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2712 Sherman Ave NW
B- Composite 69.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,999

2712 Sherman Ave NW · Washington, DC 20001
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,904 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1905 3,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Potential for possible condo conversion- sold in "as is" condition- could also become a fine renovated single family residence.

Key facts

  • 3,000 sq ft lot
  • Built 1905
  • Listed 42 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached structure; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick construction materials; Other foundation details; Other above- and below-grade structures; Finished above-grade area reported by assessor; Unfinished below-grade area reported by assessor
  • Exterior features: No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms overall; Two full bathrooms on the first upper level; One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Other heating fuel; Other cooling fuel; Other hot water source
  • Interior features: Finished above-grade living area per assessor; Basement present (other type)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Tubman Es (540 students, 0% FRL); Luke C. Moore Hs (211 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 377 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($138k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask is 3475% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,999 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.40%
Cap rate
18.02%
Cash-on-cash
41.87%
DSCR
2.86
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$803,488
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1452 Fairmont St NW Unit C 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,719 (-10%) 18mo $364,000 $212 42
1420 Newton St NW 0.62mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,720 (-10%) 17mo $725,000 $422 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.2%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$74,815
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
38.3%
Equity multiple
4.00×
Total profit
$167,998
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State District of Columbia
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
County
— inherits STATE
City Washington
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
Rent Stabilization Program; TOPA gives tenants right of first refusal.

ZIP-level market 20001

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
377
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,807 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$711 /mo · $8,532/yr
Insurance
$83
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,009
Net cashflow
$1,899

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,403
Max offer price $199,999
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,012 -5% $1,955 +0% $1,899 +5% $1,842 +10% $1,785
Rent -10% $1,519 -5% $1,709 +0% $1,899 +5% $2,088 +10% $2,278
Rate -1.0pp $1,999 -0.5pp $1,949 base $1,899 +0.5pp $1,847 +1.0pp $1,794

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2712 Sherman Ave NW Washington, DC 5.0 3.5 1904 $5,400 $2.84 26d 1 0.02mi
787 Fairmont St NW Washington, DC 4.0 2.5 2350 $4,950 $2.11 20d 1 0.03mi
2707 11th St NW Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 2223 $2,999 $1.35 26d 1 0.04mi
1004 Girard St NW Washington, DC 3.0 3.5 1764 $4,800 $2.72 26d 1 0.05mi
1017 Euclid St NW #1 Washington, DC 5.0 2.0 2048 $6,999 $3.42 26d 1 0.05mi
763 Girard St NW Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 1300 $3,950 $3.04 9d 1 0.09mi
2533 11th St NW Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 2220 $4,000 $1.80 13d 1 0.12mi
738 Gresham Pl NW Washington, DC 5.0 3.0 2166 $5,500 $2.54 26d 1 0.14mi
733 Gresham Pl NW Washington, DC 5.0 2.0 1384 $4,995 $3.61 26d 1 0.16mi
2717 13th St NW Unit B Washington, DC 4.0 3.5 2127 $5,600 $2.63 26d 1 0.18mi
1113 Clifton St NW Washington, DC 4.0 2.5 2076 $5,700 $2.75 26d 1 0.19mi
636 Columbia Rd NW Washington, DC 5.0 2.5 2070 $4,900 $2.37 26d 1 0.30mi
636 Columbia Rd NW Washington, DC 4.0 2.5 2070 $4,900 $2.37 17d 1 0.30mi
1028 Kenyon St NW Washington, DC 5.0 3.5 1800 $5,395 $3.00 20d 1 0.32mi
3116 13th St NW Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 1678 $2,850 $1.70 9d 1 0.36mi
517 Columbia Rd NW Washington, DC 4.0 2.5 1350 $4,950 $3.67 20d 1 0.41mi
2228 13th St NW #3 Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 1305 $6,200 $4.75 26d 1 0.41mi
520 Irving St NW Washington, DC 5.0 3.5 2600 $6,700 $2.58 3d 1 0.42mi
636 Lamont St NW Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 1250 $3,600 $2.88 21d 1 0.46mi
1227 V St NW Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 1674 $5,550 $3.32 4d 1 0.50mi
1315 Park Rd NW #22 Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1800 $4,444 $2.47 7d 1 0.50mi
2016 10th St NW Washington, DC 3.0 3.0 1656 $4,500 $2.72 20d 1 0.51mi
752 Park Rd NW Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 1920 $3,595 $1.87 26d 1 0.53mi
447 Lamont St NW Washington, DC 5.0 2.5 2000 $5,600 $2.80 7d 1 0.56mi
1915 11th St NW Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1750 $4,650 $2.66 26d 1 0.60mi
909 T St NW Washington, DC 4.0 2.5 2500 $6,100 $2.44 9d 1 0.64mi
3613 New Hampshire Ave NW Washington, DC 4.0 2.0 1400 $3,800 $2.71 26d 1 0.65mi
3552 Warder St NW #1 Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 1500 $3,750 $2.50 22d 1 0.66mi
3552 Warder St NW Washington, DC 3.0 3.0 1240 $3,995 $3.22 26d 1 0.66mi
1837 11th St NW Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1563 $4,500 $2.88 0d 1 0.67mi
1005 Otis Pl NW Washington, DC 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,125 $0.70 26d 1 0.68mi
1920 6th St NW Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 1928 $5,500 $2.85 20d 1 0.68mi
613 Florida Ave NW #2 Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 2400 $4,600 $1.92 6d 1 0.69mi
138 Bryant St NW Washington, DC 4.0 2.0 1809 $3,750 $2.07 22d 1 0.74mi
1936 15th St NW Unit 1055 Washington, DC 3.0 3.0 1800 $3,610 $2.01 4d 1 0.74mi
1805 9th St NW Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 1800 $4,995 $2.77 23d 1 0.75mi
1944 3rd St NW Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 2124 $4,195 $1.98 26d 1 0.75mi
237 Elm St NW Washington, DC 3.0 1.5 1484 $3,100 $2.09 26d 1 0.76mi
1358 Parkwood Pl NW Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 1280 $4,500 $3.52 9d 1 0.77mi
1307 S St NW Washington, DC 3.0 3.5 2450 $7,500 $3.06 26d 1 0.77mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,999 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,999 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,999 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,999 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,999 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,999 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,999 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,999 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,999 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,999 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,999 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,999 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,999 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,999 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-05-27
    price $199,999
  16. 2026-05-27
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-23
    historical
  18. 2026-04-16
    price $5,400
  19. 2026-04-10
    listed $5,595
  20. 2026-04-07
    listed $699,900 Active
  21. 2026-04-02
    historical $699,900
  22. 2014-01-24
    soldstatus $650,000
  23. 2011-08-22
    soldstatus $340,000
  24. 2011-08-16
    soldstatus $340,000 Sold 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Potential for possible condo conversion- sold in "as is" condition- could also become a fine renovated single family residence.

  25. 2011-08-16
    soldstatus $340,000 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Potential for possible condo conversion- sold in "as is" condition- could also become a fine renovated single family residence.

  26. 2011-06-13
    status Contingent (No Kick Out) 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Potential for possible condo conversion- sold in "as is" condition- could also become a fine renovated single family residence.

  27. 2011-06-05
    historical 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Potential for possible condo conversion- sold in "as is" condition- could also become a fine renovated single family residence.

  28. 2011-01-06
    price $399,000 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Potential for possible condo conversion- sold in "as is" condition- could also become a fine renovated single family residence.

  29. 2010-07-16
    listed $545,000 Active 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Potential for possible condo conversion- sold in "as is" condition- could also become a fine renovated single family residence.

  30. 2010-07-16
    listed $399,000 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Potential for possible condo conversion- sold in "as is" condition- could also become a fine renovated single family residence.

  31. 1986-08-11
    soldstatus $67,950

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DC · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,532 · $711/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,532 · $711/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$57,680
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$8,532
− Insurance
−$1,666
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,614
− Management
−$4,614
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable income
$21,231
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,096
After-tax cash flow
$17,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
District Of Columbia Public Schools
NCES district ID
1100030
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$67,671
Composite
35.84/100
National rank
#9606
State rank
#8 of 32 in DC

Livability — Washington

Score
73/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#5327

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Washington, DC
County
District of Columbia · 671,873 people
City population
671,873
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
44,616
Household income
$138,059
Rent vs Own
66.6% rent · 33.4% own
Severe rent burden
3130.0

Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
821,926 people
By 2030
899,517 · +9.4%
By 2040
1,061,162 · +29.1%
By 2050
1,231,493 · +49.8%
By 2075
1,603,312 · +95.1%
By 2100
1,847,141 · +124.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia

2024 margin
Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -859.30%
Current HPI
400.1329
Rent YoY
▼ -0.75%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.33%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+194.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $199,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-27 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $5,400 BRIGHTMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed for Rent $5,595 BRIGHTMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $699,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Coming Soon $699,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $650,000 Public Records
  • 2011-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $340,000 Public Records
  • 2011-08-16 Sold (MLS) $340,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-08-16 Sold (MLS) $340,000 MRIS
  • 2011-06-13 Pending MRIS
  • 2011-06-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-01-06 Price Changed $399,000 MRIS
  • 2010-07-16 Listed $545,000 MRIS
  • 2010-07-16 Listed $399,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1986-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $67,950 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,532 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…