4676 Amber St NE · Four Corners, OR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MOTIVATED SELLER. . Seller is willing to get creative potential RENT credit, Credit for a Buy Down of rates, or Seller paid closing cost. New carpets for bedrooms is on the schedule, rest of home a wood vinyl plank floor, New exterior paint, roof updated, updated plumbing. This is a great move in ready single wide . Nice yard in rear, patio seating area, two car driveway.
Key facts
- Split bedrooms
- Updated roof
- Center open kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No assessments/liens reported
- HOA & community: Located in Royal Estates adult park
Exterior
- Parking: 1 garage space; Carport
- Utilities: Square footage source: County
- Home design: Single-wide manufactured home; Front entry door; Tan exterior
- Construction: Built in 1983; Commodore model (serial #10596A)
- Exterior features: Located in an adult park (Royal Estates)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) — 12 x 13; Second bedroom (main level) — 9 x 11
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms on the main level
- Interior features: Living room on the main level; Dining room on the main level; Kitchen on the main level; Utility room on the main level
- Laundry & utility: Utility room (5 x 9)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $721 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $71k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 3.9% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in OR, #2,680 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities B+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-.
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $501 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $72k implies a 383% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.65%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $60,984
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 287 Broadmore Ave NE #287 | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 12mo | $7,700 | $8 | 86 |
| 193 Broadmore Ave NE | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (-2%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $66 | 85 |
| 4725 Avens Ave | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 10mo | $1,001 | $1 | 80 |
| 176 47th Ave NE | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (+9%) | 9mo | $7,500 | $7 | 77 |
| 4849 State St #41 | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-9%) | 3mo | $89,900 | $107 | 72 |
| 341 Cornerstone Ct | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+14%) | 3mo | $316,000 | $299 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $32,501
- Equity at exit
- $10,810
- IRR
- 44.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.97×
- Total profit
- $80,654
- Equity at exit
- $6,268
Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97302
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,452 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$380
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $178/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $721
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,125
- Closing costs
- $2,175
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 Bayview Way NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 14d | 3 | 0.10mi |
| 4611 State St Unit 4611 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,450 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 143 Connecticut Ave SE Unit 143 Salem, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $950 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 102 Greencrest St NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 914 | $1,918 | $2.10 | 14d | 25 | 0.32mi |
| 4433 Mahrt Ave SE Unit 4435-201 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,525 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4433 Mahrt Ave SE Unit 4437-206 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 932 | $1,525 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4433 Mahrt Ave SE Unit 4433-205 Salem, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,225 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 124 Stafford Ln NE Unit 124-203 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 133 Stafford Ln NE Unit 133-103 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,195 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4242 State St Salem, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $1,325 | $1.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4166 State St Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,350 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4135 State St Unit 11 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4704 Center St NE Salem, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $1,472 | $2.24 | 14d | 15 | 0.66mi |
| 435 Fountain Valley Way NE Salem, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 939 | $1,559 | $1.66 | 21d | 5 | 0.74mi |
| 4807 Chinook Ct SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $2,200 | $1.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4341 Center St NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,130 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 178 Lancaster Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 295 Colt Ln NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,575 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1029 Raffon Ct SE Unit AR7171-3 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 927 | $1,700 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3897 Meadowlawn Loop SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,619 | $1.68 | 14d | 26 | 1.00mi |
| 430 Brittany Way NE Unit 369-421 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,400 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3880 Auburn Rd NE Unit 3896 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3828 Bayonne Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,299 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3822 Bayonne Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,299 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5192 Caplinger Rd SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 927 | $1,554 | $1.67 | 14d | 25 | 1.07mi |
| 4976 Turquoise Ave SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $1,495 | $1.63 | 14d | 5 | 1.18mi |
| 1569 Whitaker Dr SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 933 | $1,799 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4243 Campbell Dr SE Unit 4243 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,550 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 721-759 Hawthorne Ave NE Unit 733 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $995 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 721-759 Hawthorne Ave NE Unit 759 Salem, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $895 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 793 Hawthorne Ave NE Unit 803 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,225 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 793 Hawthorne Ave NE Unit 837 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,125 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 4435 Campbell Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $1,445 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3695 D St NE Salem, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $1,650 | $1.59 | 44d | 3 | 1.45mi |
| 1415 Lancaster Dr NE Unit 18 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1415 Lancaster Dr NE Unit 33 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,225 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1415 Lancaster Dr NE Unit 16 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3293 Center St NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,145 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 374-char remark
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $72,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $72,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $72,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $72,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01$72,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $178 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $703 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$525/yr (+$44/mo · 294.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,418
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,061
- − Property taxes
- −$178
- − Insurance
- −$362
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,393
- − Management
- −$1,393
- − Depreciation
- −$2,109
- Taxable income
- $7,920
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,901
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,756/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J
- NCES district ID
- 4110820
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,632
- Composite
- 37.16/100
- National rank
- #9017
- State rank
- #103 of 183 in OR
Livability — Four Corners
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2680
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Four Corners, OR
- County
- Marion County · 258,219 people
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,799
- Household income
- $85,833
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1754.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 360,940 people
- By 2030
- 375,178 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 400,914 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 422,187 · +17.0%
- By 2075
- 460,305 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 464,025 · +28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -382.78%
- Current HPI
- 296.7837
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+383.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $72,500 WVMLS
- 2026-04-26 Listing Removed — WVMLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $69,900 WVMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $77,000 WVMLS
- 2026-02-18 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — WVMLS
- 2025-12-20 Price Changed $82,000 WVMLS
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $84,900 WVMLS
- 2025-07-25 Listed $89,900 WVMLS
- 2023-12-13 Listing Removed — WVMLS
- 2023-06-27 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2023-06-02 Listing Removed — WVMLS
- 2023-04-27 Price Changed $79,900 WVMLS
- 2022-12-30 Price Changed $84,500 WVMLS
- 2022-11-18 Price Changed $86,500 WVMLS
- 2022-08-11 Listed $89,500 WVMLS
- 1992-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2017): $178 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…