1131 S Chester Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer upper estate sale opportunity on the south east side is near Christian Park and Twin Aire. This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home needs quite a bit of work. There are a couple active roof leaks and will probably need some mold remediation. The furnace and water heater work. No sight unseen offers. Seller prefers that buyers do their due diligence before making an offer, to waive inspections and close quickly.
Key facts
- New drywall
- New bath
- Open floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1971
- Construction: Living area approximately 908
- Exterior features: Located in the Near Southeast subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 499 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $100k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.44%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,108
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1159 S Bradley Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+3%) | 1mo | $86,000 | $92 | 83 |
| 1214 S Grant Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 971 (+7%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $221 | 77 |
| 3847 Hoyt Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (+0%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $82 | 76 |
| 1214 S Chester Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 796 (-12%) | 0mo | $124,000 | $156 | 75 |
| 4307 Terrace Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+3%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $160 | 74 |
| 3909 Hoyt Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-5%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $139 | 69 |
| 4108 E Naomi St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-1%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $151 | 65 |
| 3710 Hoyt Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+6%) | 1mo | $121,000 | $126 | 62 |
| 1212 Vandeman St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (-3%) | 8mo | $39,900 | $45 | 60 |
| 4721 E Morris St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-8%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $196 | 57 |
| 545 Dayton Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 896 (-1%) | 6mo | $101,000 | $113 | 56 |
| 4514 Rowney St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,043 (+15%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $177 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,631
- Equity at exit
- $14,903
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $28,321
- Equity at exit
- $8,642
Cash invested: $27,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46203
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 499
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,275 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,539/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $313
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $370 | -5% $342 | +0% $313 | +5% $285 | +10% $257 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $213 | -5% $263 | +0% $313 | +5% $364 | +10% $414 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $364 | -0.5pp $339 | base $313 | +0.5pp $287 | +1.0pp $261 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,988
- Closing costs
- $2,998
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3906 Hoyt Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 8d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3518 Terrace Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3706 Hoyt Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3702 Hoyt Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3441 Prospect St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,700 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3441 Prospect St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 750 S Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,500 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 528 S Bosart Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,305 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3012 E Minnesota St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,000 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3012 E Minnesota St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,000 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1730 Perkins Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 340 S Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,180 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3022 English Ave Unit 3022 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5056 Emerton Pl Unit 5056 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,245 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5056 Emerton Pl Unit 5046 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1039 | $1,245 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 270 S Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 562 | $1,329 | $2.36 | 8d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1505 S Rural St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5010 Emerton Pl Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1002 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 301 S Gray St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,025 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4919 Orion Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 766 | $875 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 37 S Sherman Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 350 S Oxford St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,300 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5131 E Burgess Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2631 Southeastern Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 330 S Rural St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 8d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 323 S Rural St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1090 | $1,050 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 37 S Tuxedo St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4114 E Washington St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4214 E Washington St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 961 | $1,195 | $1.24 | 8d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4741 E Washington St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 28 S Dearborn St Unit A Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 11d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4815 E Washington St Unit 4815-12 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4815 E Washington St Unit 4815-04 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4815 E Washington St Unit 4815-10 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4831 E Washington St Unit 4 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2230 Woodlawn Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 83 N Ewing St Unit 83 Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $1,199 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4926 E Washington St Apt 5 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $895 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 49 S Rural St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3622 E New York St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $995 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,950 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,950 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,950 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,950 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,950 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,950 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,950 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,950 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,950 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,950 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,950 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-19$99,950 Active
-
2023-01-30soldstatus $39,000 Closed 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Fixer upper estate sale opportunity on the south east side is near Christian Park and Twin Aire. This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home needs quite a bit of work. There are a couple active roof leaks and will probably need some mold remediation. The furnace and water heater work. No sight unseen offers. Seller prefers that buyers do their due diligence before making an offer, to waive inspections and close quickly.
-
2023-01-19status Pending 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Fixer upper estate sale opportunity on the south east side is near Christian Park and Twin Aire. This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home needs quite a bit of work. There are a couple active roof leaks and will probably need some mold remediation. The furnace and water heater work. No sight unseen offers. Seller prefers that buyers do their due diligence before making an offer, to waive inspections and close quickly.
-
2023-01-13$49,900 Active 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Fixer upper estate sale opportunity on the south east side is near Christian Park and Twin Aire. This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home needs quite a bit of work. There are a couple active roof leaks and will probably need some mold remediation. The furnace and water heater work. No sight unseen offers. Seller prefers that buyers do their due diligence before making an offer, to waive inspections and close quickly.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,539 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,539 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,303
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,599
- − Property taxes
- −$1,539
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,224
- − Management
- −$1,224
- − Depreciation
- −$2,908
- Taxable income
- $2,309
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$554
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,206/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,758
- Household income
- $57,393
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1499.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.37%
- Current HPI
- 349.579
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.88%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+100.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $99,950 FSBO.com
- 2023-01-30 Sold (MLS) $39,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-19 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-13 Listed $49,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+43.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,539 · -28.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…