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45-08 40th St Unit D51
C Composite 57.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$450,000

45-08 40th St Unit D51 · New York, NY 11104
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 795 sqft · Condo · 1 Days on market
Built 1922 $741/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this top floor walk up charming 1-bedroom co-op located in the heart of Sunnyside at 45-08 40th Street. Nestled in a well-maintained building, this bright and airy home offers the perfect blend of classic charm and modern convenience. As you step inside, you're greeted by a spacious and inviting layout featuring three well-appointed rooms. The living area boasts generous proportions, allowing for a comfortable space to relax or entertain guests. Adjacent to the living area, the kitchen provides functionality and opportunity to personalize to your taste. The large bedroom offers a tranquil retreat and ample room for all your furnishings, giving you plenty of flexibility to create

Key facts

  • Ample room
  • Bright and airy home
  • Spacious layout

Tags

WELL MAINTAINED BUILDINGBRIGHT AND AIRY HOMESPACIOUS LAYOUTTHREE WELL APPOINTED ROOMSGENEROUS PROPORTIONSAMPLE ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Co-op residence; 6-story building
  • Construction: Building contains 126 units

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
  • Interior features: Three total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $450k).
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,371/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 1859% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.7%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-2.7% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $450,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.73%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.71% appreciation · 6.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-23,446
Equity at exit
$72,942
10-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$99,803
Equity at exit
$49,023

Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11104

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,371 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,360
Tax est. 1.5%
$562 /mo · $6,750/yr
Insurance
$188
HOA
$741
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,128
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,874
Max offer price $450,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,500
Closing costs
$13,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
34-35 44th St Astoria, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 613 $5,794 $9.45 1d 26 0.88mi
3705 30th St Long Island City, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 700 $6,180 $8.83 10d 3 0.90mi
3 Court Sq W #907 Long Island City, NY 2.0 2.0 930 $6,300 $6.77 24d 1 1.08mi
285 Kingsland Ave #2078 Brooklyn, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 725 $6,380 $8.80 24d 2 1.46mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$741 · $8,892/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on marketlisting id $450,000 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $450,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $450,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    statuslisting id $450,000 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $450,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$64,447
− Mortgage interest
−$25,207
− Property taxes
−$6,750
− Insurance
−$2,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,156
− Management
−$5,156
− HOA
−$8,892
− Depreciation
−$13,091
Taxable loss
−$2,054
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$493
After-tax cash flow
$5,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
26,132
Household income
$80,709
Rent vs Own
79.6% rent · 20.4% own
Severe rent burden
1859.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 16% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Scandinavian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
46% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
38% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Indo-European 18% Other Asian/Pacific 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.71%
Current HPI
224.0688
Rent YoY
▲ 6.31%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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