1827 Us Highway 20 · Metz, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
OFFERING LOTS 25, 26, & 27 IN THE VILLAGE OF COLUMBIA, ALONG WITH ANOTHER 1.24 ACRES OUTSIDE OF THE VILLAGE OF COLUMBIA BUT IS ATTACHED TO THE 3 LOTS. THE HOME STRUCTURE HAS BEEN CONDEMNED AND NEEDS TORN DOWN. TOTAL OF 1.96 ACRES JUST INSIDE THE OHIO BORDER. JUST A SHORT 10 MINUTE DRIVE TO ANGOLA INDIANA.
Key facts
- Vacant homesite
- 1.96 acres
- Investment property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot includes additional parcels (identified separately)
Exterior
- Parking: Unpaved parking
- Utilities: Utilities: Other; Electric: Other; Sewer: Other
- Home design: Single family residence; Detached (no common walls); Two levels / 2 stories; Entry levels: Main and Upper
- Construction: Construction materials: Other; Foundation: Other; Year built: public records
- Exterior features: Other roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Main level kitchen (approx. 10 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on Upper level; Bedroom 3 on Upper level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (type: Other); Has cooling (type: Other)
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Partial basement; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Edon Northwest Local (rural): math 62% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #207 of 656 in OH (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Solid renter incomes; 40 units permitted in Williams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Williams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 81.04%
- DSCR
- 4.61
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 81.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.72×
- Total profit
- $36,474
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 84.6%
- Equity multiple
- 9.78×
- Total profit
- $86,017
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43518
- Home prices YoY
- -12.9%
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$9 /mo · $107/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $662
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $682 | -5% $672 | +0% $662 | +5% $652 | +10% $642 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $575 | -5% $618 | +0% $662 | +5% $705 | +10% $749 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $679 | -0.5pp $671 | base $662 | +0.5pp $653 | +1.0pp $644 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $35,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $35,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $33,300 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $33,300 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $33,300 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $33,300 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $33,300 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $33,300 Active 264 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $107 · $9/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $202 · $17/mo
- Expected delta
- +$95/yr (+$8/mo · 89.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,197
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$107
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $7,825
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,878
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,064/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edon Northwest Local
- NCES district ID
- 3905062
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,130
- Composite
- 55.56/100
- National rank
- #1240
- State rank
- #207 of 656 in OH
Livability — Metz
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Williams
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,003
- Household income
- $88,910
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Williams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,125 people
- By 2030
- 35,264 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 33,264 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 31,072 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 26,553 · -26.5%
- By 2100
- 21,318 · -41.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Williams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.2) · D 25.4% · R 73.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -48.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.70%
- Current HPI
- 253.3001
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+169.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $35,000 NORIS
- 2026-06-05 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $33,300 NORIS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $37,000 NORIS
- 2025-09-07 Listed $39,000 NORIS
- 2025-07-08 Sold (MLS) $28,000 NORIS
- 2025-06-24 Pending — NORIS
- 2025-06-10 Listed $28,000 NORIS
- 2014-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $4,000 Public Records
- 2002-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $107 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…