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C+ Composite 62.21
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

125 Mckinney St · Ruth, NC 28139
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,896 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1962 0.38 ac lot ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

AUCTION DATE CHANGE TO FEBRUARY 26 at 6:00 PM. Introducing an exceptional auction opportunity in Rutherfordton, NC situated less than 5 minutes to Downtown Rutherfordton. This brick 3-bedroom, 2 bath, 1,841 sq ft home features a split level with formal dining room, 2 bedrooms, a full bath, an office and the kitchen on the main level. The lower level highlights a large living room with a magnificent fireplace and a bonus storage room with its own security system (currently used as a gun vault). Upstairs features a massive primary bedroom, another full bath and yet another storage/office area. The property includes ample parking in the driveway with an attached carport and storage and a nice

Key facts

  • 0.38 acre lot
  • Built 1962
  • Listed 63 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#580 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rutherford County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #98 of 178 in NC (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 312 active listings in the ZIP; 193 units permitted in Rutherford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rutherford County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.63%
Cash-on-cash
11.92%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$365,928
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
173 Sherry St 0.25mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,686 (-11%) 12mo $325,000 $193 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,265
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$36,201
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28139

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Active inventory
312
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,794 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,814/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$417

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,266
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-03-07
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-20
    price $150,000
  3. 2026-01-02
    status Active
  4. 2025-12-27
    listed $230,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,814 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,814 · $151/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,530
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,814
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,722
− Management
−$1,722
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,755
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$661
After-tax cash flow
$4,344/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rutherford County Schools
NCES district ID
3704080
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$36,490
Composite
36.11/100
National rank
#4753
State rank
#98 of 178 in NC

Livability — Ruth

Score
58/100
State rank
#580
US rank
#21369

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ruth, NC
Population (ZIP)
18,887

Population outlook (Rutherford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,695 people
By 2030
61,670 · -3.2%
By 2040
57,212 · -10.2%
By 2050
52,763 · -17.2%
By 2075
44,493 · -30.1%
By 2100
38,127 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Rutherford

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: -31.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+45.8 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+31.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.65%
Current HPI
249.7007
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-07 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $150,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-02 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-27 Listed $230,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,814 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…