3896 County Rd 38 · Eutaw, AL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$144,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your getaway nestled in a peaceful and tranquil natural setting on 2.5 acres of land. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath camp house offers your escape for relaxing weekends, fishing trips, or full-time living. Elevated construction provides classic camp-house character while maximizing your outdoor enjoyment. Surrounded by mature trees and open green space, the property features spacious outdoor areas for entertaining, grilling, or simply unwinding after a day on the water. Whether you’re searching for a weekend retreat, hunting/fishing basecamp, or potential short-term rental investment, this property delivers privacy, serenity, and authentic charm only a few miles from the boat landing. Also includes a complete camper hook up with 50 amp breaker. Camper can be included for an additional $25,000. Property is being sold as-is. Motivated Seller!
Key facts
- Open green space
- 2.5 acres
- Mature trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-165 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (16.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (16.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#442 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Hale County (rural): math 6% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #109 of 129 in AL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Greensboro Elementary School (math 4% / reading 31%, grade F, #484 of 627 statewide, top 77%, 554 students, 78% FRL); Greensboro Middle School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 257 statewide, top 90%, 232 students, 88% FRL); Greensboro High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 294 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 68% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Hale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($999 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Hale County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $144k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.17%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $176,568
- List price
- $144,500
- Delta
- -18.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $7,014
- Equity at exit
- $64,973
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $39,822
- Equity at exit
- $100,132
Cash invested: $40,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36776
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,214 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$758
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,168/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $-165
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-65 | -5% $-115 | +0% $-165 | +5% $-215 | +10% $-265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-261 | -5% $-213 | +0% $-165 | +5% $-117 | +10% $-69 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-92 | -0.5pp $-128 | base $-165 | +0.5pp $-202 | +1.0pp $-240 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,125
- Closing costs
- $4,335
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $144,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $144,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $144,500 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-18price $144,500 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $150,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-05-13price $150,000 871-char remark
Show marketing remark (871 chars)
Welcome to your getaway nestled in a peaceful and tranquil natural setting on 2.5 acres of land. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath camp house offers your escape for relaxing weekends, fishing trips, or full-time living. Elevated construction provides classic camp-house character while maximizing your outdoor enjoyment. Surrounded by mature trees and open green space, the property features spacious outdoor areas for entertaining, grilling, or simply unwinding after a day on the water. Whether you’re searching for a weekend retreat, hunting/fishing basecamp, or potential short-term rental investment, this property delivers privacy, serenity, and authentic charm only a few miles from the boat landing. Also includes a complete camper hook up with 50 amp breaker. Camper can be included for an additional $25,000. Property is being sold as-is. Motivated Seller!
-
2026-05-04price $156,000 871-char remark
Show marketing remark (871 chars)
Welcome to your getaway nestled in a peaceful and tranquil natural setting on 2.5 acres of land. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath camp house offers your escape for relaxing weekends, fishing trips, or full-time living. Elevated construction provides classic camp-house character while maximizing your outdoor enjoyment. Surrounded by mature trees and open green space, the property features spacious outdoor areas for entertaining, grilling, or simply unwinding after a day on the water. Whether you’re searching for a weekend retreat, hunting/fishing basecamp, or potential short-term rental investment, this property delivers privacy, serenity, and authentic charm only a few miles from the boat landing. Also includes a complete camper hook up with 50 amp breaker. Camper can be included for an additional $25,000. Property is being sold as-is. Motivated Seller!
-
2026-03-31$158,000 Active 871-char remark
Show marketing remark (871 chars)
Welcome to your getaway nestled in a peaceful and tranquil natural setting on 2.5 acres of land. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath camp house offers your escape for relaxing weekends, fishing trips, or full-time living. Elevated construction provides classic camp-house character while maximizing your outdoor enjoyment. Surrounded by mature trees and open green space, the property features spacious outdoor areas for entertaining, grilling, or simply unwinding after a day on the water. Whether you’re searching for a weekend retreat, hunting/fishing basecamp, or potential short-term rental investment, this property delivers privacy, serenity, and authentic charm only a few miles from the boat landing. Also includes a complete camper hook up with 50 amp breaker. Camper can be included for an additional $25,000. Property is being sold as-is. Motivated Seller!
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2023-12-15soldstatus $85,000 Closed
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2023-11-28status Pending
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2023-08-16status Active
-
2023-08-16price $89,000
-
2023-08-15historical
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2023-03-06$99,000 Active
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2020-05-29$113,900
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2018-04-24$108,500
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2017-02-16$109,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,569
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,094
- − Property taxes
- −$2,168
- − Insurance
- −$2,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,166
- − Management
- −$1,166
- − Depreciation
- −$4,204
- Taxable loss
- −$4,452
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,069
- After-tax cash flow
- $-908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hale County
- NCES district ID
- 0101710
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,076
- Composite
- 14.76/100
- National rank
- #9391
- State rank
- #109 of 129 in AL
Livability — Eutaw
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #442
- US rank
- #23496
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,904
Population outlook (Hale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,830 people
- By 2030
- 13,032 · -5.8%
- By 2040
- 11,487 · -16.9%
- By 2050
- 10,091 · -27.0%
- By 2075
- 7,930 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 6,595 · -52.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 39% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hale
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+6.8) · D 53.1% · R 46.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 6.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+6.8 2020: D+18.9 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+25.4 2008: D+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+36.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $150,000 WAMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $156,000 WAMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $158,000 WAMLS
- 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) $85,000 WAMLS
- 2023-11-28 Pending — WAMLS
- 2023-08-16 Relisted — WAMLS
- 2023-08-16 Price Changed $89,000 WAMLS
- 2023-08-15 Delisted — WAMLS
- 2023-03-06 Listed $99,000 WAMLS
- 2020-05-29 Listed $113,900 WAMLS
- 2018-04-24 Listed $108,500 WAMLS
- 2017-02-16 Listed $109,900 WAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…