CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
66 Harlan St
D Composite 42.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

66 Harlan St · Depew, NY 14043
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,254 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1900 3,000 sqft lot $159/sqft · 24% below area Est $262k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 1,254 sq ft single-family home featuring a large covered front porch and welcoming layout. The main floor offers a generous living room with high ceilings that flows into the dining room and kitchen. Enjoy making meals in the kitchen with so much counter space and additional cabinets for storage! Upstairs includes 3 bedrooms and a sizable full bathroom with a classic clawfoot tub. The main bedroom is located at the front of the home with a pretty bay window. This home is move-in ready with room to update and make it your own. Major improvements already completed include a full roof tear-off with 25-year asphalt shingles, new fascia and gutters (2014), new furnace (2018, serviced annually), replacement windows (2006), and storm door (2018). Basement was improved with drain tile and sump pump (2008), and the exterior was freshly painted in 2021. Partially fenced yard, with off-street parking in front or alongside the home. A great opportunity for buyers looking to customize and add value in a solid, well-maintained property!

Key facts

  • 3,000 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
  • Home design: 2-story house; Existing construction; Asphalt roof; Shake siding; Poured foundation
  • Construction: Built (existing); Shake siding construction; Asphalt roof; Poured foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Fully fenced yard; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Gas oven; Range hood; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the second floor)
  • Flooring: Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Entrance foyer; Separate/formal living room; Separate/formal dining room; Country kitchen; Pantry; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-189 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (16.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (19.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $162k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.7% in Depew — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#408 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Depew Union Free School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #461 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $109k; list at $200k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $161,934 (19.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.04%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$261,809
List price
$199,900
Delta
-23.65%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
145 Hinchey Ave 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,352 (+8%) 4mo $240,000 $178 71
74 Grant St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,239 (-1%) 1mo $270,000 $218 71
21 Terrell St 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,404 (+12%) 7mo $365,000 $260 67
846 Falcon Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+10%) 8mo $410,000 $297 64
26 Carter St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,204 (-4%) 2mo $307,000 $255 62
88 Colony St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-0%) 6mo $342,000 $274 62
27 Doehaven Cir 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,356 (+8%) 7mo $375,000 $277 58
39 Asbury Pl 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+0%) 8mo $260,000 $206 55
343 Olmstead Ave 0.19mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,424 (+14%) 7mo $201,400 $141 53
37 W Drullard Ave 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,421 (+13%) 4mo $213,000 $150 50
57 Wyandotte St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,389 (+11%) 5mo $228,000 $164 46
59 Sturm St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+12%) 4mo $248,000 $177 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.8%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-39,719
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-29,746
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14043

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,619 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$336 /mo · $4,035/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$-189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,858
Max offer price $166,594
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
136 Sawyer Ave Unit 2 Depew, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 43d 1 0.48mi
Cowing St Lancaster, NY 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,400 $0.97 43d 1 0.56mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 1658-char remark
  2. 2026-05-12
    historical Active Under Contract 1658-char remark
  3. 2026-05-07
    listed $199,900 Active 1658-char remark
  4. 2025-11-26
    soldstatus $108,800
  5. 2025-11-25
    soldstatus $108,800 Closed 1048-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1048 chars)

    Spacious 1,254 sq ft single-family home featuring a large covered front porch and welcoming layout. The main floor offers a generous living room with high ceilings that flows into the dining room and kitchen. Enjoy making meals in the kitchen with so much counter space and additional cabinets for storage! Upstairs includes 3 bedrooms and a sizable full bathroom with a classic clawfoot tub. The main bedroom is located at the front of the home with a pretty bay window. This home is move-in ready with room to update and make it your own. Major improvements already completed include a full roof tear-off with 25-year asphalt shingles, new fascia and gutters (2014), new furnace (2018, serviced annually), replacement windows (2006), and storm door (2018). Basement was improved with drain tile and sump pump (2008), and the exterior was freshly painted in 2021. Partially fenced yard, with off-street parking in front or alongside the home. A great opportunity for buyers looking to customize and add value in a solid, well-maintained property!

  6. 2025-09-22
    status Pending 1048-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1048 chars)

    Spacious 1,254 sq ft single-family home featuring a large covered front porch and welcoming layout. The main floor offers a generous living room with high ceilings that flows into the dining room and kitchen. Enjoy making meals in the kitchen with so much counter space and additional cabinets for storage! Upstairs includes 3 bedrooms and a sizable full bathroom with a classic clawfoot tub. The main bedroom is located at the front of the home with a pretty bay window. This home is move-in ready with room to update and make it your own. Major improvements already completed include a full roof tear-off with 25-year asphalt shingles, new fascia and gutters (2014), new furnace (2018, serviced annually), replacement windows (2006), and storm door (2018). Basement was improved with drain tile and sump pump (2008), and the exterior was freshly painted in 2021. Partially fenced yard, with off-street parking in front or alongside the home. A great opportunity for buyers looking to customize and add value in a solid, well-maintained property!

  7. 2025-09-15
    price $124,900 1048-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1048 chars)

    Spacious 1,254 sq ft single-family home featuring a large covered front porch and welcoming layout. The main floor offers a generous living room with high ceilings that flows into the dining room and kitchen. Enjoy making meals in the kitchen with so much counter space and additional cabinets for storage! Upstairs includes 3 bedrooms and a sizable full bathroom with a classic clawfoot tub. The main bedroom is located at the front of the home with a pretty bay window. This home is move-in ready with room to update and make it your own. Major improvements already completed include a full roof tear-off with 25-year asphalt shingles, new fascia and gutters (2014), new furnace (2018, serviced annually), replacement windows (2006), and storm door (2018). Basement was improved with drain tile and sump pump (2008), and the exterior was freshly painted in 2021. Partially fenced yard, with off-street parking in front or alongside the home. A great opportunity for buyers looking to customize and add value in a solid, well-maintained property!

  8. 2025-07-29
    listed $129,900 Active 1048-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1048 chars)

    Spacious 1,254 sq ft single-family home featuring a large covered front porch and welcoming layout. The main floor offers a generous living room with high ceilings that flows into the dining room and kitchen. Enjoy making meals in the kitchen with so much counter space and additional cabinets for storage! Upstairs includes 3 bedrooms and a sizable full bathroom with a classic clawfoot tub. The main bedroom is located at the front of the home with a pretty bay window. This home is move-in ready with room to update and make it your own. Major improvements already completed include a full roof tear-off with 25-year asphalt shingles, new fascia and gutters (2014), new furnace (2018, serviced annually), replacement windows (2006), and storm door (2018). Basement was improved with drain tile and sump pump (2008), and the exterior was freshly painted in 2021. Partially fenced yard, with off-street parking in front or alongside the home. A great opportunity for buyers looking to customize and add value in a solid, well-maintained property!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,035 · $336/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,035 · $336/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,432
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$4,035
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,555
− Management
−$1,555
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$5,724
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,374
After-tax cash flow
$-889/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Depew Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3609030
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$51,488
Composite
38.33/100
National rank
#4224
State rank
#461 of 590 in NY

Livability — Depew

Score
71/100
State rank
#408
US rank
#7016

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Depew, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
25,098
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
25,098
Household income
$74,112
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
854.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 30% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Arabic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.13%
Current HPI
292.1082
Rent YoY
▲ 5.75%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+53.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $199,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $108,800 Public Records
  • 2025-11-25 Sold (MLS) $108,800 WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-22 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $124,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-07-29 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,035 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…