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3304 Skywagon Dr
C- Composite 51.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,900

3304 Skywagon Dr · Crestview, FL 32539
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 2004 0.26 ac lot $167/sqft · 10% below area Est $266k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SELLER WILL PAY UP TO $6,500 TOWARDS BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS!! Move-in ready and well maintained, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a freshly painted spacious living room and a semi-open floor plan ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Major systems--including the roof, AC, and water heater--are all less than 7 years old, providing peace of mind for years to come. The charming and functional kitchen offers ample convenience, while the nicely sized bedrooms include a comfortable primary suite with a walk-in closet. Enjoy additional living space in the Florida room overlooking the fenced backyard--perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. A wonderful place to call home!

Key facts

  • Dual vanities
  • Walk-in closet
  • Florida room

Tags

FLORIDA ROOMFENCED BACKYARDSEMI-OPEN FLOOR PLANWALK-IN CLOSETDUAL VANITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (15.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.4% in Crestview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 521 active listings in the ZIP; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $240k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,873 (15.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.92%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$265,794
List price
$239,900
Delta
-9.74%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3304 Skywagon Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,440 (0%) 0mo $239,900 $167 100
3312 Skywagon Dr 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-3%) 7mo $275,000 $196 87
3111 Skyhawk Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,356 (-6%) 18mo $265,000 $195 72
3209 Skynight Dr 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,632 (+13%) 13mo $255,000 $156 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-34,260
Equity at exit
$35,770
10-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-38,898
Equity at exit
$20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32539

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
521
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,019 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $880/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,812
Max offer price $239,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    SELLER WILL PAY UP TO $6,500 TOWARDS BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS!! Move-in ready and well maintained, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a freshly painted spacious living room and a semi-open floor plan ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Major systems--including the roof, AC, and water heater--are all less than 7 years old, providing peace of mind for years to come. The charming and functional kitchen offers ample convenience, while the nicely sized bedrooms include a comfortable primary suite with a walk-in closet. Enjoy additional living space in the Florida room overlooking the fenced backyard--perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. A wonderful place to call home!

  2. 2026-04-25
    price $239,900 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    SELLER WILL PAY UP TO $6,500 TOWARDS BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS!! Move-in ready and well maintained, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a freshly painted spacious living room and a semi-open floor plan ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Major systems--including the roof, AC, and water heater--are all less than 7 years old, providing peace of mind for years to come. The charming and functional kitchen offers ample convenience, while the nicely sized bedrooms include a comfortable primary suite with a walk-in closet. Enjoy additional living space in the Florida room overlooking the fenced backyard--perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. A wonderful place to call home!

  3. 2026-03-11
    price $248,500 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    SELLER WILL PAY UP TO $6,500 TOWARDS BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS!! Move-in ready and well maintained, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a freshly painted spacious living room and a semi-open floor plan ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Major systems--including the roof, AC, and water heater--are all less than 7 years old, providing peace of mind for years to come. The charming and functional kitchen offers ample convenience, while the nicely sized bedrooms include a comfortable primary suite with a walk-in closet. Enjoy additional living space in the Florida room overlooking the fenced backyard--perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. A wonderful place to call home!

  4. 2026-01-20
    price $254,900 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    SELLER WILL PAY UP TO $6,500 TOWARDS BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS!! Move-in ready and well maintained, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a freshly painted spacious living room and a semi-open floor plan ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Major systems--including the roof, AC, and water heater--are all less than 7 years old, providing peace of mind for years to come. The charming and functional kitchen offers ample convenience, while the nicely sized bedrooms include a comfortable primary suite with a walk-in closet. Enjoy additional living space in the Florida room overlooking the fenced backyard--perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. A wonderful place to call home!

  5. 2025-12-30
    listed $255,000 Active 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    SELLER WILL PAY UP TO $6,500 TOWARDS BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS!! Move-in ready and well maintained, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a freshly painted spacious living room and a semi-open floor plan ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Major systems--including the roof, AC, and water heater--are all less than 7 years old, providing peace of mind for years to come. The charming and functional kitchen offers ample convenience, while the nicely sized bedrooms include a comfortable primary suite with a walk-in closet. Enjoy additional living space in the Florida room overlooking the fenced backyard--perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. A wonderful place to call home!

  6. 2004-10-29
    soldstatus $119,900 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    A MUCH NEEDED, AFFORDABLE SUBDIVISION BUILT BY RAY CONSTRUCTION * THIS IS A VERY OPEN PLAN * LIVING ROOM IS LARGE WITH A CATHEDRAL CEILING * KITCHEN HAS A PANTRY * PREMIUM LOT * EXCELLENT BUILDER * QUALITY CONSTRUCTION * ALL YARDS WILL BE COMPLETELY SODDED * THIS IS THE SAME AS THE MODEL HOME. MODEL IS OPEN SUN 1-4, MON-FRI 2-5 & SAT 11-3 * * BUILDER RESERVES THE RIGHT TO MAKE MINOR CHANGES WITHOUT NOTIFICATION * THIS IS THE CESSNA PLAN *

  7. 2004-10-29
    soldstatus $119,900 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    A MUCH NEEDED, AFFORDABLE SUBDIVISION BUILT BY RAY CONSTRUCTION * THIS IS A VERY OPEN PLAN * LIVING ROOM IS LARGE WITH A CATHEDRAL CEILING * KITCHEN HAS A PANTRY * PREMIUM LOT * EXCELLENT BUILDER * QUALITY CONSTRUCTION * ALL YARDS WILL BE COMPLETELY SODDED * THIS IS THE SAME AS THE MODEL HOME. MODEL IS OPEN SUN 1-4, MON-FRI 2-5 & SAT 11-3 * * BUILDER RESERVES THE RIGHT TO MAKE MINOR CHANGES WITHOUT NOTIFICATION * THIS IS THE CESSNA PLAN *

  8. 2004-03-26
    listed $119,900 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    A MUCH NEEDED, AFFORDABLE SUBDIVISION BUILT BY RAY CONSTRUCTION * THIS IS A VERY OPEN PLAN * LIVING ROOM IS LARGE WITH A CATHEDRAL CEILING * KITCHEN HAS A PANTRY * PREMIUM LOT * EXCELLENT BUILDER * QUALITY CONSTRUCTION * ALL YARDS WILL BE COMPLETELY SODDED * THIS IS THE SAME AS THE MODEL HOME. MODEL IS OPEN SUN 1-4, MON-FRI 2-5 & SAT 11-3 * * BUILDER RESERVES THE RIGHT TO MAKE MINOR CHANGES WITHOUT NOTIFICATION * THIS IS THE CESSNA PLAN *

  9. 2004-03-26
    listed $119,900 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    A MUCH NEEDED, AFFORDABLE SUBDIVISION BUILT BY RAY CONSTRUCTION * THIS IS A VERY OPEN PLAN * LIVING ROOM IS LARGE WITH A CATHEDRAL CEILING * KITCHEN HAS A PANTRY * PREMIUM LOT * EXCELLENT BUILDER * QUALITY CONSTRUCTION * ALL YARDS WILL BE COMPLETELY SODDED * THIS IS THE SAME AS THE MODEL HOME. MODEL IS OPEN SUN 1-4, MON-FRI 2-5 & SAT 11-3 * * BUILDER RESERVES THE RIGHT TO MAKE MINOR CHANGES WITHOUT NOTIFICATION * THIS IS THE CESSNA PLAN *

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$880 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,991 · $166/mo
Expected delta
+$1,111/yr (+$93/mo · 126.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,225
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$880
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,938
− Management
−$1,938
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$2,148
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$515
After-tax cash flow
$2,477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okaloosa
NCES district ID
1201380
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,601
Composite
51.62/100
National rank
#1705
State rank
#12 of 73 in FL

Livability — Crestview

Score
75/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#3858

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
City population
58,889
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,290
Household income
$74,369
Rent vs Own
21.7% rent · 78.3% own
Severe rent burden
371.0

Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
235,133 people
By 2030
253,483 · +7.8%
By 2040
289,537 · +23.1%
By 2050
322,954 · +37.3%
By 2075
399,624 · +70.0%
By 2100
425,311 · +80.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.52%
Current HPI
261.1557
Rent YoY
▲ 0.12%
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending ECAR
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $239,900 ECAR
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $248,500 ECAR
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $254,900 ECAR
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $255,000 ECAR
  • 2004-10-29 Sold (MLS) $119,900 NAMLS
  • 2004-10-29 Sold (MLS) $119,900 ECAR
  • 2004-03-26 Listed $119,900 NAMLS
  • 2004-03-26 Listed $119,900 ECAR

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $880 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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