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626 Georgia St Fourplex
B Composite 70.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$285,000

626 Georgia St · Jefferson City, MO 65109
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,592 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 244 Days on market
Built 1920 6,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Income producing property in Jefferson City. This 4 plex offers 1 bedroom, 1 bath units. Landlord pays water, trash, sewer, tanks, and insurance. Unit 4 gets a $25 monthly rent break for maintaining the lawn. Numerous updates have been made to the units. The roof was also replaced last year. Some units have laundry hook ups in the units.

Key facts

  • 6,500 sq ft lot
  • Listed 244 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking lot (gravel)
  • Home design: Residential income property (quadplex)
  • Exterior features: Parking lot with gravel surface; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 130

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Window unit(s) for cooling; Electric cooling components; Natural gas heating; Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Refrigerator included; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $302/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $285k).
  • Recommended offer: $251k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.7% in Jefferson City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#7 in MO, #838 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
  • Jefferson City (urban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #121 of 324 in MO (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.2%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 173 units permitted in Cole County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,675/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 984% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cole County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 244 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $250,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 244 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
11.39%
Cash-on-cash
18.19%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$50,163
Equity at exit
$42,494
10-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$230,812
Equity at exit
$24,642

Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65109

Home prices YoY
-29.2%
Rents YoY
10.2%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
25.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,675 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,495
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $964/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$772
Net cashflow
$1,210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,144
Max offer price $285,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,371 -5% $1,290 +0% $1,210 +5% $1,129 +10% $1,048
Rent -10% $919 -5% $1,064 +0% $1,210 +5% $1,355 +10% $1,500
Rate -1.0pp $1,353 -0.5pp $1,282 base $1,210 +0.5pp $1,136 +1.0pp $1,061

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $3,675

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,250
Closing costs
$8,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $285,000 Active 244 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $285,000 Active 243 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $285,000 Active 242 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $285,000 Active 241 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $285,000 Active 240 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $285,000 Active 238 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 237 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $285,000 Active 235 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $285,000 Active 234 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $285,000 Active 233 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $285,000 Active 232 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $285,000 Active 229 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $285,000 Active 228 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $285,000 Active 227 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $285,000 Active 226 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $285,000 Active 225 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $285,000 Active 224 DOM
  18. 2026-02-18
    status Active
  19. 2026-02-13
    historical
  20. 2025-11-20
    price $285,000
  21. 2025-10-13
    listed $295,000 Active
  22. 2024-09-23
    price $224,000
  23. 2024-09-13
    price $225,000
  24. 2024-09-07
    price $229,600
  25. 2024-09-04
    price $232,600
  26. 2024-08-28
    price $237,600
  27. 2024-08-26
    price $237,700
  28. 2024-08-25
    price $237,800
  29. 2024-08-24
    price $237,900
  30. 2024-08-20
    price $238,300
  31. 2024-08-19
    price $238,400
  32. 2024-08-18
    price $238,500
  33. 2024-08-16
    price $238,600
  34. 2024-08-15
    price $238,700
  35. 2024-08-14
    price $238,800
  36. 2024-08-13
    price $238,900
  37. 2024-08-07
    price $239,000
  38. 2024-08-02
    price $245,000
  39. 2024-06-25
    price $248,900
  40. 2024-06-04
    price $249,900
  41. 2024-05-14
    listed $260,000 Active
  42. 2022-10-11
    soldstatus Closed 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    Income producing property in Jefferson City. This 4 plex offers 1 bedroom, 1 bath units. Landlord pays water, trash, sewer, tanks, and insurance. Unit 4 gets a $25 monthly rent break for maintaining the lawn. Numerous updates have been made to the units. The roof was also replaced last year. Some units have laundry hook ups in the units.

  43. 2022-09-11
    status Pending 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    Income producing property in Jefferson City. This 4 plex offers 1 bedroom, 1 bath units. Landlord pays water, trash, sewer, tanks, and insurance. Unit 4 gets a $25 monthly rent break for maintaining the lawn. Numerous updates have been made to the units. The roof was also replaced last year. Some units have laundry hook ups in the units.

  44. 2022-09-06
    listed $160,000 Active 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    Income producing property in Jefferson City. This 4 plex offers 1 bedroom, 1 bath units. Landlord pays water, trash, sewer, tanks, and insurance. Unit 4 gets a $25 monthly rent break for maintaining the lawn. Numerous updates have been made to the units. The roof was also replaced last year. Some units have laundry hook ups in the units.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$964 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,764 · $230/mo
Expected delta
+$1,800/yr (+$150/mo · 186.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,100
− Mortgage interest
−$15,964
− Property taxes
−$964
− Insurance
−$1,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,528
− Management
−$3,528
− Depreciation
−$8,291
Taxable income
$10,399
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,496
After-tax cash flow
$12,019/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson City
NCES district ID
2916190
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$51,903
Composite
35.45/100
National rank
#4930
State rank
#121 of 324 in MO

Livability — Jefferson City

Score
83/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#838

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jefferson City, MO
County
Cole County · 41,145 people
City population
41,145
Metro
Jefferson City, MO
Population (ZIP)
41,145
Household income
$74,694
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
984.0

Population outlook (Cole County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,107 people
By 2030
78,089 · +-0.0%
By 2040
76,814 · -1.7%
By 2050
74,515 · -4.6%
By 2075
67,687 · -13.3%
By 2100
55,023 · -29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cole

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.4) · D 32.1% · R 66.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-7.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -34.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.4 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.14%
Current HPI
202.01
Rent YoY
▲ 10.19%
Metro
Jefferson City, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+78.1% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-18 Relisted CBORMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Delisted CBORMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $285,000 CBORMLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $295,000 CBORMLS
  • 2024-09-23 Price Changed $224,000 CBORMLS
  • 2024-09-13 Price Changed $225,000 CBORMLS
  • 2024-09-07 Price Changed $229,600 CBORMLS
  • 2024-09-04 Price Changed $232,600 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-28 Price Changed $237,600 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-26 Price Changed $237,700 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-25 Price Changed $237,800 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-24 Price Changed $237,900 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-20 Price Changed $238,300 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-19 Price Changed $238,400 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-18 Price Changed $238,500 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-16 Price Changed $238,600 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-15 Price Changed $238,700 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-14 Price Changed $238,800 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-13 Price Changed $238,900 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-07 Price Changed $239,000 CBORMLS
  • 2024-08-02 Price Changed $245,000 CBORMLS
  • 2024-06-25 Price Changed $248,900 CBORMLS
  • 2024-06-04 Price Changed $249,900 CBORMLS
  • 2024-05-14 Listed $260,000 CBORMLS
  • 2022-10-11 Sold (MLS) JCMLS
  • 2022-09-11 Pending JCMLS
  • 2022-09-06 Listed $160,000 JCMLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $964 · +12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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