5668 Centeridge · Dallas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well laid out 3-2-2 with open floor plan. Master bedroom offers sitting area and WIC. Master bath with separate vanities, shower and garden tub. All bedrooms are spacious with nice closets.
Key facts
- Inviting kitchen
- Large backyard
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing/funding; Special listing conditions: Standard
- Financial info: Listing terms include Cash, Conventional, FHA-203K; Second mortgage: No; Loan type: Treat As Clear
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Garage listed as parking feature
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Municipal utility district: No
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Residential property (not attached)
- Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1997
- Exterior features: No easements; Lot less than 0.5 acre (approximately 0.1314 acres); Located between Beltline and West Camp Wisdom; Subdivision: MOUTAIN VISTA
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in cabinets; Dual sinks; Water line to refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Plumbed for gas in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second floor with sitting area, walk-in closet, separate vanities, separate shower and garden tub (19 x 13); Two additional bedrooms on first floor with split-bedroom layout and walk-in closets (each 11 x 10)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Upstairs bathroom with dimensions 9 x 8
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating; Fireplace heating (decorative fireplace in living room)
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Cable TV available; One living area; One dining area; Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Duncanville ISD (suburban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #711 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cj & Anne Hyman El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 456 students, 77% FRL).
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 17 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $145k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $155k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.69%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $276,012
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5648 Centeridge Dr | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,590 (+8%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $189 | 76 |
| 5612 High Creek Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,520 (+3%) | 14mo | $339,000 | $223 | 75 |
| 5916 Alcova Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (-4%) | 0mo | $265,000 | $187 | 62 |
| 5539 Mandarin Way | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,611 (+9%) | 9mo | $284,299 | $176 | 44 |
| 8404 Timberbrook Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,652 (+12%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $197 | 44 |
| 5876 Firethorn Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,581 (+7%) | 18mo | $289,900 | $183 | 39 |
| 8311 Mountainview Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,635 (+11%) | 24mo | $305,000 | $187 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $4,360
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $42,455
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75249
- Home prices YoY
- -6.3%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,384 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$547 /mo · $6,562/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$501
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8015 W Camp Wisdom Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1129 | $2,183 | $1.93 | 2d | 19 | 0.39mi |
| 6623 Mountain Trl Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $2,400 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5904 Alcova Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1647 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7455 W Camp Wisdom Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $2,327 | $2.89 | 3d | 11 | 0.74mi |
| 8413 Canvasback Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1631 | $2,200 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7070 W Camp Wisdom Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $1,739 | $2.12 | 2d | 20 | 0.97mi |
| 7525 Ashcrest Ln Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,949 | $1.81 | 1d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7521 Ashcrest Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1772 | $2,111 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8423 Creekbluff Dr Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1746 | $2,550 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4868 S Merrifield Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1102 | $2,851 | $2.59 | 2d | 28 | 1.21mi |
| 7212 Elderberry Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,995 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8200 Clarksprings Dr Dallas, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 822 | $1,810 | $2.20 | 2d | 26 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-02price $155,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-27status Active
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-04-21status Active
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-09price $245,000
-
2026-04-08status Active
-
2025-12-31status Pending
-
2025-12-23price $285,000
-
2025-12-18price $235,000
-
2025-12-16price $215,000
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2025-12-16price $145,000
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2025-12-12status Active
-
2025-12-10price $245,000
-
2025-12-05status Active
-
2025-12-05status Active
-
2025-11-21status Pending
-
2025-11-21status Active
-
2025-11-21status Pending
-
2025-11-21historical
-
2025-11-19status Pending
-
2025-11-19status Active
-
2025-11-12status Active
-
2025-11-03price $250,000
-
2025-11-03price $356,000
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2025-10-30status Active
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2025-10-30status Pending
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2025-10-28status Active
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2025-10-28status Pending
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2025-10-28status Active
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2025-10-12status Pending
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2025-10-10status Active
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2025-10-03historical Active Option Contract
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2025-09-16price $256,000
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2025-09-02price $266,000
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2025-09-02status Active
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2025-08-25price $266,900
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2025-08-23price $296,900
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2025-08-01$300,000 Active
-
2013-10-25soldstatus
-
2013-10-24soldstatus Closed 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Well laid out 3-2-2 with open floor plan. Master bedroom offers sitting area and WIC. Master bath with separate vanities, shower and garden tub. All bedrooms are spacious with nice closets.
-
2013-09-27status Pending 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Well laid out 3-2-2 with open floor plan. Master bedroom offers sitting area and WIC. Master bath with separate vanities, shower and garden tub. All bedrooms are spacious with nice closets.
-
2013-09-06historical Active Option Contract 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Well laid out 3-2-2 with open floor plan. Master bedroom offers sitting area and WIC. Master bath with separate vanities, shower and garden tub. All bedrooms are spacious with nice closets.
-
2013-07-30$122,000 Active 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Well laid out 3-2-2 with open floor plan. Master bedroom offers sitting area and WIC. Master bath with separate vanities, shower and garden tub. All bedrooms are spacious with nice closets.
-
2007-11-13soldstatus
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2007-11-09soldstatus 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
3-2 home with spacious living area. The kitchen is great, with plenty of counter and cabinet space. The master bedroom is huge and features a sitting area and a WIC, and the master bath has separate vanities, separate shower, and a garden tub. All of the secondary bedrooms are very well sized for extra comfort. Addl feat incl: Ceiling Fans, Vaulted Ceilings, recent carpet, and fresh paint inside and out. This home is definitely a must see!
-
2007-10-02historical 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
3-2 home with spacious living area. The kitchen is great, with plenty of counter and cabinet space. The master bedroom is huge and features a sitting area and a WIC, and the master bath has separate vanities, separate shower, and a garden tub. All of the secondary bedrooms are very well sized for extra comfort. Addl feat incl: Ceiling Fans, Vaulted Ceilings, recent carpet, and fresh paint inside and out. This home is definitely a must see!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,562 · $547/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,562 · $547/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$6,562
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,288
- − Management
- −$2,288
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $3,499
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$840
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,666/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duncanville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817640
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,979
- Composite
- 21.71/100
- National rank
- #8270
- State rank
- #711 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 1,168,437
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,447
- Household income
- $85,500
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 363.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 14% White 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.84%
- Current HPI
- 295.4071
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+159.0% since first listed50 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-04-21 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-04-20 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $245,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-12-31 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $285,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $235,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $215,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $145,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-12 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $245,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-05 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-12-05 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-11-21 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-11-21 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-11-21 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-11-21 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-11-19 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-11-19 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-11-12 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $250,000 NTREIS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $356,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-30 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-10-30 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-10-28 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-10-28 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-10-28 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-10-12 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-10-10 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-10-03 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2025-09-16 Price Changed $256,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $266,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-02 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $266,900 NTREIS
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $296,900 NTREIS
- 2025-08-01 Listed $300,000 NTREIS
- 2013-10-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-10-24 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2013-09-27 Pending — NTREIS
- 2013-09-06 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2013-07-30 Listed $122,000 NTREIS
- 2007-11-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-11-09 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2007-10-02 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2007-08-08 Listed $119,900 NTREIS
- 1997-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $89,692 Public Records
- 1997-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $94,589 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,562 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…