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3896 County Rd 38
D+ Composite 47.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$144,500

3896 County Rd 38 · Eutaw, AL 36776
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,442 sqft · SingleFamily · 83 Days on market
Built 1978 2.50 ac lot $100/sqft · 18% below area Est $177k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your getaway nestled in a peaceful and tranquil natural setting on 2.5 acres of land. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath camp house offers your escape for relaxing weekends, fishing trips, or full-time living. Elevated construction provides classic camp-house character while maximizing your outdoor enjoyment. Surrounded by mature trees and open green space, the property features spacious outdoor areas for entertaining, grilling, or simply unwinding after a day on the water. Whether you’re searching for a weekend retreat, hunting/fishing basecamp, or potential short-term rental investment, this property delivers privacy, serenity, and authentic charm only a few miles from the boat landing. Also includes a complete camper hook up with 50 amp breaker. Camper can be included for an additional $25,000. Property is being sold as-is. Motivated Seller!

Key facts

  • Open green space
  • 2.5 acres
  • Mature trees

Tags

2.5 ACRESELEVATED CONSTRUCTIONMATURE TREESOPEN GREEN SPACESPACIOUS OUTDOOR AREASEASY ACCESS TO THE OUTDOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-165 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (16.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#442 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Hale County (rural): math 6% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #109 of 129 in AL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Greensboro Elementary School (math 4% / reading 31%, grade F, #484 of 627 statewide, top 77%, 554 students, 78% FRL); Greensboro Middle School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 257 statewide, top 90%, 232 students, 88% FRL); Greensboro High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 294 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 68% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Hale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($999 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hale County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $144k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,671 (16.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.17%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,568
List price
$144,500
Delta
-18.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$7,014
Equity at exit
$64,973
10-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$39,822
Equity at exit
$100,132

Cash invested: $40,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36776

Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,214 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$758
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,168/yr
Insurance
$60
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$-165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,423
Max offer price $120,671
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-65 -5% $-115 +0% $-165 +5% $-215 +10% $-265
Rent -10% $-261 -5% $-213 +0% $-165 +5% $-117 +10% $-69
Rate -1.0pp $-92 -0.5pp $-128 base $-165 +0.5pp $-202 +1.0pp $-240

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,125
Closing costs
$4,335
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $144,500 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $144,500 Active 82 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $144,500 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    price $144,500 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 79 DOM
  6. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 64 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 63 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 62 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 61 DOM
  19. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 60 DOM
  20. 2026-05-13
    price $150,000 871-char remark
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    Welcome to your getaway nestled in a peaceful and tranquil natural setting on 2.5 acres of land. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath camp house offers your escape for relaxing weekends, fishing trips, or full-time living. Elevated construction provides classic camp-house character while maximizing your outdoor enjoyment. Surrounded by mature trees and open green space, the property features spacious outdoor areas for entertaining, grilling, or simply unwinding after a day on the water. Whether you’re searching for a weekend retreat, hunting/fishing basecamp, or potential short-term rental investment, this property delivers privacy, serenity, and authentic charm only a few miles from the boat landing. Also includes a complete camper hook up with 50 amp breaker. Camper can be included for an additional $25,000. Property is being sold as-is. Motivated Seller!

  21. 2026-05-04
    price $156,000 871-char remark
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    Welcome to your getaway nestled in a peaceful and tranquil natural setting on 2.5 acres of land. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath camp house offers your escape for relaxing weekends, fishing trips, or full-time living. Elevated construction provides classic camp-house character while maximizing your outdoor enjoyment. Surrounded by mature trees and open green space, the property features spacious outdoor areas for entertaining, grilling, or simply unwinding after a day on the water. Whether you’re searching for a weekend retreat, hunting/fishing basecamp, or potential short-term rental investment, this property delivers privacy, serenity, and authentic charm only a few miles from the boat landing. Also includes a complete camper hook up with 50 amp breaker. Camper can be included for an additional $25,000. Property is being sold as-is. Motivated Seller!

  22. 2026-03-31
    listed $158,000 Active 871-char remark
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    Welcome to your getaway nestled in a peaceful and tranquil natural setting on 2.5 acres of land. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath camp house offers your escape for relaxing weekends, fishing trips, or full-time living. Elevated construction provides classic camp-house character while maximizing your outdoor enjoyment. Surrounded by mature trees and open green space, the property features spacious outdoor areas for entertaining, grilling, or simply unwinding after a day on the water. Whether you’re searching for a weekend retreat, hunting/fishing basecamp, or potential short-term rental investment, this property delivers privacy, serenity, and authentic charm only a few miles from the boat landing. Also includes a complete camper hook up with 50 amp breaker. Camper can be included for an additional $25,000. Property is being sold as-is. Motivated Seller!

  23. 2023-12-15
    soldstatus $85,000 Closed
  24. 2023-11-28
    status Pending
  25. 2023-08-16
    status Active
  26. 2023-08-16
    price $89,000
  27. 2023-08-15
    historical
  28. 2023-03-06
    listed $99,000 Active
  29. 2020-05-29
    listed $113,900
  30. 2018-04-24
    listed $108,500
  31. 2017-02-16
    listed $109,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,569
− Mortgage interest
−$8,094
− Property taxes
−$2,168
− Insurance
−$2,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,166
− Management
−$1,166
− Depreciation
−$4,204
Taxable loss
−$4,452
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,069
After-tax cash flow
$-908/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hale County
NCES district ID
0101710
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$31,076
Composite
14.76/100
National rank
#9391
State rank
#109 of 129 in AL

Livability — Eutaw

Score
55/100
State rank
#442
US rank
#23496

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,904

Population outlook (Hale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,830 people
By 2030
13,032 · -5.8%
By 2040
11,487 · -16.9%
By 2050
10,091 · -27.0%
By 2075
7,930 · -42.7%
By 2100
6,595 · -52.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 39% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hale

2024 margin
Lean D (+6.8) · D 53.1% · R 46.2%
2008→2024 swing
-14.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 6.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+6.8 2020: D+18.9 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+25.4 2008: D+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $150,000 WAMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $156,000 WAMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $158,000 WAMLS
  • 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) $85,000 WAMLS
  • 2023-11-28 Pending WAMLS
  • 2023-08-16 Relisted WAMLS
  • 2023-08-16 Price Changed $89,000 WAMLS
  • 2023-08-15 Delisted WAMLS
  • 2023-03-06 Listed $99,000 WAMLS
  • 2020-05-29 Listed $113,900 WAMLS
  • 2018-04-24 Listed $108,500 WAMLS
  • 2017-02-16 Listed $109,900 WAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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