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2801 Round Rd
C Composite 57.74
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

2801 Round Rd · Baltimore, MD 21225
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 756 sqft · Townhouse public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1945 3,485 sqft lot Est $100k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience the charm of this beautifully renovated end-of-row townhouse in the heart of Brooklyn, set to impress with its major renovations completed in 2024. This traditional brick home boasts 2 spacious bedrooms and a full bathroom, perfectly designed for modern living. The inviting layout features a poured concrete basement, offering endless possibilities for customization-think home office, gym, or additional storage. With a generous finished space, every corner of this home has been thoughtfully updated to meet today's lifestyle needs. Enjoy the convenience of on-street parking and a manageable lot size, providing a cozy outdoor space without the burden of extensive maintenance. This p

Key facts

  • Built 1945
  • Listed 28 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Improvement assessed at $4,000; Land assessed at $1,000; Tax assessed value $5,000 (tax year 2026); Tax annual amount listed as $118

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; Electric service for heating, cooling, and hot water
  • Home design: End of row townhouse; Ownership is fee simple; Year built listed as estimated, effective year 2024
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Other structures noted above and below grade
  • Exterior features: Property is inside city limits; No tidal water on the lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating (electric); Ductless/mini-split cooling (electric); Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Finished above-grade living area approximately 756 (assessor); Basement with poured concrete

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $3k; list at $125k implies a 3680% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.35%
Cash-on-cash
14.50%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,792
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2715 Bookert Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 3mo $125,000 $165 94
2737 Bookert Dr 0.06mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 4mo $90,000 $119 94
2820 Bookert Dr 0.04mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 6mo $85,000 $112 93
2856 Bookert Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 12mo $105,000 $139 87
2805 Bookert Dr 0.05mi 2/2.0 756 (0%) 12mo $164,900 $218 84
3040 Ascension St 0.49mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 1mo $75,000 $99 76
2712 Woodview Rd 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 774 (+2%) 17mo $150,000 $194 71
3051 Ascension St 0.53mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 6mo $100,000 $132 70
443 Roundview Rd 0.46mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 14mo $90,000 $119 67
462 Roundview Rd 0.43mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 17mo $71,000 $94 65
504 Bridgeview Rd 0.43mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 18mo $100,000 $132 65
403 Seagull Ave 0.57mi 2/1.5 756 (0%) 14mo $170,000 $225 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$8,503
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$49,704
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21225

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,629 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2745 Round Rd Brooklyn, MD 2.0 2.0 756 $1,800 $2.38 43d 1 0.04mi
2454 Terra Firma Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,650 $1.61 14d 1 0.35mi
511 Seagull Ave Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 756 $1,550 $2.05 24d 1 0.55mi
3010 Alabama Ave Halethorpe, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 17d 1 0.62mi
2868 Potee St Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 720 $1,392 $1.93 2d 22 0.68mi
217 W Edgevale Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 992 $1,800 $1.81 24d 1 1.01mi
2200 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 890 $1,569 $1.76 43d 1 1.04mi
205 Arundel Rd W Brooklyn, MD 1.0 1.0 608 $1,200 $1.97 43d 1 1.15mi
2500 Insulator Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 988 $3,816 $3.86 2d 152 1.30mi
3513 Horton Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,600 $1.57 17d 1 1.34mi
2600 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 856 $1,309 $1.53 2d 24 1.36mi
3004 Elizabeth Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,395 $1.36 4d 1 1.37mi
902 Catawba Ct Halethorpe, MD 3.0 1.0 906 $1,495 $1.65 22d 1 1.38mi
3017 Janice Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,995 $1.95 24d 1 1.40mi
4207 3rd St Unit 3 Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 850 $1,595 $1.88 5d 1 1.46mi
3111 Bero Rd Halethorpe, MD 3.0 2.0 1024 $1,750 $1.71 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    listed $125,000 Active
  15. 2026-05-17
    historical $125,000
  16. 2025-09-30
    historical
  17. 2025-02-10
    status Active
  18. 2024-11-15
    historical
  19. 2024-11-15
    listed $99,000 Active
  20. 2024-10-01
    historical
  21. 2020-05-28
    soldstatus $3,307
  22. 2020-03-13
    soldstatus $12,489
  23. 2003-11-11
    historical
  24. 2003-10-28
    listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,548
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,564
− Management
−$1,564
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$3,282
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$788
After-tax cash flow
$4,289/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Anne Arundel County · 535,653 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
34,062
Household income
$54,020
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
1440.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Native American 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.44%
Current HPI
254.5089
Rent YoY
▲ 4.08%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+900.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-17 Coming Soon $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-10 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-15 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-01 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $3,307 Public Records
  • 2020-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $12,489 Public Records
  • 2003-11-11 Delisted MRIS
  • 2003-10-28 Listed MRIS

Property tax history

-16.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $117 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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