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3349 Cypress Cove Ct
D+ Composite 48.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0

$225,000

3349 Cypress Cove Ct · Tallahassee, FL 32310
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,342 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 2002 6,098 sqft lot Est $270k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Brand new roof to be installed prior to closing with an acceptable offer! Located at the end of a cul-de-sac and backing to wooded greenspace protected by a conservation easement, this single-story 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a garage offers privacy and convenience within walking distance of the Tallahassee Museum. The home features a split-bedroom floor plan, vaulted ceilings, a wood-burning fireplace, and a spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet. Much of the interior has been freshly painted, and the home is built on a solid slab foundation. The yard includes a goldfish pond, plum tree, blueberry bushes, and prickly pear, while the privacy-fenced backyard features a deck and covered

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2002

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage
  • Security: Owned security system
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Privacy fencing; Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch; Paved road access; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (12 x 12); Bedroom 3 (12 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Wood heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Tray and vaulted ceilings; Pantry; Split-bedroom floorplan; Walk-in closet(s); Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-136 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (10.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (30.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
  • Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Pineview Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 362 students, 83% FRL); R. Frank Nims Middle School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #549 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 609 students, 82% FRL); James Rickards High School (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 1,581 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 45% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Leon average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,560/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1272% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $338 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $137k; list at $225k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $156,036 (30.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.60%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$269,742
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2307 Cypress Cove Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,360 (+1%) 9mo $273,000 $201 85
4111 Pond Cypress Ct 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,204 (-10%) 6mo $230,000 $191 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-21,014
Equity at exit
$59,310
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-6,567
Equity at exit
$66,649

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32310

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,560 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,143/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$-136

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,733
Max offer price $200,926
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-9 -5% $-73 +0% $-136 +5% $-200 +10% $-264
Rent -10% $-260 -5% $-198 +0% $-136 +5% $-75 +10% $-13
Rate -1.0pp $-23 -0.5pp $-79 base $-136 +0.5pp $-195 +1.0pp $-254

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2013 Tyson Green Trl Tallahassee, FL 3.0 3.0 1308 $1,400 $1.07 23d 1 0.32mi
1692 Baldwin Park Dr Unit 1692 Tallahassee, FL 3.0 3.0 1385 $1,475 $1.06 23d 1 1.19mi
1694 Baldwin Park Dr Tallahassee, FL 3.0–4.0 3.0–4.0 1520 $1,500 $0.99 15d 4 1.19mi
1694 Baldwin Park Dr Unit 1607 Tallahassee, FL 4.0 4.0 1683 $1,900 $1.13 23d 1 1.22mi
1694 Baldwin Park Dr Unit 1650 Tallahassee, FL 3.0 3.0 1358 $1,600 $1.18 23d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $225,000 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $225,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $225,000 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-05-23
    price $225,000
  18. 2026-04-29
    listed $235,000 Active
  19. 2026-02-15
    historical
  20. 2025-12-04
    price $240,000
  21. 2025-09-12
    price $260,000
  22. 2025-08-20
    price $280,000
  23. 2025-06-19
    listed $290,000 Active
  24. 2005-02-18
    soldstatus $136,900
  25. 2002-04-05
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,143 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,868 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$724/yr (+$60/mo · 63.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,724
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$1,143
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,498
− Management
−$1,498
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$5,689
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,365
After-tax cash flow
$-270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Leon
NCES district ID
1201110
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,339
Composite
42.84/100
National rank
#3131
State rank
#33 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tallahassee

Score
86/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#429

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tallahassee, FL
County
Leon County · 294,472 people
City population
294,472
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
Population (ZIP)
14,888
Household income
$38,288
Rent vs Own
47.2% rent · 52.8% own
Severe rent burden
1272.0

Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,507 people
By 2030
330,677 · +4.8%
By 2040
358,465 · +13.6%
By 2050
386,804 · +22.6%
By 2075
465,480 · +47.5%
By 2100
519,959 · +64.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Leon

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.54%
Current HPI
270.5721
Rent YoY
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $225,000 CATRS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $235,000 CATRS
  • 2026-02-15 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $240,000 CATRS
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $260,000 CATRS
  • 2025-08-20 Price Changed $280,000 CATRS
  • 2025-06-19 Listed $290,000 CATRS
  • 2005-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $136,900 Public Records
  • 2002-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,143 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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