45-08 40th St Unit D51 · New York, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$450,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this top floor walk up charming 1-bedroom co-op located in the heart of Sunnyside at 45-08 40th Street. Nestled in a well-maintained building, this bright and airy home offers the perfect blend of classic charm and modern convenience. As you step inside, you're greeted by a spacious and inviting layout featuring three well-appointed rooms. The living area boasts generous proportions, allowing for a comfortable space to relax or entertain guests. Adjacent to the living area, the kitchen provides functionality and opportunity to personalize to your taste. The large bedroom offers a tranquil retreat and ample room for all your furnishings, giving you plenty of flexibility to create
Key facts
- Ample room
- Bright and airy home
- Spacious layout
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Co-op residence; 6-story building
- Construction: Building contains 126 units
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
- Interior features: Three total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $450k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $450k).
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,371/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 1859% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.7%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-2.7% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.73%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.71% appreciation · 6.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-23,446
- Equity at exit
- $72,942
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $99,803
- Equity at exit
- $49,023
Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11104
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,371 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,360
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$562 /mo · $6,750/yr
- Insurance
- −$188
- HOA
- −$741
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,128
- Net cashflow
- $392
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,500
- Closing costs
- $13,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34-35 44th St Astoria, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 613 | $5,794 | $9.45 | 1d | 26 | 0.88mi |
| 3705 30th St Long Island City, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $6,180 | $8.83 | 10d | 3 | 0.90mi |
| 3 Court Sq W #907 Long Island City, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $6,300 | $6.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 285 Kingsland Ave #2078 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $6,380 | $8.80 | 24d | 2 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $741 · $8,892/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
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2026-06-17days on market $450,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $450,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $450,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-15status $450,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-13$450,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $64,447
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,207
- − Property taxes
- −$6,750
- − Insurance
- −$2,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,156
- − Management
- −$5,156
- − HOA
- −$8,892
- − Depreciation
- −$13,091
- Taxable loss
- −$2,054
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$493
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,196/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,132
- Household income
- $80,709
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1859.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 16% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scandinavian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 38% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Indo-European 18% Other Asian/Pacific 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.71%
- Current HPI
- 224.0688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.31%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…