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2725 Brownell Blvd
B- Composite 67.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,999

2725 Brownell Blvd · Flint, MI 48504
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 903 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1942

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

very cozy home new roof, updated furnace and hot water tank, also updated plumbing and electrical. Just need tlc already furnished!! move on in!

Key facts

  • Updated electrical
  • Updated furnace
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFUPDATED FURNACEUPDATED PLUMBINGUPDATED ELECTRICAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($883 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $59,099 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
11.10%
Cash-on-cash
17.16%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$26,187
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2613 Brownell Blvd 0.10mi 3/1.0 911 (+1%) 4mo $78,000 $86 91
2331 Welch Blvd 0.33mi 3/1.0 912 (+1%) 7mo $69,900 $77 77
3419 Leerda St 0.39mi 3/1.0 938 (+4%) 4mo $25,500 $27 72
1818 Parkfront Dr 0.28mi 3/1.0 972 (+8%) 4mo $63,000 $65 71
2214 Mack Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+12%) 6mo $26,500 $26 68
3143 Maywood Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 882 (-2%) 1mo $35,000 $40 63
1705 W Pasadena Ave 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,008 (+12%) 7mo $9,000 $9 57
3418 Keyes St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-0%) 7mo $69,000 $77 54
2495 Lavelle Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 822 (-9%) 6mo $17,500 $21 51
2245 Milbourne Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 962 (+6%) 6mo $17,537 $18 51
3030 Mccollum Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+6%) 8mo $28,000 $29 48
3509 Donnelly St 0.70mi 3/1.0 983 (+9%) 8mo $7,300 $7 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$5,620
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$24,760
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48504

Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$883 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,413/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$185
Net cashflow
$240

Break-even live

Break-even rent $579
Max offer price $59,999
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3221 Burgess St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 755 $875 $1.16 21d 1 0.35mi
3506 Brownell Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $825 $1.38 13d 1 0.36mi
711 W Dewey St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1011 $925 $0.91 21d 1 0.74mi
2410 Gena Ann Ln Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 0.97mi
2410 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2410 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 0.97mi
2462 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2462 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 0.98mi
2419 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2419 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 0.99mi
3376 Preston Pl Unit PRE3376 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 1.00mi
3616 Concord St Unit CON3616 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 1.09mi
2332 Fredonia Ave Unit FRE2332 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,999 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,999 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,999 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,999 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,999 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,999 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,999 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,999 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,999 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,999 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,999 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,999 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,999 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,999 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,999 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,999 Active 4 DOM
  17. 2026-05-26
    listed $59,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,413 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,413 · $118/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,598
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$1,413
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$848
− Management
−$848
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$2,083
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$500
After-tax cash flow
$2,383/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
23,873

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
94.3111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $59,999 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,413 · +82.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…