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2509 Broadway Blvd
D Composite 40.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

2509 Broadway Blvd · Kilgore, TX 75662
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,450 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 2003 0.49 ac lot $138/sqft · 16% below area Est $238k · 16% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 2509 Broadway, a well-maintained residence offering comfort, space, and a central location in the heart of Kilgore. This inviting home features three bedrooms and two bathrooms, a functional floor plan, and plenty of natural light throughout. The spacious living area provides a warm and welcoming atmosphere, while the kitchen is equipped with ample cabinetry and countertop space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Bedrooms are generously sized, offering comfort and privacy for the whole family. Outside, you’ll find a nice-sized yard, providing room for outdoor activities, gardening, or simply relaxing. Located close to schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access, this home is ideal for those seeking both convenience and comfort. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an investment opportunity, 2509 Broadway is a must-see.

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Ample cabinetry
  • Countertop space

Tags

AMPLE CABINETRYCOUNTERTOP SPACENICE-SIZED YARDCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO DINING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-272 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (24.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (26.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (26.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#257 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Kilgore ISD (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #498 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Rusk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rusk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $146,812 (26.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.06%
Cash-on-cash
-4.41%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$238,094
List price
$200,000
Delta
-16.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.7%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-41,942
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-23,329
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75662

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
283
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,468 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$234 /mo · $2,802/yr
Insurance
$83
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$-272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,813
Max offer price $151,892
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
633 Harris St Kilgore, TX 2.0 2.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 13d 1 0.61mi
620 Riverside Dr Kilgore, TX 3.0 2.0 1376 $1,495 $1.09 13d 1 0.70mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    status Pending 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Welcome to 2509 Broadway, a well-maintained residence offering comfort, space, and a central location in the heart of Kilgore. This inviting home features three bedrooms and two bathrooms, a functional floor plan, and plenty of natural light throughout. The spacious living area provides a warm and welcoming atmosphere, while the kitchen is equipped with ample cabinetry and countertop space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Bedrooms are generously sized, offering comfort and privacy for the whole family. Outside, you’ll find a nice-sized yard, providing room for outdoor activities, gardening, or simply relaxing. Located close to schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access, this home is ideal for those seeking both convenience and comfort. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an investment opportunity, 2509 Broadway is a must-see.

  2. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-09
    price $200,000
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Welcome to 2509 Broadway, a well-maintained residence offering comfort, space, and a central location in the heart of Kilgore. This inviting home features three bedrooms and two bathrooms, a functional floor plan, and plenty of natural light throughout. The spacious living area provides a warm and welcoming atmosphere, while the kitchen is equipped with ample cabinetry and countertop space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Bedrooms are generously sized, offering comfort and privacy for the whole family. Outside, you’ll find a nice-sized yard, providing room for outdoor activities, gardening, or simply relaxing. Located close to schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access, this home is ideal for those seeking both convenience and comfort. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an investment opportunity, 2509 Broadway is a must-see.

  4. 2026-04-09
    price $200,000 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Welcome to 2509 Broadway, a well-maintained residence offering comfort, space, and a central location in the heart of Kilgore. This inviting home features three bedrooms and two bathrooms, a functional floor plan, and plenty of natural light throughout. The spacious living area provides a warm and welcoming atmosphere, while the kitchen is equipped with ample cabinetry and countertop space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Bedrooms are generously sized, offering comfort and privacy for the whole family. Outside, you’ll find a nice-sized yard, providing room for outdoor activities, gardening, or simply relaxing. Located close to schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access, this home is ideal for those seeking both convenience and comfort. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an investment opportunity, 2509 Broadway is a must-see.

  5. 2026-04-08
    price $200,000
  6. 2026-03-02
    listed $209,900 Active 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Welcome to 2509 Broadway, a well-maintained residence offering comfort, space, and a central location in the heart of Kilgore. This inviting home features three bedrooms and two bathrooms, a functional floor plan, and plenty of natural light throughout. The spacious living area provides a warm and welcoming atmosphere, while the kitchen is equipped with ample cabinetry and countertop space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Bedrooms are generously sized, offering comfort and privacy for the whole family. Outside, you’ll find a nice-sized yard, providing room for outdoor activities, gardening, or simply relaxing. Located close to schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access, this home is ideal for those seeking both convenience and comfort. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an investment opportunity, 2509 Broadway is a must-see.

  7. 2026-03-02
    listed $209,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Welcome to 2509 Broadway, a well-maintained residence offering comfort, space, and a central location in the heart of Kilgore. This inviting home features three bedrooms and two bathrooms, a functional floor plan, and plenty of natural light throughout. The spacious living area provides a warm and welcoming atmosphere, while the kitchen is equipped with ample cabinetry and countertop space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Bedrooms are generously sized, offering comfort and privacy for the whole family. Outside, you’ll find a nice-sized yard, providing room for outdoor activities, gardening, or simply relaxing. Located close to schools, shopping, dining, and easy highway access, this home is ideal for those seeking both convenience and comfort. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an investment opportunity, 2509 Broadway is a must-see.

  8. 2026-03-01
    listed $209,900 Active
  9. 2025-12-10
    price $215,000
  10. 2025-12-10
    price $215,000
  11. 2025-10-03
    price $219,900
  12. 2025-10-03
    price $219,900
  13. 2025-09-02
    listed $225,000 Active
  14. 2025-09-02
    listed $225,000 Active
  15. 2009-05-29
    soldstatus
  16. 2005-03-14
    soldstatus
  17. 2002-06-10
    soldstatus
  18. 1978-09-13
    soldstatus
  19. 1977-05-17
    soldstatus
  20. 1975-04-30
    soldstatus
  21. 1967-01-19
    soldstatus
  22. 1966-12-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,802 · $234/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,660 · $305/mo
Expected delta
+$858/yr (+$71/mo · 30.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,617
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$2,802
− Insurance
−$1,798
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,409
− Management
−$1,409
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$6,823
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,637
After-tax cash flow
$-1,631/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kilgore ISD
NCES district ID
4825620
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$49,682
Composite
30.72/100
National rank
#6168
State rank
#498 of 826 in TX

Livability — Kilgore

Score
72/100
State rank
#257
US rank
#6044

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kilgore, TX
County
Gregg County · 128,826 people
City population
25,034
Metro
Longview, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,034
Household income
$70,096
Rent vs Own
21.9% rent · 78.1% own
Severe rent burden
486.0

Population outlook (Rusk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
52,498 people
By 2030
52,093 · -0.8%
By 2040
50,866 · -3.1%
By 2050
49,696 · -5.3%
By 2075
48,583 · -7.5%
By 2100
43,265 · -17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 22% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Rusk

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.4) · D 20.0% · R 79.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.2pp toward R · 2008: -46.3pp · 2024: -59.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.4 2020: R+55.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+51.1 2008: R+46.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.09%
Current HPI
247.1337
Rent YoY
▲ 8.89%
Metro
Longview, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.1% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Pending LAAR
  • 2026-04-27 Pending GTAR
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $200,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $200,000 LAAR
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $200,000 GTAR
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $209,900 LAAR
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $209,900 GTAR
  • 2026-03-01 Listed $209,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $215,000 GTAR
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $215,000 LAAR
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $219,900 LAAR
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $219,900 GTAR
  • 2025-09-02 Listed $225,000 LAAR
  • 2025-09-02 Listed $225,000 GTAR
  • 2009-05-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-03-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-06-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1978-09-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1977-05-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1975-04-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1967-01-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1966-12-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,802 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…