4980 N Kentucky 7 · Grayson, KY 41143

$129,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.5/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.2/10.0
• 1% rule +4.6/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Spacious 2 bedroom, 2 full bath doublewide just minutes from Grayson . This beautiful, newly renovated home, has newer paint, newer floors, newer appliances, newer lighting fixtures, and much more. The home offers plenty of space for the family, with a newly painted front porch and back deck. It also offers a 2-car carport and a 8X16 utility building. This will not last long, so call today.

Key facts

• Newer appliances
• Newer floors
• Newer paint

Tags

• NEWLY RENOVATED HOME
• NEWER PAINT
• NEWER FLOORS
• NEWER APPLIANCES
• NEWER LIGHTING FIXTURES
• NEWLY PAINTED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage
• Utilities: Septic tank
• Home design: Manufactured home (residential); Single-story (above grade finished area listed)
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
• Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Level lot; Nearby water bodies: Carter Caves, Grayson Lake, Greenbo Lake

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Heat pump
• Interior features: Gas log fireplace; 5 total rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (4.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $125k (4.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.6% in Grayson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#161 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
• Carter County (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #70 of 165 in KY (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $14k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Carter County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $50k; list at $130k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $124,673 (4.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.96% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.31%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.19%
• DSCR: 1.32
• GRM: 8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 26.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.11×
• Total profit: $76,671
• Equity at exit: $117,024

10-year hold

• IRR: 23.2%
• Equity multiple: 7.08×
• Total profit: $221,167
• Equity at exit: $252,367

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 41143

• Home prices YoY: 5.1%
• Active inventory: 62
• Price-to-rent: 8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,247 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$681
• Tax from tax record: −$32 /mo · $379/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$262
• Net cashflow: $93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,129

Max offer price $129,900

Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,475
• Closing costs: $3,897
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-29
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-27
   listed $129,900 Active
3. 2026-01-15
   soldstatus $50,000
4. 2007-06-26
   soldstatus $46,000
5. 2003-08-01
   soldstatus $46,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $379 · $32/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,117 · $93/mo
• Expected delta: +$738/yr (+$61/mo · 194.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,961
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,276
• − Property taxes: −$379
• − Insurance: −$2,152
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,197
• − Management: −$1,197
• − Depreciation: −$3,779
• Taxable loss: −$1,020
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$245
• After-tax cash flow: $1,358/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Carter County
• NCES district ID: 2101020
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -29.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -16.00%
• Median HH income: $34,662
• Composite: 28.82/100
• National rank: #6656
• State rank: #70 of 165 in KY

Livability — Grayson

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #161
• US rank: #8046

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 13,754

Population outlook (Carter County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 25,627 people
• By 2030: 24,598 · -4.0%
• By 2040: 22,429 · -12.5%
• By 2050: 20,217 · -21.1%
• By 2075: 15,274 · -40.4%
• By 2100: 10,545 · -58.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 95% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carter

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+58.5) · D 20.2% · R 78.6% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -48.9pp toward R · 2008: -9.5pp · 2024: -58.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+58.5 2020: R+52.9 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+9.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 11.22%
• Current HPI: 230.7934
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Price history

+182.4% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-29 Pending — AABOR
• 2026-04-27 Listed $129,900 AABOR
• 2026-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
• 2007-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
• 2003-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $379 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.