169 Orchard St · Nanticoke, PA 18634

$190,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1925

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.2/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.1/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Nicely maintained duplex shows pride is ownership. Long term tenants. Off-street parking. Convenient location in heart of Nanticoke.

Key facts

• Off street parking
• Convenient location
• Listed 6 days

Tags

• OFF STREET PARKING
• CONVENIENT LOCATION

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $190k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $301/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
• Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 6.3% in Nanticoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#520 in PA, #4,791 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment D-.
• Greater Nanticoke Area SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #479 of 539 in PA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $59k; list at $190k implies a 222% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $190,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.21% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.09%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.58%
• DSCR: 1.60
• GRM: 6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 3.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.14×
• Total profit: $7,528
• Equity at exit: $28,330

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.05×
• Total profit: $55,827
• Equity at exit: $16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 18634

• Home prices YoY: -29.1%
• Active inventory: 59
• Price-to-rent: 13.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,303 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$996
• Tax from tax record: −$142 /mo · $1,702/yr
• Insurance: −$79
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$484
• Net cashflow: $602

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,541

Max offer price $190,000

Occupancy floor 69%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	1	$2,302
Total (2 units)			$2,303

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $47,500
• Closing costs: $5,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
61 W Main St Nanticoke, PA	3.0	1.0	1300	$1,350	$1.04	14d	1	0.10mi
260 E Green St Nanticoke, PA	3.0	1.5	1350	$1,400	$1.04	44d	1	0.34mi
295 State St Nanticoke, PA	3.0	1.0	1781	$1,600	$0.90	14d	1	0.35mi
121 E Grand St Nanticoke, PA	3.0	1.5	1350	$1,500	$1.11	44d	1	0.48mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $190,000 Active 6 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $190,000 Active 5 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $190,000 Active 4 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $190,000 Active 3 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   remarks 196-char remark
6. 2026-06-13
   listed $190,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,702 · $142/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,352 · $196/mo
• Expected delta: +$650/yr (+$54/mo · 38.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,636
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,643
• − Property taxes: −$1,702
• − Insurance: −$950
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,211
• − Management: −$2,211
• − Depreciation: −$5,527
• Taxable income: $4,392
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,054
• After-tax cash flow: $6,170/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Greater Nanticoke Area SD
• NCES district ID: 4216290
• Math proficiency: 14% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $38,990
• Composite: 20.1/100
• National rank: #8647
• State rank: #479 of 539 in PA

Livability — Nanticoke

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #520
• US rank: #4791

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Nanticoke, PA
• Population (ZIP): 13,638

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 319,505 people
• By 2030: 319,943 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 322,643 · +1.0%
• By 2050: 330,817 · +3.5%
• By 2075: 379,145 · +18.7%
• By 2100: 431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 31% Polish 3% Hispanic 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

• 2024 margin: R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -101.20%
• Current HPI: 246.8063
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

+216.7% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-12 Listed $190,000 FSBO.com
• 2024-11-26 Rental Removed $11,400 LCAR
• 2024-11-05 Listed for Rent $11,400 LCAR
• 2019-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
• 2018-12-07 Sold (MLS) $59,000 LCAR
• 2018-08-15 Listed $60,000 LCAR

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,702 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.