1800 Reservoir Rd Lot 51 · Lima, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 3 bedroom mobile home in Eastside Mobile Home park. Offers large living room, 3 bedrooms with 2 full baths. Gas fireplace in the living room with TV about stays with the mobile home. All appliances including washer and dryer stay. Large carport for 2 plus cars, tall enough to park truck under with concrete drive.
Key facts
- Built 1992
- Listed 150 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($975 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 7.7% in Lima — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Bath Local (suburban): math 71% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #129 of 656 in OH (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.51%
- DSCR
- 2.36
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $154,224
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800 Reservoir Rd Unit 529 Chestnut | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (-13%) | 21mo | $27,000 | $25 | 52 |
| 109 N Roberts Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-15%) | 22mo | $131,000 | $126 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $16,012
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- 33.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $46,057
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45804
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $975 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $824/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $391
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 Harrison Ave Lima, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $975 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $54,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $54,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $54,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $54,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-03-13price $54,900 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom mobile home in Eastside Mobile Home park. Offers large living room, 3 bedrooms with 2 full baths. Gas fireplace in the living room with TV about stays with the mobile home. All appliances including washer and dryer stay. Large carport for 2 plus cars, tall enough to park truck under with concrete drive.
-
2026-01-19$59,900 Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Welcome to this 3 bedroom mobile home in Eastside Mobile Home park. Offers large living room, 3 bedrooms with 2 full baths. Gas fireplace in the living room with TV about stays with the mobile home. All appliances including washer and dryer stay. Large carport for 2 plus cars, tall enough to park truck under with concrete drive.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$824
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$936
- − Management
- −$936
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $4,058
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$974
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,716/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including roof replacement and exterior siding. Upgrading the interior walls and kitchen cabinets can significantly increase its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Snow accumulation suggests potential roof issues
- Major exterior siding — Weathered and worn
- Major interior walls — Peeling paint and worn ceiling
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — Older cabinets, dated appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's appearance
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can attract more buyers
- Resale Replace roof — A new roof can add value and improve the home's appeal
- Resale Replace exterior siding — Fresh siding can improve the home's curb appeal and value
- Rental Replace HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve tenant satisfaction and reduce maintenance costs
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Snow accumulation suggests potential roof issues | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Weathered and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Peeling paint and worn ceiling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen cabinets · Older cabinets, dated appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $48,000–165,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's appearance ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can attract more buyers ↑
- Resale Replace roof — A new roof can add value and improve the home's appeal ↑
- Resale Replace exterior siding — Fresh siding can improve the home's curb appeal and value ↑
- Rental Replace HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve tenant satisfaction and reduce maintenance costs ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bath Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904576
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,204
- Composite
- 61.36/100
- National rank
- #770
- State rank
- #129 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lima
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #787
- US rank
- #14288
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Allen · 98,169 people
- City population
- 21,739
- Metro
- Lima, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,197
- Household income
- $42,594
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.1
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,321 people
- By 2030
- 97,693 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 91,802 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 86,152 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 73,659 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 58,716 · -41.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.39%
- Current HPI
- 126.4189
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-8.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $54,900 WCARE
- 2026-01-19 Listed $59,900 WCARE
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…