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168 N Burgess Rd
D Composite 43.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,500

168 N Burgess Rd · Sterling, GA 31523
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1961 6,708 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OPPORTUNITY FOR INVESTORS OR BARGAIN HUNTERS - PROPERTY WITH GREAT POTENTIAL! 168 N Burgess Rd offers a fantastic opportunity for the right buyer! This property sits on a generous lot with excellent potential for a mobile/modular home or new build. This property is a diamond in the rough presenting a golden opportunity to build equity or a cozy dream home in beautiful Brunswick, GA! This prime location is ideal for investors, contractors or buyers with a vision. Perfect for someone ready to roll up their sleeves and create something special. Priced to sell quickly - bring your tools and imagination! Cash offers preferred. Property being sold as-is. Current Home structure is a tear down and not safe to enter.

Key facts

  • 6,708 sq ft lot
  • Built 1961

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $26k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $26k).
  • Cap rate 66.9% vs local median 3.8% in Sterling — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 215 active listings in the ZIP; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $176 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $765 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $25,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.35%
Cap rate
66.93%
Cash-on-cash
216.56%
DSCR
10.64
GRM
1.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.92×
Total profit
$77,974
Equity at exit
$3,802
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
25.33×
Total profit
$173,729
Equity at exit
$2,205

Cash invested: $7,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31523

Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,875 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$134
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $581/yr
Insurance
$11
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$1,289

Break-even live

Break-even rent $244
Max offer price $25,500
Occupancy floor 26%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,375
Closing costs
$765
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-01-21
    status Under Contract 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    OPPORTUNITY FOR INVESTORS OR BARGAIN HUNTERS - PROPERTY WITH GREAT POTENTIAL! 168 N Burgess Rd offers a fantastic opportunity for the right buyer! This property sits on a generous lot with excellent potential for a mobile/modular home or new build. This property is a diamond in the rough presenting a golden opportunity to build equity or a cozy dream home in beautiful Brunswick, GA! This prime location is ideal for investors, contractors or buyers with a vision. Perfect for someone ready to roll up their sleeves and create something special. Priced to sell quickly - bring your tools and imagination! Cash offers preferred. Property being sold as-is. Current Home structure is a tear down and not safe to enter.

  2. 2026-01-06
    status Back On Market 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    OPPORTUNITY FOR INVESTORS OR BARGAIN HUNTERS - PROPERTY WITH GREAT POTENTIAL! 168 N Burgess Rd offers a fantastic opportunity for the right buyer! This property sits on a generous lot with excellent potential for a mobile/modular home or new build. This property is a diamond in the rough presenting a golden opportunity to build equity or a cozy dream home in beautiful Brunswick, GA! This prime location is ideal for investors, contractors or buyers with a vision. Perfect for someone ready to roll up their sleeves and create something special. Priced to sell quickly - bring your tools and imagination! Cash offers preferred. Property being sold as-is. Current Home structure is a tear down and not safe to enter.

  3. 2025-09-11
    status Under Contract 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    OPPORTUNITY FOR INVESTORS OR BARGAIN HUNTERS - PROPERTY WITH GREAT POTENTIAL! 168 N Burgess Rd offers a fantastic opportunity for the right buyer! This property sits on a generous lot with excellent potential for a mobile/modular home or new build. This property is a diamond in the rough presenting a golden opportunity to build equity or a cozy dream home in beautiful Brunswick, GA! This prime location is ideal for investors, contractors or buyers with a vision. Perfect for someone ready to roll up their sleeves and create something special. Priced to sell quickly - bring your tools and imagination! Cash offers preferred. Property being sold as-is. Current Home structure is a tear down and not safe to enter.

  4. 2025-09-10
    historical
  5. 2025-08-25
    listed $25,500
  6. 2025-08-24
    listed $25,500 New 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    OPPORTUNITY FOR INVESTORS OR BARGAIN HUNTERS - PROPERTY WITH GREAT POTENTIAL! 168 N Burgess Rd offers a fantastic opportunity for the right buyer! This property sits on a generous lot with excellent potential for a mobile/modular home or new build. This property is a diamond in the rough presenting a golden opportunity to build equity or a cozy dream home in beautiful Brunswick, GA! This prime location is ideal for investors, contractors or buyers with a vision. Perfect for someone ready to roll up their sleeves and create something special. Priced to sell quickly - bring your tools and imagination! Cash offers preferred. Property being sold as-is. Current Home structure is a tear down and not safe to enter.

  7. 2025-05-31
    historical
  8. 2025-05-31
    historical
  9. 2025-05-31
    historical
  10. 2024-11-23
    listed $45,000
  11. 2024-11-23
    listed $45,000
  12. 2024-11-23
    listed $45,000 New
  13. 2024-10-31
    historical
  14. 2024-10-31
    historical
  15. 2024-07-13
    price $65,000
  16. 2023-10-16
    price $75,000
  17. 2023-10-16
    listed $65,000
  18. 2023-10-16
    listed $100,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$581 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$581 · $48/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 5% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,501
− Mortgage interest
−$1,428
− Property taxes
−$581
− Insurance
−$128
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,800
− Management
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$742
Taxable income
$16,022
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,845
After-tax cash flow
$11,617/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Glynn County
NCES district ID
1302400
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,554
Composite
33.83/100
National rank
#5359
State rank
#47 of 174 in GA

Livability — Sterling

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,921

Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
91,404 people
By 2030
94,806 · +3.7%
By 2040
100,060 · +9.5%
By 2050
103,258 · +13.0%
By 2075
107,970 · +18.1%
By 2100
103,363 · +13.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Glynn

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
2008→2024 swing
-2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.30%
Current HPI
174.4323
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-60.8% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-21 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2025-09-11 Pending GAMLS
  • 2025-09-10 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $25,500 Hive MLS
  • 2025-08-24 Listed $25,500 GAMLS
  • 2025-05-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-05-31 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-05-31 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2024-11-23 Listed $45,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-11-23 Listed $45,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-11-23 Listed $45,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-10-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2024-10-31 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2024-07-13 Price Changed $65,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-10-16 Price Changed $75,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-10-16 Listed $100,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-10-16 Listed $65,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $581 · +16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…