5000 SE Federal Hwy #82 · Stuart, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sunshine Manor is an "All Age Community". Land lease covers lawn care and basic cable.
Key facts
- 3 parking spots
- Built 2019
- Listed 66 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.4% vs local median 4.1% in Stuart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in FL, #790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 588 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.35%
- DSCR
- 4.04
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,000
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -33.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5398 SE Celestial Cir | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+2%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $128 | 78 |
| 4800 SE Federal Hwy #105 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,024 (-2%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $132 | 76 |
| 4800 SE Federal Hwy #17 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-8%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $83 | 70 |
| 2592 SE Milky Way | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+2%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $175 | 70 |
| 5374 SE Celestial Cir | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 960 (-8%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $141 | 64 |
| 4800 SE Federal Hwy #34 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+13%) | 7mo | $240,000 | $204 | 63 |
| 4800 SE Federal Hwy #37 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (+6%) | 22mo | $210,000 | $190 | 62 |
| 4800 SE Federal Hwy #13 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (+11%) | 11mo | $108,500 | $94 | 59 |
| 2621 SE Galaxy Way | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (+11%) | 23mo | $175,000 | $152 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $76,033
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 71.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.19×
- Total profit
- $180,867
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34997
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 588
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,601 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$546
- Net cashflow
- $1,434
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4585 SE Federal Hwy Stuart, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $2,737 | $2.70 | 14d | 27 | 0.28mi |
| 2277 SE Monroe St Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $2,800 | $2.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3257 SE Brook St Unit 3234 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,119 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5601 SE Laguna Ave Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $2,200 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5688 SE Pine Ave Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $2,510 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5968 SE Avalon Dr Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,800 | $2.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2410 SE Tarvest Way Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1475 | $2,500 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4107 SE Barcelona St Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $2,500 | $2.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4404 SE Mulford Ln Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $2,500 | $3.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5881 SE Windsong Ln Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1288 | $2,100 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4095 SE Centerboard Ln Unit 6B Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $3,750 | $3.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3250 SE Commerce Ave Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 746 | $2,206 | $2.96 | 14d | 28 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-04-10$89,900 Active 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
Sunshine Manor is an "All Age Community". Land lease covers lawn care and basic cable.
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2026-03-20historical
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2026-01-03price $89,900
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2025-11-18price $105,990
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2025-06-20$129,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,497
- − Management
- −$2,497
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $16,772
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,025
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,180/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The property is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Landscaping — Basic landscaping needs improvement
- Minor Exterior siding — Light wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both Painting — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Landscaping · Basic landscaping needs improvement | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Exterior siding · Light wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Painting — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Stuart
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- City population
- 65,812
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,075
- Household income
- $78,136
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1323.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -319.78%
- Current HPI
- 336.7717
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.71%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-30.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $89,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-20 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-03 Price Changed $89,900 Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $105,990 Beaches MLS
- 2025-06-20 Listed $129,900 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…