 | 51 |
| 313 Delk St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,075 (+9%) | 10mo | $214,900 | $200 | 50 |
| 303 Magnolia St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-2%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $135 | 46 |
| 803 Walnut St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,036 (+5%) | 7mo | $107,500 | $104 | 46 |
| 729 Oak St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,049 (+7%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $205 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $19,236
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $68,533
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23851
- Home prices YoY
- -10.2%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $632/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $633
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 Holland Cir Franklin, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 93-char remark
-
2026-06-18price $129,999 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,990 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,990 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,990 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,990 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,990 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,990 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $134,990 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,990 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,990 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,990 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,990 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,990 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 81-char remark
-
2026-06-02$139,990 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $632 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,066 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$434/yr (+$36/mo · 68.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$632
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $5,798
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,391
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,209/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101410
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -48.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,138
- Composite
- 30.47/100
- National rank
- #6227
- State rank
- #127 of 131 in VA
Livability — Franklin
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #461
- US rank
- #19645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Franklin, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,481
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,817 people
- By 2030
- 7,480 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 6,803 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 6,124 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 4,484 · -42.6%
- By 2100
- 2,967 · -62.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 44% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.3pp toward R · 2008: 28.1pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+25.6 2016: D+27.1 2012: D+30.7 2008: D+28.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.51%
- Current HPI
- 293.564
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+418.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $139,990 REINMLS
- 2021-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $632 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…