109 Meadows St · Cleveland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.4/15.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$184,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
VERY CUTE AND CHARMIN HOME, THIS HOUSE WAS BUILT IN 1960, BUT WAS REMODELED FROM A TO Z. THE RENOVATION STARTED IN 2014 AND WAS COMPLETED ON 2018, ACCORDING WITH THE OWNER, EVERYTHING WAS REPLACED, ELECTRIC WIRING, BRAKER'S BOX, PLUMBING, DRAINAGE, THERMAL INSULATION, A/C AND A/C DUCTS, GAS HEATHER, WATER HEATHER, CERAMMIC AND LAMINATED FLOORS, GRANITE ON KITCHEN AND MASTER BATHROOM, DOUBLE-HUNG WINDOWS, AND 2" MINI BLIND.THE HOUSE WAS COMPLETELY PAINTED IN AND OUT. THE ROOF WAS REPLACED A WEEK AGO (07/17/2025). OUTSIDE SOME WOOD SIDING WAS REPLACED FOR HARDY PLANK.
Key facts
- Plumbing
- Drainage
- Thermal insulation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (2.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $174k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.7% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,013 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Cleveland ISD (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #723 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 336 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,321 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Liberty County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.07%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,041
- List price
- $184,990
- Delta
- 11.41%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101-A Elm St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-2%) | 5mo | $69,999 | $64 | 70 |
| 1107 N Blair St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-2%) | 10mo | $53,000 | $49 | 53 |
| 178 County Road 3990 | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (+7%) | 8mo | $169,900 | $142 | 51 |
| 1622 N Travis Ave N | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,026 (-8%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $141 | 51 |
| 503 Mildred St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-7%) | 10mo | $179,999 | $173 | 50 |
| 207 Dora St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,179 (+5%) | 17mo | $190,000 | $161 | 49 |
| 104 Michael St | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 952 (-15%) | 19mo | $85,000 | $89 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-18,770
- Equity at exit
- $27,583
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,875
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77328
- Home prices YoY
- -7.7%
- Active inventory
- 336
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,813 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,513/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $280 | -5% $228 | +0% $176 | +5% $123 | +10% $71 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $32 | -5% $104 | +0% $176 | +5% $247 | +10% $319 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $269 | -0.5pp $223 | base $176 | +0.5pp $128 | +1.0pp $79 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,248
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1018 Green Ave Cleveland, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1301 Nevell St Cleveland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 827 | $1,255 | $1.52 | 1d | 4 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $184,990 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $184,990 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $184,990 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $184,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $184,990 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $184,990 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $184,990 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $184,990 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $184,990 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $184,990 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $184,990 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $184,990 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $184,990 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-08$184,990 Active 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
VERY CUTE AND CHARMIN HOME, THIS HOUSE WAS BUILT IN 1960, BUT WAS REMODELED FROM A TO Z. THE RENOVATION STARTED IN 2014 AND WAS COMPLETED ON 2018, ACCORDING WITH THE OWNER, EVERYTHING WAS REPLACED, ELECTRIC WIRING, BRAKER'S BOX, PLUMBING, DRAINAGE, THERMAL INSULATION, A/C AND A/C DUCTS, GAS HEATHER, WATER HEATHER, CERAMMIC AND LAMINATED FLOORS, GRANITE ON KITCHEN AND MASTER BATHROOM, DOUBLE-HUNG WINDOWS, AND 2" MINI BLIND.THE HOUSE WAS COMPLETELY PAINTED IN AND OUT. THE ROOF WAS REPLACED A WEEK AGO (07/17/2025). OUTSIDE SOME WOOD SIDING WAS REPLACED FOR HARDY PLANK.
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2026-01-02status Active
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-07-24$184,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,513 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,385 · $282/mo
- Expected delta
- +$872/yr (+$73/mo · 34.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,757
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,362
- − Property taxes
- −$2,513
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,741
- − Management
- −$1,741
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$906
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$217
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,326/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleveland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814370
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,173
- Composite
- 20.61/100
- National rank
- #8549
- State rank
- #723 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cleveland
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1013
- US rank
- #17943
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cleveland, TX
- County
- San Jacinto County · 17,208 people
- City population
- 17,208
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,208
- Household income
- $62,428
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 58.0
Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 87,956 people
- By 2030
- 92,161 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 100,784 · +14.6%
- By 2050
- 109,471 · +24.5%
- By 2075
- 133,470 · +51.7%
- By 2100
- 147,372 · +67.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 14% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 31% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Liberty
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 19.0% · R 80.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.7 2016: R+58.0 2012: R+53.3 2008: R+43.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.82%
- Current HPI
- 273.6604
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $184,990 HARMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-01-02 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-07-24 Listed $184,990 HARMLS
Property tax history
+12.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,513 · -6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…