2801 Round Rd · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience the charm of this beautifully renovated end-of-row townhouse in the heart of Brooklyn, set to impress with its major renovations completed in 2024. This traditional brick home boasts 2 spacious bedrooms and a full bathroom, perfectly designed for modern living. The inviting layout features a poured concrete basement, offering endless possibilities for customization-think home office, gym, or additional storage. With a generous finished space, every corner of this home has been thoughtfully updated to meet today's lifestyle needs. Enjoy the convenience of on-street parking and a manageable lot size, providing a cozy outdoor space without the burden of extensive maintenance. This p
Key facts
- Built 1945
- Listed 28 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Improvement assessed at $4,000; Land assessed at $1,000; Tax assessed value $5,000 (tax year 2026); Tax annual amount listed as $118
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; Electric service for heating, cooling, and hot water
- Home design: End of row townhouse; Ownership is fee simple; Year built listed as estimated, effective year 2024
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Other structures noted above and below grade
- Exterior features: Property is inside city limits; No tidal water on the lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating (electric); Ductless/mini-split cooling (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Finished above-grade living area approximately 756 (assessor); Basement with poured concrete
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $3k; list at $125k implies a 3680% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.50%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $99,792
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2715 Bookert Dr | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (0%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $165 | 94 |
| 2737 Bookert Dr | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (0%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $119 | 94 |
| 2820 Bookert Dr | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (0%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $112 | 93 |
| 2856 Bookert Dr | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (0%) | 12mo | $105,000 | $139 | 87 |
| 2805 Bookert Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 756 (0%) | 12mo | $164,900 | $218 | 84 |
| 3040 Ascension St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (0%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $99 | 76 |
| 2712 Woodview Rd | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 774 (+2%) | 17mo | $150,000 | $194 | 71 |
| 3051 Ascension St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (0%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $132 | 70 |
| 443 Roundview Rd | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (0%) | 14mo | $90,000 | $119 | 67 |
| 462 Roundview Rd | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (0%) | 17mo | $71,000 | $94 | 65 |
| 504 Bridgeview Rd | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (0%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $132 | 65 |
| 403 Seagull Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.5 | 756 (0%) | 14mo | $170,000 | $225 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $8,503
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $49,704
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21225
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,629 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $423
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2745 Round Rd Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 756 | $1,800 | $2.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2454 Terra Firma Rd Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,650 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 511 Seagull Ave Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,550 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3010 Alabama Ave Halethorpe, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2868 Potee St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,392 | $1.93 | 2d | 22 | 0.68mi |
| 217 W Edgevale Rd Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,800 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2200 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,569 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 205 Arundel Rd W Brooklyn, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,200 | $1.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2500 Insulator Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 988 | $3,816 | $3.86 | 2d | 152 | 1.30mi |
| 3513 Horton Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,600 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2600 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $1,309 | $1.53 | 2d | 24 | 1.36mi |
| 3004 Elizabeth Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,395 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 902 Catawba Ct Halethorpe, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $1,495 | $1.65 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3017 Janice Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,995 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4207 3rd St Unit 3 Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,595 | $1.88 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3111 Bero Rd Halethorpe, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-22$125,000 Active
-
2026-05-17historical $125,000
-
2025-09-30historical
-
2025-02-10status Active
-
2024-11-15historical
-
2024-11-15$99,000 Active
-
2024-10-01historical
-
2020-05-28soldstatus $3,307
-
2020-03-13soldstatus $12,489
-
2003-11-11historical
-
2003-10-28
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,548
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,564
- − Management
- −$1,564
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $3,282
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$788
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,289/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Anne Arundel County · 535,653 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,062
- Household income
- $54,020
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1440.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.44%
- Current HPI
- 254.5089
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+900.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-17 Coming Soon $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-02-10 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-15 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-01 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $3,307 Public Records
- 2020-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $12,489 Public Records
- 2003-11-11 Delisted — MRIS
- 2003-10-28 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
-16.9%/yrLatest (2025): $117 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…